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Akita vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 71-61
13-17 20-20 20-12 18-12
Position#14
Record12-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game73.8
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#11
Record13-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita (Akita)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Akita v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
28 Dec 2025
AKIT87
NAGO104
27 Dec 2025
AKIT89
NAGO73
23 Mar 2025
AKIT81
NAGO70
22 Mar 2025
AKIT92
NAGO84
30 Dec 2023
AKIT77
NAGO47
29 Dec 2023
AKIT71
NAGO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
83-64
83
64
+19
72avg 66
A02/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
80-70
80
70
+10
77avg 66
A03/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
67-63
67
63
+4
59avg 66
A06/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
93-85
93
85
+8
93avg 66
H09/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 66
H10/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
78-65
78
65
+13
76avg 66
A16/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
63-65
63
65
-2
53avg 66
A17/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
84-56
84
56
+28
88avg 66
H20/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 66
A23/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
88-72
88
72
+16
93avg 66
A24/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
20-10
23-14
21-13
19-14
25-19
8-23
28-14
22-21
12-16
14-12
19-14
25-19
27-22
19-26
22-18
21-28
17-16
17-15
19-14
21-14
19-17
20-19
18-15
17-18
21-21
7-10
18-16
17-13
25-22
15-19
27-2
17-16
21-19
22-11
19-17
28-23
20-20
17-12
23-17
146.5Avg total
78.9Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.873.8146.6-1.150%
Season at home (12)74.080.8154.8-6.833%
Season away (12)71.566.8138.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)78.967.6146.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)78.464.2142.6+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.375.5139.8-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.578.1151.6-4.625%
vs Weaker (12)81.574.4155.9+7.183%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
no box
A02/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 65
A03/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
61-56
61
56
+5
59avg 65
H06/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
79avg 65
A09/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 65
A10/12
B League
Sendai
#16
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 65
H16/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
65avg 65
H17/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
62-71
62
71
-9
52avg 65
A20/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
68avg 65
H23/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
84-67
84
67
+17
79avg 65
H24/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
17-15
13-17
19-16
24-17
22-18
26-17
17-27
16-16
9-13
22-15
14-12
22-20
22-22
11-14
29-15
19-14
14-21
20-23
14-14
20-22
22-22
14-22
23-21
13-9
28-23
19-21
20-23
20-12
19-19
20-25
3-15
16-23
21-21
17-23
23-22
22-19
20-15
16-16
26-17
149.3Avg total
75.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.574.7149.2-0.254%
Season at home (14)72.174.3146.4-2.150%
Season away (10)77.775.3153.0+2.460%
Last 10 (10)75.773.6149.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)76.478.0154.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.077.1146.1-8.133%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.576.0152.5+0.553%
vs Weaker (6)72.373.8146.2-1.550%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +7.4+7.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
AkitaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#23
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/12
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A03/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A06/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H09/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H10/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A16/12
B League
Osaka
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/12
B League
78.8Avg total
41.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.277.3+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.680.6-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)38.135.473.6+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.578.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.677.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.739.573.2-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.038.276.2-0.242%-
vs Weaker (12)43.137.480.5+5.783%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H06/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A10/12
B League
Sendai
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/12
B League
Sendai
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H17/12
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A20/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H23/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/12
B League
73.8Avg total
38.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.175.8-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.438.374.7-1.939%-
Last 30 away (12)37.340.277.6-2.942%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.773.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.140.074.1-5.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.338.276.5+0.153%-
vs Weaker (6)37.039.876.8-2.833%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.0
50.6%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.1
30.0%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
72.0%13.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
50.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.5
31.9%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.310.4
68.0%
72.0%10.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WWWLWWWWWW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLLWLLWWWW
#14
League position
#11
+14.3
Net rating
+3.7
106.0
Offensive rating
104.3
91.7
Defensive rating
100.6
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
43.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.0%
3-point %
31.9%
68.3%
Assist %
55.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 104.3Defence91.7 · 100.6Shooting48.3% · 51.2%3-point %30.0% · 31.9%Ball care16.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds35.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akita wins
0
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AIbaraki Robots88-72
23/12/23AIbaraki Robots79-63
20/12/23HGunma84-56
17/12/23AOsaka63-65
16/12/23AOsaka78-65
10/12/23HYokohama74-73
09/12/23HYokohama93-85
06/12/23AUtsunomiya Brex67-63
03/12/23AShinshu80-70
02/12/23AShinshu83-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HBrave Thunders84-67
23/12/23HBrave Thunders77-89
20/12/23AYokohama62-71
17/12/23HSendai80-76
16/12/23HSendai79-87
10/12/23ANagasaki67-72
09/12/23ANagasaki84-71
06/12/23HSun Rockers Shibuya61-56
03/12/23AGunma89-79
02/12/23AGunma74-68 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW33%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game72.874.071.5
Allowed / game73.880.866.8
Point differential-1.1-6.8+4.7
Avg total146.6154.8138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%8%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %54%50%60%
Points / game74.572.177.7
Allowed / game74.774.375.3
Point differential-0.2-2.1+2.4
Avg total149.2146.4153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2420483%80.265.8+14.5
2 NeoPhoenix2420483%90.677.5+13.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex2519676%77.368.6+8.7
4 Ryukyu2418675%80.677.0+3.6
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%82.276.2+6.0
6 Diamond Dolphins2416867%82.277.9+4.3
7 Brave Thunders2415962%80.276.8+3.4
8 Shimane24141058%82.877.0+5.8
9 Saga24131154%77.275.0+2.2
10 Chiba24131154%83.283.0+0.2
11 Nagasaki24131154%83.883.8-0.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles24131154%74.574.7-0.2
13 Akita24121250%72.873.8-1.1
14 Osaka24121250%77.479.1-1.8
15 Hiroshima D.24111346%77.974.7+3.2
16 Sendai24111346%81.180.6+0.5
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya24111346%76.777.4-0.8
18 Gunma24111346%75.679.4-3.8
19 Yokohama24101442%74.881.2-6.5
20 Kyoto2581732%76.182.6-6.5
21 Hokkaido2461825%72.880.7-7.9
22 Shinshu2542116%73.285.0-11.8
23 Toyama2432112%73.085.0-11.9
24 Ibaraki Robots251244%73.285.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita1320201871
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1720121261
← all games of the day
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