Alvark vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 53-69

9-20 10-15 15-12 19-22

Position#4

Record7-4

FormLWLLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game74.9

Alvark

Brave Thunders 🏆

Position#5

Record5-4

FormWWWWL

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game78.3

NBLRound 6

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alvark v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alvark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#12

95-59

+36

A12/10

NBL

Hokkaido

73-92

-19

H17/10

NBL

Hokkaido

100-76

100

+24

H18/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

94-66

+28

A25/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

81-74

A26/10

NBL

Chiba

69-72

-3

A01/11

NBL

Chiba

94-69

+25

A02/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

70-85

-15

H07/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

76-91

-15

H08/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

103-78

103

+25

H15/11

NBL

18-12

27-11

28-16

22-20

17-27

23-27

19-19

14-19

23-15

28-22

26-14

23-25

26-10

24-12

28-24

16-20

17-19

19-19

16-18

29-18

15-22

21-14

12-20

21-16

22-13

31-19

15-21

26-16

24-18

11-19

18-22

17-26

19-30

21-10

13-24

23-27

22-15

33-17

27-27

21-19

161.7Avg total

85.5Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	85.2	74.9	160.1	+10.3	64%
Season at home (5)	84.4	84.4	168.8	+0.0	40%
Season away (6)	85.8	67.0	152.8	+18.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	76.2	161.7	+9.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	79.0	161.4	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	74.5	79.8	154.3	-5.3	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	87.6	71.1	158.8	+16.5	88%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

78-61

+17

H24/05

NBL

Tochigi Brex

84-87

-3

H10/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

75-92

-17

H11/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

92-85 OT

A24/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

61-71

-10

A25/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

94-73

+21

H01/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

89-59

+30

H02/11

NBL

Hokkaido

87-72

+15

A08/11

NBL

Hokkaido

76-63

+13

A09/11

NBL

Alvark

78-103

103

-25

A15/11

NBL

28-4

17-16

20-15

13-26

26-27

15-21

26-19

17-20

16-29

22-12

14-26

23-25

10-25

30-18

13-13

21-18

9-22

22-9

15-22

15-18

25-17

23-22

22-11

24-23

21-18

16-11

26-19

26-11

24-17

23-15

24-22

16-18

20-16

9-12

31-8

16-27

15-22

17-33

27-27

19-21

158.0Avg total

81.4Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	81.8	78.3	160.1	+3.4	56%
Season at home (4)	85.5	77.8	163.2	+7.8	50%
Season away (5)	78.8	78.8	157.6	+0.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	76.6	158.0	+4.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	74.0	158.8	+10.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	77.0	86.3	163.3	-9.3	33%
vs Similar (13)	78.0	76.8	154.8	+1.2	69%
vs Weaker (14)	86.2	72.4	158.6	+13.9	93%

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlvarkBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.9	41.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	22.7	21.2	43.8	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	58%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	11.3	23.0	34.3	-11.7	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+4.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	15.4	36.8	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	18.3	41.5	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	12.8	32.8	+7.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	15.8	39.2	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	17.3	14.2	31.5	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.5	15.7	38.2	+6.8	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	16.4	33.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.8	15.8	32.6	+1.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	16.9	34.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	16.9	14.8	31.7	+2.1	64%	-

AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tsukuba

#12

45-23

+22

A12/10

NBL

Hokkaido

40-54

-14

H17/10

NBL

Hokkaido

51-37

+14

H18/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

50-22

+28

A25/10

NBL

Kobe

#10

36-38

-2

A26/10

NBL

Chiba

36-36

A01/11

NBL

Chiba

53-32

+21

A02/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

35-37

-2

H07/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

40-40

H08/11

NBL

Brave Thunders

55-32

+23

H15/11

NBL

79.2Avg total

44.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	33.9	76.4	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	38.1	82.9	+6.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.5	30.2	70.8	+10.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	35.1	79.2	+9.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	35.4	79.2	+8.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	40.0	35.3	75.3	+4.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.1	33.6	76.7	+9.5	62%	-

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

45-20

+25

H24/05

NBL

Tochigi Brex

41-48

-7

H10/10

NBL

Tochigi Brex

38-41

-3

H11/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

40-43

-3

A24/10

NBL

Sun Rockers

31-31

A25/10

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

48-39

H01/11

NBL

Tsukuba

#12

37-29

H02/11

NBL

Hokkaido

47-32

+15

A08/11

NBL

Hokkaido

29-28

A09/11

NBL

Alvark

32-55

-23

A15/11

NBL

75.4Avg total

38.8Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	36.2	74.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	36.2	76.7	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.0	36.2	72.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.6	75.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	34.3	43.0	77.3	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.8	38.4	75.2	-1.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.8	32.7	72.5	+7.1	86%	-

This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.4	40.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.8	39.8	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	15.3	23.0	38.3	-7.7	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.6	17.8	41.4	+5.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	17.4	43.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.6	17.7	42.4	+6.9	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.4	42.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.2	21.5	40.7	-2.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+4.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	20.3	40.5	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	38.9	81.4	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.5	39.8	83.3	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.1	82.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.6	82.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	34.5	44.5	79.0	-10.0	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.5	37.5	82.0	+7.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.0	80.1	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.8	38.1	81.8	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.7	38.0	78.7	+2.7	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	38.9	79.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	37.4	83.6	+8.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.7	39.7	76.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.2	38.5	79.7	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	43.9	37.3	81.2	+6.6	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alvark wins

Brave Thunders wins

Date	Game	Score
15/11/14	Alvark v Brave Thunders	103-78
11/05/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	86-71
10/05/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	78-61
26/04/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	59-95
25/04/14	Brave Thunders v Alvark	80-74
10/11/13	Alvark v Brave Thunders	84-91
09/11/13	Alvark v Brave Thunders	65-73
06/10/13	Brave Thunders v Alvark	96-84
05/10/13	Brave Thunders v Alvark	87-90
26/02/12	Alvark v Brave Thunders	79-67

Alvarklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/14	H	Brave Thunders	103-78
08/11/14	H	Tochigi Brex	76-91
07/11/14	H	Tochigi Brex	70-85
02/11/14	A	Chiba	94-69
01/11/14	A	Chiba	69-72
26/10/14	A	Kobe	81-74
25/10/14	A	Kobe	94-66
18/10/14	H	Hokkaido	100-76
17/10/14	H	Hokkaido	73-92
12/10/14	A	Tsukuba	95-59

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/14	A	Alvark	78-103
09/11/14	A	Hokkaido	76-63
08/11/14	A	Hokkaido	87-72
02/11/14	H	Tsukuba	89-59
01/11/14	H	Tsukuba	94-73
25/10/14	A	Sun Rockers	61-71
24/10/14	A	Sun Rockers	92-85 OT
11/10/14	H	Tochigi Brex	75-92
10/10/14	H	Tochigi Brex	84-87
24/05/14	H	Trians	78-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	64%
Home	LWLLW	40%
Away	WWWLW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	40%	83%
Points / game	85.2	84.4	85.8
Allowed / game	74.9	84.4	67.0
Point differential	+10.3	+0.0	+18.8
Avg total	160.1	168.8	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	40%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brave Thunders

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	56%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	50%	60%
Points / game	81.8	85.5	78.8
Allowed / game	78.3	77.8	78.8
Point differential	+3.4	+7.8	+0.0
Avg total	160.1	163.2	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	9	9	0	100%	89.7	64.9	+24.8
2	Sun Rockers	12	11	1	92%	84.3	69.1	+15.2
3	Tochigi Brex	11	9	2	82%	86.6	77.5	+9.2
4	Diamond Dolphins	10	7	3	70%	82.3	74.9	+7.4
5	Hiroshima D.	9	6	3	67%	73.4	66.7	+6.8
6	Alvark	11	7	4	64%	85.2	74.9	+10.3
7	Brave Thunders	9	5	4	56%	81.8	78.3	+3.4
8	Chiba	11	6	5	55%	76.6	74.1	+2.5
9	Kobe	10	3	7	30%	69.6	78.0	-8.4
10	Trians	11	3	8	27%	68.5	80.5	-12.0
11	Hokkaido	12	2	10	17%	73.9	83.2	-9.2
12	Tsukuba	11	0	11	0%	65.1	87.5	-22.5
13	Kumamoto	10	0	10	0%	66.3	90.3	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alvark	9	10	15	19	53
Brave Thunders	20	15	12	22	69

← all games of the day

Alvark vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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