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Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 73-82
29-12 23-23 3-25 18-22
Position#21
Record14-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#12
Record22-26
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
06 Apr 2025
BRAV73
NAGO82
05 Apr 2025
BRAV77
NAGO88
31 Jan 2024
BRAV73
NAGO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 74
H02/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
91-104
91
104
-13
88avg 74
H05/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
66-83
66
83
-17
60avg 74
A12/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
98-110
98
110
-12
87avg 74
H19/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 74
H22/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 74
H23/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
103avg 74
H26/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
84-90
84
90
-6
80avg 74
A29/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
68-104
68
104
-36
56avg 74
A30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
77-88
77
88
-11
74avg 74
H05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-16
18-17
31-22
24-32
26-23
13-27
28-22
10-22
15-24
18-30
23-7
20-29
23-32
32-27
23-22
28-33
20-19
22-20
29-20
26-20
13-22
14-21
25-22
13-22
24-24
33-30
30-24
19-26
23-26
20-21
22-17
19-32
18-27
15-18
16-27
20-14
21-20
21-27
15-27
181.8Avg total
86.8Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)78.787.2165.9-8.529%
Season at home (25)80.486.0166.5-5.636%
Season away (23)76.888.5165.3-11.722%
Last 10 (10)86.895.0181.8-8.220%
Last 5 (5)83.696.6180.2-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)81.090.8171.9-9.824%
vs Similar (7)75.178.9154.0-3.743%
vs Weaker (2)101.588.5190.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 71
A02/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 71
A05/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 71
H12/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 71
H19/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
84-92
84
92
-8
81avg 71
A22/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 71
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
69avg 71
H26/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
70-64
70
64
+6
63avg 71
A29/03
B League
Alvark
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
63avg 71
A30/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
88-77
88
77
+11
80avg 71
A05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
21-17
23-28
18-21
21-14
15-13
20-25
29-21
20-25
23-16
17-15
20-12
28-17
19-17
19-13
18-18
15-33
26-14
18-22
25-23
18-24
20-21
14-19
18-17
20-21
18-13
23-20
12-28
22-17
18-12
15-18
15-17
17-14
25-11
15-22
15-29
14-20
20-21
27-21
27-15
154.0Avg total
78.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)77.979.9157.9-2.046%
Season at home (24)78.381.4159.7-3.138%
Season away (24)77.678.5156.1-0.954%
Last 10 (10)78.175.9154.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)74.676.0150.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.780.2159.9-0.550%
vs Similar (11)80.176.8156.9+3.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.078.4160.4+3.660%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
Brave ThundersNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H05/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A12/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H19/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H22/03
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H23/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A29/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A30/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/04
B League
89.5Avg total
40.9Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.745.185.8-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.843.084.8-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)39.447.586.9-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)40.948.689.5-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.685.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.547.988.4-7.314%-
vs Similar (7)36.438.675.0-2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)57.039.096.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A05/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H19/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A22/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A23/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A30/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A05/04
B League
74.8Avg total
39.3Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.678.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.140.880.9-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)38.638.677.2+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.574.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.873.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.140.681.8+0.557%-
vs Similar (11)38.640.278.8-1.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.635.671.2+0.060%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
51.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.4
36.2%
33.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
72.7%14.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.6
51.4%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.4
33.5%
33.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws15.310.3
67.3%
72.7%10.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
LLLLLWLLLW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLWLLLWWWL
#21
League position
#12
-10.6
Net rating
+1.9
110.1
Offensive rating
104.5
120.8
Defensive rating
102.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.2%
3-point %
33.5%
71.4%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 104.5Defence120.8 · 102.6Shooting53.5% · 50.9%3-point %36.2% · 33.5%Ball care16.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles77-88
30/03/25AChiba68-104
29/03/25AChiba84-90
26/03/25HRyukyu111-116 OT
23/03/25HOsaka78-85
22/03/25HOsaka99-92
19/03/25HNeoPhoenix98-110
12/03/25ASun Rockers Shibuya66-83
05/03/25HSeaHorses Mikawa91-104
02/03/25HHiroshima D.96-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ABrave Thunders88-77
30/03/25AAlvark72-76
29/03/25AAlvark70-64
26/03/25HSeaHorses Mikawa73-82
23/03/25AAkita70-81
22/03/25AAkita84-92
19/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya84-65
12/03/25HAlvark80-68
05/03/25ADiamond Dolphins85-73
02/03/25AShiga75-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482523
Win %29%36%22%
Points / game78.780.476.8
Allowed / game87.286.088.5
Point differential-8.5-5.6-11.7
Avg total165.9166.5165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeLWWWL38%
AwayLLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %46%38%54%
Points / game77.978.377.6
Allowed / game79.981.478.5
Point differential-2.0-3.1-0.9
Avg total157.9159.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4841785%92.779.7+13.0
2 Utsunomiya Brex4940982%85.475.8+9.6
3 Ryukyu49361373%84.476.8+7.7
4 Alvark49361373%76.871.3+5.5
5 Gunma49331667%77.972.2+5.7
6 SeaHorses Mikawa49321765%81.575.2+6.3
7 Chiba49321765%82.277.6+4.6
8 Shimane49311863%80.174.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya49272255%74.571.2+3.3
10 Diamond Dolphins49262353%81.781.3+0.5
11 Kyoto48252352%81.880.3+1.5
12 Osaka48242450%82.782.9-0.2
13 Akita49232647%73.774.7-1.0
14 Hiroshima D.49232647%79.682.7-3.0
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles48222646%77.979.9-2.0
16 Nagasaki49222745%76.078.0-2.0
17 Yokohama49222745%76.679.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido49183137%75.179.4-4.3
19 Saga49173235%75.578.8-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas49163333%76.380.5-4.2
21 Brave Thunders48143429%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4994018%72.580.8-8.3
23 Sendai4994018%72.783.4-10.7
24 Shiga4874115%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders292331873
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1223252282
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