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Brasilia vs Osasco Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game86.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brasilia v Osasco
16 Dec 2026
BRAS v OSAS
upcoming
22 Oct 2025
BRAS77
OSAS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 71
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
53avg 71
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
104-92
104
92
+12
109avg 71
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
85avg 71
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
23avg 71
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-100
61
100
-39
20avg 71
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
76-55
76
55
+21
no box
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
12-26
21-17
19-24
9-33
22-16
14-20
17-23
23-18
25-33
21-26
27-14
14-18
22-12
26-11
23-19
5-13
19-21
14-19
13-17
15-13
155.7Avg total
78.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.679.8160.4+0.950%
Season at home (4)89.583.2172.8+6.250%
Season away (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.277.5155.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.278.6150.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.478.5149.9-7.125%
vs Similar (11)83.080.9163.9+2.173%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.267.3143.5+8.973%
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-101
65
101
-36
57avg 65
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
87avg 65
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
56avg 65
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 65
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
70-96
70
96
-26
41avg 65
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
93-69
93
69
+24
72avg 65
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
45avg 65
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
15-26
18-23
16-23
19-32
18-22
26-28
33-29
14-19
21-20
23-14
19-15
12-23
26-23
17-17
21-10
20-21
21-20
17-26
12-29
32-17
22-23
18-13
21-16
21-25
18-24
19-26
16-14
16-31
17-19
13-28
35-12
25-27
12-20
16-27
22-19
16-21
25-26
12-17
21-20
165.5Avg total
78.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.886.8164.7-9.017%
Season at home (3)76.790.7167.3-14.00%
Season away (3)79.083.0162.0-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.187.4165.5-9.330%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.090.7165.7-15.74%
vs Similar (6)80.283.5163.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (1)93.069.0162.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.9+2.9
BrasiliaOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
NBB
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.376.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.639.079.6+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)34.837.572.3-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.839.974.6-5.138%-
vs Similar (11)39.342.181.4-2.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.433.572.8+5.964%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H03/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A07/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H11/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H12/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
NBB
85.4Avg total
38.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.344.482.8-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.145.181.2-9.015%-
Last 30 away (17)40.143.984.0-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.885.4-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.687.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.445.482.8-8.013%-
vs Similar (6)39.341.380.7-2.033%-
vs Weaker (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.7
50.3%
49.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
71.3%9.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.6
49.3%
49.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.48.9
28.3%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.612.9
69.4%
71.3%12.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWLLLWWWLW
Osasco
LLLLWLWWLL
#8
League position
#16
-4.5
Net rating
-15.4
87.1
Offensive rating
83.1
91.6
Defensive rating
98.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
46.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.0%
3-point %
28.3%
63.4%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence87.1 · 83.1Defence91.6 · 98.5Shooting49.9% · 46.0%3-point %33.0% · 28.3%Ball care15.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
0
Osasco wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Osasco v Brasilia64-96
22/10/25Brasilia v Osasco77-74
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AUniao Corinthians61-70
07/11/26ACaxias do Sul76-55
04/11/26HFlamengo87-91
02/11/26HBotafogo76-77
29/10/26AMinas61-100
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ACorinthians Paulista74-84
12/11/26HMogi75-93
05/11/26HSao Jose81-90
29/10/26HPinheiros74-89
20/10/26ACearense93-69
17/10/26AUnifacisa70-96
17/04/26AMogi76-73
11/04/26HPato77-68
07/04/26ACorinthians Paulista96-111
03/04/26HUnifacisa65-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.689.571.8
Allowed / game79.883.276.2
Point differential+0.9+6.2-4.5
Avg total160.4172.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osasco
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game77.876.779.0
Allowed / game86.890.783.0
Point differential-9.0-14.0-4.0
Avg total164.7167.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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