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Brave Thunders vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 87-69
32-20 23-20 19-12 13-17
Position#10
Record17-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#14
Record16-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game74.1
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena (Kawasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Akita
03 Jan 2027
BRAV v AKIT
upcoming
01 Jan 2027
BRAV v AKIT
upcoming
06 Oct 2024
BRAV68
AKIT89
05 Oct 2024
BRAV81
AKIT73
27 Jan 2024
BRAV80
AKIT67
26 Jan 2024
BRAV87
AKIT69
10 Apr 2022
BRAV86
AKIT87
09 Apr 2022
BRAV82
AKIT68
11 Apr 2021
BRAV84
AKIT93
10 Apr 2021
BRAV82
AKIT55
06 Jan 2019
BRAV72
AKIT58
05 Jan 2019
BRAV84
AKIT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 73
H20/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 73
A23/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
67-84
67
84
-17
59avg 73
A24/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 73
H29/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
77-55
77
55
+22
74avg 73
H30/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
69avg 73
A06/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
76-99
76
99
-23
65avg 73
A07/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
no box
A17/01
B League
Sendai
#16
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 73
A20/01
B League
Sendai
#16
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 73
A21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
22-22
19-20
19-24
23-16
21-21
23-17
22-23
19-22
15-20
16-16
17-26
21-17
18-17
13-25
31-18
26-16
16-20
16-6
19-13
24-23
20-21
22-24
13-26
25-24
13-28
12-21
26-26
3-11
21-21
30-12
14-24
19-27
15-21
26-17
17-19
16-21
13-22
28-17
17-20
158.7Avg total
77.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.677.8157.5+1.855%
Season at home (12)77.070.4147.4+6.667%
Season away (19)81.382.5163.8-1.247%
Last 10 (10)77.181.6158.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)76.887.2164.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)83.386.0169.3-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.674.5155.1+6.171%
vs Weaker (10)76.676.7153.3-0.150%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
84-56
84
56
+28
88avg 66
H20/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 66
A23/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
88-72
88
72
+16
93avg 66
A24/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
71-61
71
61
+10
69avg 66
H29/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
77-47
77
47
+30
71avg 66
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
74avg 66
A05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
61avg 66
A06/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
73-105
73
105
-32
54avg 66
A17/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 66
H20/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
88-79
88
79
+9
81avg 66
H21/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
25-22
15-19
27-2
17-16
21-19
22-11
19-17
28-23
20-20
17-12
23-17
13-17
20-20
20-12
18-12
21-12
10-14
22-12
24-9
19-23
14-19
16-14
25-25
15-23
11-21
17-18
25-20
17-25
22-34
15-20
19-26
18-25
20-17
19-10
21-19
16-29
28-12
22-20
22-18
149.7Avg total
78.0Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.474.1147.5-0.752%
Season at home (16)75.176.8151.9-1.650%
Season away (15)71.571.3142.9+0.253%
Last 10 (10)78.071.7149.7+6.370%
Last 5 (5)76.283.6159.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.077.0143.0-11.012%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.873.0146.8+0.854%
vs Weaker (9)79.874.9154.7+4.978%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +5.8+5.8
Brave ThundersAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/12
B League
Alvark
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/01
B League
Alvark
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A07/01
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A17/01
B League
Sendai
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A20/01
B League
Sendai
#16
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A21/01
B League
77.2Avg total
36.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.678.1+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.933.971.8+4.073%-
Last 30 away (19)40.341.481.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.177.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.843.877.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.844.088.8+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.438.176.5+0.457%-
vs Weaker (10)37.636.273.8+1.460%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H30/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A06/01
B League
Chiba
#9
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A17/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H20/01
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/01
B League
77.6Avg total
37.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.076.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.240.278.4-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)36.537.774.2-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.477.6-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.681.6-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.640.473.0-7.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.538.776.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (9)41.638.379.9+3.278%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.4
53.2%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.4
28.4%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.214.6
80.2%
72.0%14.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.4
49.7%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.9
32.1%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.7
73.3%
72.0%10.7
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
LLLLLWWLWL
Akita
WWLLLWWWWW
#10
League position
#14
-6.9
Net rating
+8.4
107.5
Offensive rating
106.4
114.4
Defensive rating
98.0
48.2%
Effective FG%
49.0%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.4%
3-point %
32.1%
66.3%
Assist %
73.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 106.4Defence114.4 · 98.0Shooting48.2% · 49.0%3-point %28.4% · 32.1%Ball care14.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 38.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brave Thunders wins
3
Akita wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ASendai74-80
20/01/24ASendai77-84
17/01/24ASun Rockers Shibuya78-79 OT
07/01/24AAlvark76-99
06/01/24AAlvark79-94
30/12/23HDiamond Dolphins77-55
29/12/23HDiamond Dolphins83-77
24/12/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles67-84
23/12/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-77
20/12/23HToyama71-87
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HNagasaki88-79
20/01/24HNagasaki78-71
17/01/24AChiba73-105
06/01/24AHiroshima D.68-82
05/01/24AHiroshima D.74-81
30/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles77-47
29/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-61
24/12/23AIbaraki Robots88-72
23/12/23AIbaraki Robots79-63
20/12/23HGunma84-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL55%
HomeLLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311219
Win %55%67%47%
Points / game79.677.081.3
Allowed / game77.870.482.5
Point differential+1.8+6.6-1.2
Avg total157.5147.4163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%58%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (1)57% (7)
Overtime %10%0%16%
Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%50%53%
Points / game73.475.171.5
Allowed / game74.176.871.3
Point differential-0.7-1.6+0.2
Avg total147.5151.9142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%19%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark3127487%82.166.3+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix3127487%90.277.4+12.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex3124777%78.168.5+9.6
4 SeaHorses Mikawa31211068%82.576.2+6.4
5 Ryukyu31211068%79.275.8+3.4
6 Shimane31191261%84.377.6+6.6
7 Saga31181358%76.574.0+2.5
8 Chiba31181358%85.483.0+2.4
9 Diamond Dolphins31181358%81.179.0+2.1
10 Brave Thunders31171455%79.677.8+1.8
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya31171455%77.976.2+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.31161552%77.973.9+4.1
13 Akita31161552%73.474.1-0.7
14 Sendai31141745%79.380.2-0.9
15 Nagasaki31141745%81.782.8-1.1
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31141745%71.475.0-3.6
17 Gunma31141745%77.181.3-4.2
18 Yokohama31141745%76.681.9-5.3
19 Osaka31131842%78.082.4-4.5
20 Hokkaido3192229%74.280.7-6.5
21 Kyoto3192229%77.584.3-6.8
22 Shinshu3152616%71.684.4-12.8
23 Toyama3142713%73.684.9-11.3
24 Ibaraki Robots3132810%74.586.1-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders3223191387
Akita2020121769
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