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Akita vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 92-84
33-15 14-26 22-18 23-25
Position#14
Record19-23
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game74.5
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#12
Record20-22
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.1
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akita v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
28 Dec 2025
AKIT87
NAGO104
27 Dec 2025
AKIT89
NAGO73
23 Mar 2025
AKIT81
NAGO70
22 Mar 2025
AKIT92
NAGO84
30 Dec 2023
AKIT77
NAGO47
29 Dec 2023
AKIT71
NAGO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
L
66-70
66
70
-4
52avg 67
H29/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
69avg 67
A01/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 67
A02/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
86avg 67
H08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 67
H09/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
64avg 67
H01/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 67
H02/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
91-60
91
60
+31
90avg 67
H05/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
80-93 OT
80
93
-13
73avg 67
A12/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
49-75
49
75
-26
44avg 67
A19/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
13-15
19-22
18-17
16-18
17-16
17-16
19-19
13-17
18-21
30-16
14-13
18-6
23-29
19-30
24-13
27-25
18-14
15-22
20-25
19-30
18-20
20-25
15-30
22-14
15-29
12-14
23-17
22-14
25-10
29-18
15-18
26-22
20-21
10-15
22-20
15-23
15-21
4-10
15-21
152.8Avg total
74.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)73.274.5147.7-1.445%
Season at home (21)74.873.1147.9+1.752%
Season away (21)71.576.0147.5-4.538%
Last 10 (10)74.378.5152.8-4.230%
Last 5 (5)72.881.4154.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.380.5149.8-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.970.3142.2+1.655%
vs Weaker (7)77.366.3143.6+11.086%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
95-102
95
102
-7
90avg 72
A29/01
B League
Gunma
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
56avg 72
H01/02
B League
Gunma
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 72
H02/02
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
77avg 72
H08/02
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
96-65
96
65
+31
96avg 72
H09/02
B League
Shiga
#24
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 72
A01/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 72
A02/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
85-73
85
73
+12
79avg 72
A05/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
78avg 72
H12/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
84-65
84
65
+19
74avg 72
H19/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
27-26
25-21
20-26
14-18
18-29
16-23
27-21
14-23
21-17
27-19
27-21
21-24
21-25
26-21
17-19
20-18
27-20
27-13
22-14
13-15
21-18
30-23
23-25
13-15
21-17
23-28
18-21
21-14
15-13
20-25
29-21
20-25
23-16
17-15
20-12
28-17
19-17
19-13
18-18
164.6Avg total
85.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)78.280.1158.3-1.948%
Season at home (23)78.581.3159.9-2.839%
Season away (19)77.878.6156.4-0.858%
Last 10 (10)85.179.5164.6+5.660%
Last 5 (5)82.273.6155.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.887.2168.0-6.546%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.575.9157.4+5.564%
vs Weaker (6)81.284.3165.5-3.250%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
AkitaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H29/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H01/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H02/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H05/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A19/03
B League
75.7Avg total
37.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.572.5-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.335.172.4+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.638.072.6-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.175.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.540.075.5-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.735.569.3-1.827%-
vs Weaker (7)40.332.172.4+8.186%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A29/01
B League
Gunma
#6
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H01/02
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H02/02
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/02
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/02
B League
Shiga
#24
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A01/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A05/03
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H19/03
B League
79.6Avg total
40.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.183.5-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.444.886.2-3.541%-
Last 30 away (13)39.140.980.0-1.854%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.679.6+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.472.2+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.547.088.5-5.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.240.580.6-0.345%-
vs Weaker (6)38.239.777.8-1.567%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.6
31.1%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws15.010.5
70.0%
72.7%10.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.5
52.3%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
33.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
72.7%16.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLWLLLWWLL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WWWLWWLWLL
#14
League position
#12
-5.9
Net rating
+8.0
99.7
Offensive rating
112.0
105.6
Defensive rating
104.0
46.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.1%
3-point %
34.3%
79.6%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 112.0Defence105.6 · 104.0Shooting46.8% · 52.0%3-point %31.1% · 34.3%Ball care19.6% · 15.3%Off. rebounds35.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Akita wins
0
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa49-75
12/03/25AKoshigaya Alphas80-93 OT
05/03/25HSendai91-60
02/03/25HNeoPhoenix72-74
01/03/25HNeoPhoenix72-105
09/02/25HDiamond Dolphins80-86
08/02/25HDiamond Dolphins84-78
02/02/25AKyoto75-67
01/02/25AKyoto74-77 OT
29/01/25HHokkaido66-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya84-65
12/03/25HAlvark80-68
05/03/25ADiamond Dolphins85-73
02/03/25AShiga75-81
01/03/25AShiga87-81
09/02/25HNagasaki96-65
08/02/25HNagasaki85-89
02/02/25HGunma89-80
01/02/25HGunma75-91
29/01/25ANeoPhoenix95-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWLLLW52%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %45%52%38%
Points / game73.274.871.5
Allowed / game74.573.176.0
Point differential-1.4+1.7-4.5
Avg total147.7147.9147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%19%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)43% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeWLWWW39%
AwayWLWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422319
Win %48%39%58%
Points / game78.278.577.8
Allowed / game80.181.378.6
Point differential-1.9-2.8-0.8
Avg total158.3159.9156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4137490%93.479.3+14.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex4235783%85.975.4+10.5
3 Alvark42301271%76.570.7+5.8
4 SeaHorses Mikawa42291369%82.574.7+7.8
5 Ryukyu42291369%84.177.2+6.9
6 Gunma42291369%78.472.2+6.2
7 Chiba42281467%81.577.3+4.2
8 Shimane42271564%80.274.5+5.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya42231955%74.771.3+3.4
10 Diamond Dolphins42231955%81.981.3+0.6
11 Osaka42222052%82.281.8+0.4
12 Kyoto42212150%80.979.9+1.0
13 Nagasaki42202248%76.377.8-1.5
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles42202248%78.280.1-1.9
15 Akita42192345%73.274.5-1.4
16 Hiroshima D.42192345%78.882.5-3.7
17 Yokohama42172540%75.579.6-4.1
18 Hokkaido42162638%75.179.1-4.0
19 Koshigaya Alphas42142833%77.581.2-3.7
20 Brave Thunders42132931%77.686.0-8.4
21 Saga42123029%74.678.6-4.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4283419%72.881.5-8.6
23 Sendai4283419%72.883.0-10.2
24 Shiga4143710%75.990.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita3314222392
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1526182584
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