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Brasilia vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:15
Final 91-73
29-22 25-16 18-16 19-19
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.0
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brasilia v Paulistano
24 Oct 2026
BRAS91
PAUL73
30 Oct 2025
BRAS71
PAUL54
18 Dec 2024
BRAS87
PAUL102
16 Dec 2023
BRAS69
PAUL91
15 Dec 2022
BRAS72
PAUL82
04 Apr 2022
BRAS60
PAUL78
14 Nov 2020
BRAS57
PAUL73
15 Feb 2020
BRAS90
PAUL78
11 Jan 2019
BRAS71
PAUL97
14 Feb 2017
BRAS85
PAUL76
25 Apr 2016
BRAS83
PAUL78
16 Apr 2016
BRAS88
PAUL83
13 Mar 2016
BRAS81
PAUL69
09 Jan 2015
BRAS86
PAUL94
06 Mar 2014
BRAS100
PAUL77
12 Jan 2013
BRAS68
PAUL67
03 Mar 2012
BRAS97
PAUL63
13 Mar 2011
BRAS91
PAUL68
06 Mar 2009
BRAS105
PAUL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 74
A08/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 74
A10/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 74
H13/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
61avg 74
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 74
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
67-50
67
50
+17
61avg 74
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
70avg 74
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 74
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
53avg 74
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
104-92
104
92
+12
109avg 74
H22/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-28
19-23
14-13
20-24
24-26
31-23
23-17
23-23
19-26
27-25
19-22
21-12
22-22
14-19
15-16
17-19
17-19
13-25
20-13
24-7
9-19
17-12
17-12
12-28
27-20
18-16
17-27
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
155.7Avg total
77.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)104.092.0196.0+12.0100%
Season at home (1)104.092.0196.0+12.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.378.4155.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)76.474.0150.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.572.8143.3-2.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.582.0165.5+1.564%
vs Weaker (13)78.566.8145.4+11.785%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
53avg 74
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 74
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
80-77
80
77
+3
66avg 74
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
105avg 74
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
66avg 74
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 74
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 74
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 74
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 74
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#16
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 74
A21/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-21
19-24
16-21
24-15
27-18
28-18
13-20
21-13
16-8
25-28
18-28
31-17
20-22
25-15
19-26
14-24
17-29
26-16
18-19
15-16
20-16
20-18
16-12
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
159.4Avg total
79.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.779.7159.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)77.079.4156.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.785.7164.3-7.017%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.181.5165.6+2.671%
vs Weaker (10)86.675.5162.1+11.180%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.4-5.4
BrasiliaPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A08/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A10/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H13/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H23/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
78.1Avg total
37.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.775.8+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.837.477.2+2.465%-
Last 30 away (13)35.938.174.0-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.978.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.273.4-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.236.269.3-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.442.783.1-2.436%-
vs Weaker (13)38.534.272.7+4.469%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H21/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A26/04
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H29/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#16
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
75.8Avg total
39.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.880.5+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.537.881.3+5.771%-
Last 30 away (16)40.139.679.8+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.575.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.073.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.241.381.5-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.838.280.0+3.657%-
vs Weaker (10)42.538.080.5+4.570%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.716.7
52.7%
49.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.4
33.9%
31.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.311.6
71.2%
71.3%11.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.3
48.6%
49.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.2
36.7%
31.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws15.411.1
72.1%
71.3%11.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLWLWLWLWL
Paulistano
WLLLWLWWWL
#7
League position
#9
-2.6
Net rating
+4.4
90.7
Offensive rating
92.0
93.3
Defensive rating
87.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.9%
3-point %
36.7%
63.8%
Assist %
55.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 92.0Defence93.3 · 87.6Shooting51.8% · 51.6%3-point %33.9% · 36.7%Ball care17.2% · 16.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Brasilia   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
19/01/26Paulistano v Brasilia83-81 OT
30/10/25Brasilia v Paulistano71-54
17/04/25Paulistano v Brasilia81-69
18/12/24Brasilia v Paulistano87-102
31/03/24Paulistano v Brasilia95-50
16/12/23Brasilia v Paulistano69-91
13/04/23Paulistano v Brasilia113-71
15/12/22Brasilia v Paulistano72-82
04/04/22Brasilia v Paulistano60-78
03/12/21Paulistano v Brasilia75-77 OT
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69
23/05/26HFranca74-91
21/05/26HFranca67-50
18/05/26AFranca67-76
15/05/26HFlamengo72-69
13/05/26HFlamengo88-96
10/05/26AFlamengo98-90
08/05/26AFlamengo66-83
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT
29/04/26HBauru71-62
26/04/26ABauru75-88
24/04/26ABauru95-80
21/04/26HBauru80-77
18/04/26HPato92-71
15/04/26AMogi70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game104.0104.0-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total196.0196.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total154.0-154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%90.066.5+23.5
2 Unifacisa220100%88.567.5+21.0
3 Minas220100%83.068.5+14.5
4 Brasilia110100%104.092.0+12.0
5 Paulistano110100%80.074.0+6.0
6 Mogi32167%79.074.7+4.3
7 Bauru32167%75.376.0-0.7
8 Pinheiros21150%81.572.0+9.5
9 Flamengo21150%81.076.5+4.5
10 Cruzeiro21150%73.072.0+1.0
11 Osasco21150%81.582.5-1.0
12 Uniao Corinthians21150%77.081.0-4.0
13 Pato1010%74.080.0-6.0
14 Botafogo1010%71.081.0-10.0
15 Caxias do Sul2020%63.575.0-11.5
16 Corinthians Paulista2020%82.594.0-11.5
17 Sao Jose2020%63.586.5-23.0
18 Cearense2020%66.095.5-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2925181991
Paulistano2216161973
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