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Alvark vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 94-79
23-24 21-20 24-22 26-13
Position#2
Record22-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game65.7
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#10
Record17-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.0
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Gymnasium (Tokyo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alvark v Brave Thunders
14 Mar 2027
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
13 Mar 2027
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
27 Apr 2025
ALVA84
BRAV80
26 Apr 2025
ALVA80
BRAV67
07 Jan 2024
ALVA99
BRAV76
06 Jan 2024
ALVA94
BRAV79
08 Jan 2023
ALVA88
BRAV73
07 Jan 2023
ALVA75
BRAV64
05 Dec 2021
ALVA96
BRAV90
04 Dec 2021
ALVA66
BRAV85
14 Apr 2021
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
03 Oct 2020
ALVA52
BRAV55
02 Oct 2020
ALVA85
BRAV79
22 Mar 2020
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
21 Mar 2020
ALVA v BRAV
upcoming
21 Oct 2018
ALVA66
BRAV46
20 Oct 2018
ALVA89
BRAV67
11 Feb 2018
ALVA86
BRAV54
10 Feb 2018
ALVA65
BRAV94
25 Oct 2017
ALVA99
BRAV91
16 Nov 2014
ALVA53
BRAV69
15 Nov 2014
ALVA103
BRAV78
10 Nov 2013
ALVA84
BRAV91
09 Nov 2013
ALVA65
BRAV73
26 Feb 2012
ALVA79
BRAV67
25 Feb 2012
ALVA71
BRAV78
22 Oct 2011
ALVA81
BRAV61
21 Oct 2011
ALVA81
BRAV61
12 Dec 2010
ALVA62
BRAV65
11 Dec 2010
ALVA72
BRAV54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
L
82-91
82
91
-9
68avg 76
H06/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
89-66
89
66
+23
89avg 76
A09/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 76
A10/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 76
A16/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
94avg 76
A17/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
81-54
81
54
+27
82avg 76
H20/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 76
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
59-82
59
82
-23
45avg 76
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
73avg 76
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
99avg 76
A30/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
24-19
16-25
22-23
16-17
30-23
21-11
22-15
22-17
21-16
34-21
15-13
17-16
20-14
16-10
18-22
20-15
27-20
27-34
20-15
23-15
19-11
21-11
18-17
19-19
26-18
21-14
17-17
21-21
9-25
19-19
10-17
18-14
18-13
13-15
25-26
24-22
21-14
32-8
17-17
152.2Avg total
81.9Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.565.7146.2+14.885%
Season at home (12)77.568.7146.2+8.867%
Season away (14)83.163.1146.1+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.970.3152.2+11.680%
Last 5 (5)78.266.6144.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.091.0155.0-27.00%
vs Similar (4)77.571.2148.8+6.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.265.7146.8+15.588%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
104-90
104
90
+14
106avg 74
A06/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A09/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
64avg 74
A10/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 74
H15/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
63-65
63
65
-2
48avg 74
H16/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 74
H20/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 74
A23/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
67-84
67
84
-17
59avg 74
A24/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 74
H29/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
77-55
77
55
+22
74avg 74
H30/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
31-28
29-19
18-16
22-23
21-16
24-22
10-16
22-28
21-15
16-14
15-19
17-25
15-20
23-22
27-26
20-8
12-22
11-18
20-17
11-21
22-22
19-20
19-24
23-16
21-21
23-17
22-23
19-22
15-20
16-16
17-26
21-17
18-17
13-25
31-18
26-16
16-20
16-6
19-13
158.3Avg total
79.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.276.0156.2+4.265%
Season at home (12)77.070.4147.4+6.667%
Season away (14)82.980.8163.7+2.164%
Last 10 (10)79.379.0158.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)77.476.0153.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)84.081.8165.8+2.240%
vs Similar (13)82.276.5158.8+5.777%
vs Weaker (12)76.377.1153.4-0.850%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
AlvarkBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A09/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A10/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A16/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A17/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H24/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A29/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A30/12
B League
76.8Avg total
41.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.233.873.9+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.635.775.2+3.967%-
Last 30 away (18)40.632.573.1+8.183%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.376.8+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.474.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.044.573.5-15.50%-
vs Similar (4)32.834.267.0-1.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.332.875.1+9.592%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A06/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H15/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H16/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H20/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H29/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/12
B League
80.3Avg total
39.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.179.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.837.876.6+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.640.583.1+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.480.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.644.090.6+2.660%-
vs Similar (13)41.739.280.9+2.569%-
vs Weaker (12)36.836.873.7+0.050%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.7
53.9%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
33.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
72.0%14.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.8
54.3%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.1
31.3%
33.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.0
74.9%
72.0%14.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWLWWWWWWL
Brave Thunders
WWLWLLLLLW
#2
League position
#10
+16.0
Net rating
+0.4
115.5
Offensive rating
110.7
99.5
Defensive rating
110.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
31.3%
64.4%
Assist %
67.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 110.7Defence99.5 · 110.2Shooting53.1% · 50.9%3-point %34.6% · 31.3%Ball care15.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds36.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Alvark   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alvark wins
5
Brave Thunders wins
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ASaga94-61
29/12/23ASaga74-68
24/12/23HDiamond Dolphins59-82
23/12/23HDiamond Dolphins83-68
20/12/23HHokkaido81-54
17/12/23ANagasaki94-84
16/12/23ANagasaki71-62
10/12/23AToyama92-67
09/12/23AToyama89-66
06/12/23HGunma82-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HDiamond Dolphins77-55
29/12/23HDiamond Dolphins83-77
24/12/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles67-84
23/12/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles89-77
20/12/23HToyama71-87
16/12/23HHokkaido63-65
15/12/23HHokkaido82-93
10/12/23AUtsunomiya Brex74-76
09/12/23AUtsunomiya Brex83-86 OT
06/12/23ANeoPhoenix104-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW85%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %85%67%100%
Points / game80.577.583.1
Allowed / game65.768.763.1
Point differential+14.8+8.8+20.0
Avg total146.2146.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%67%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeLLLWW67%
AwayWLLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game80.277.082.9
Allowed / game76.070.480.8
Point differential+4.2+6.6+2.1
Avg total156.2147.4163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%58%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)0% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2622485%80.565.7+14.8
2 NeoPhoenix2622485%90.878.3+12.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex2620677%77.368.1+9.2
4 Ryukyu2619773%80.877.0+3.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2617965%82.175.9+6.2
6 Brave Thunders2617965%80.276.0+4.2
7 Shimane26161062%84.177.4+6.7
8 Diamond Dolphins26161062%81.078.1+2.9
9 Hiroshima D.27141352%78.374.0+4.3
10 Akita27141352%72.972.6+0.3
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya26131350%77.876.8+1.0
12 Saga26131350%76.275.7+0.5
13 Chiba26131350%83.583.8-0.3
14 Nagasaki26131350%82.483.7-1.3
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles26131350%72.974.7-1.8
16 Sendai26121446%80.780.8-0.0
17 Osaka26121446%77.880.7-3.0
18 Gunma26111542%75.180.3-5.3
19 Yokohama26111542%74.681.2-6.6
20 Hokkaido2681831%73.980.1-6.2
21 Kyoto2681831%77.083.6-6.5
22 Shinshu2642215%72.584.7-12.2
23 Toyama2632312%73.085.2-12.1
24 Ibaraki Robots262248%74.686.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2321242694
Brave Thunders2420221379
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