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Brasilia vs Franca Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game71.6
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brasilia v Franca
23 Dec 2026
BRAS v FRAN
upcoming
23 May 2026
BRAS74
FRAN91
21 May 2026
BRAS67
FRAN50
14 Apr 2026
BRAS78
FRAN83
27 Dec 2024
BRAS91
FRAN86
06 Apr 2024
BRAS100
FRAN105
04 Apr 2023
BRAS72
FRAN87
28 Mar 2022
BRAS96
FRAN86
14 Mar 2021
BRAS79
FRAN96
21 Nov 2019
BRAS72
FRAN81
02 Nov 2018
BRAS73
FRAN101
23 Mar 2017
BRAS88
FRAN92
25 Nov 2015
BRAS94
FRAN106
22 Jan 2015
BRAS74
FRAN62
28 Jan 2014
BRAS87
FRAN72
31 Jan 2013
BRAS93
FRAN77
11 Feb 2012
BRAS90
FRAN85
24 May 2011
BRAS77
FRAN68
19 May 2011
BRAS92
FRAN72
15 Nov 2010
BRAS67
FRAN69
24 May 2009
BRAS64
FRAN59
20 May 2009
BRAS76
FRAN66
19 May 2009
BRAS96
FRAN105
03 Apr 2009
BRAS77
FRAN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Franca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 71
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
53avg 71
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
104-92
104
92
+12
109avg 71
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
85avg 71
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
23avg 71
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-100
61
100
-39
20avg 71
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
76-55
76
55
+21
no box
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
12-26
21-17
19-24
9-33
22-16
14-20
17-23
23-18
25-33
21-26
27-14
14-18
22-12
26-11
23-19
5-13
19-21
14-19
13-17
15-13
155.7Avg total
78.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.679.8160.4+0.950%
Season at home (4)89.583.2172.8+6.250%
Season away (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.277.5155.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.278.6150.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.478.5149.9-7.125%
vs Similar (11)83.080.9163.9+2.173%
vs Weaker (11)76.267.3143.5+8.973%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-94
92
94
-2
92avg 81
A04/06
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
85-76
85
76
+9
79avg 81
H07/06
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
90-59
90
59
+31
70avg 81
H19/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
W
90-74
90
74
+16
81avg 81
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
48-78
48
78
-30
30avg 81
A26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
62-65
62
65
-3
47avg 81
A28/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H03/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
98-77
98
77
+21
no box
H05/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A10/11
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
83-60
83
60
+23
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
19-28
32-27
17-20
18-24
32-22
10-8
25-22
17-15
25-17
23-12
25-15
24-18
24-31
19-9
23-16
14-29
9-13
10-19
15-17
14-20
12-16
21-22
15-7
25-19
15-25
21-24
15-19
23-14
22-21
27-17
26-25
19-17
28-21
17-12
20-23
21-16
14-19
24-9
24-16
155.1Avg total
80.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.971.6150.5+7.262%
Season at home (4)88.574.2162.8+14.275%
Season away (4)69.269.0138.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)80.874.3155.1+6.560%
Last 5 (5)80.672.4153.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (8)83.277.8161.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.073.4155.4+8.571%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
BrasiliaFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
NBB
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.376.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.639.079.6+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)34.837.572.3-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.839.974.6-5.138%-
vs Similar (11)39.342.181.4-2.836%-
vs Weaker (11)39.433.572.8+5.964%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A04/06
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H07/06
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A28/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H03/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H05/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A10/11
NBB
Botafogo
#14
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A12/11
NBB
80.3Avg total
39.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.881.4+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.183.3+5.060%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.479.5+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.480.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.044.084.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)45.042.287.2+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.937.279.0+4.757%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.7
50.3%
49.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
71.3%9.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
49.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
31.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.315.0
77.7%
71.3%15.0
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWLLLWWWLW
Franca
WWWLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#6
-4.5
Net rating
+2.2
87.1
Offensive rating
92.3
91.6
Defensive rating
90.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.0%
3-point %
30.4%
63.4%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.1 · 92.3Defence91.6 · 90.1Shooting49.9% · 51.5%3-point %33.0% · 30.4%Ball care15.8% · 15.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brasilia   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brasilia wins
7
Franca wins
DateGameScore
28/05/26Franca v Brasilia68-66
26/05/26Franca v Brasilia69-71
23/05/26Brasilia v Franca74-91
21/05/26Brasilia v Franca67-50
18/05/26Franca v Brasilia76-67
14/04/26Brasilia v Franca78-83 OT
27/12/25Franca v Brasilia92-84
27/12/24Brasilia v Franca91-86
17/10/24Franca v Brasilia79-74
06/04/24Brasilia v Franca100-105
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AUniao Corinthians61-70
07/11/26ACaxias do Sul76-55
04/11/26HFlamengo87-91
02/11/26HBotafogo76-77
29/10/26AMinas61-100
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ABotafogo83-60
10/11/26AFlamengo84-73
05/11/26HCruzeiro98-77
03/11/26HMinas76-87
28/10/26APaulistano62-65
26/10/26ACorinthians Paulista48-78
21/10/26HMogi90-74
19/10/26HSao Jose90-59
07/06/26HPinheiros85-76
04/06/26APinheiros92-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.689.571.8
Allowed / game79.883.276.2
Point differential+0.9+6.2-4.5
Avg total160.4172.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Franca
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game78.988.569.2
Allowed / game71.674.269.0
Point differential+7.2+14.2+0.2
Avg total150.5162.8138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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