Brave Thunders vs Shimane Result & Analysis

The Brave Thunders will host Shimane on 11 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring Shimane at 73% to 27% for the Thunders, a 79-86 projected score and a total of 164.3 points; the Thunders face a 5.5-point line and a 44% chance to cover, while the over is 4% likely and the game has a 4% overtime probability. The Thunders finish the season 4-11, averaging 78.8 points and conceding 84.0, positioned 22nd, and have gone 1-8 at home, scoring 76.3 and allowing 84.0, with a 1-4 run in the last five games and recent losses to Altiri Chiba 76-85, Shiga 75-81, and Yokohama 66-77. Shimane are 5-8 overall, 83.2 points for and 82.2 against, 18th in the league, 2-3 on the road, 80.0 points for and 82.2 against, 1-4 in their last five, and have beaten Toyama 108-75 but lost twice to Hiroshima D. 73-74 and 88-95. Their head-to-head record is even 5-5, with Shimane's last meeting a 80-69 win on 19 October 2026. The Thunders' recent home slump and Shimane's stronger offensive output suggest a challenging night for the visitors.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost

27.2%fair 3.68

Best odds2.75

Implied38.9%

Edge-11.7pp

Shimane winWon

72.8%fair 1.37

Best odds1.56

Implied61.1%

Edge+11.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormThunders

Date

Competition

Alvark

82-94

-12

80avg 72

H10/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

74-82

-8

70avg 72

H16/10

B League

Shimane

#17

69-80

-11

61avg 72

A19/10

B League

Osaka

#26

101-67

101

+34

108avg 72

H21/10

B League

Sendai

82-93

-11

77avg 72

H24/10

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#15

92-89

93avg 72

A26/10

B League

Yokohama

#16

65-75

-10

59avg 72

H31/10

B League

Yokohama

#16

66-77

-11

62avg 72

H01/11

B League

Shiga

#19

75-81

-6

no box

A06/11

B League

Altiri Chiba

#18

76-85

-9

no box

H09/11

B League

19-17

24-26

21-30

18-21

19-23

23-17

13-17

19-25

26-18

15-23

10-19

18-20

35-13

21-18

20-18

25-18

19-21

26-26

19-22

18-24

17-26

24-20

22-25

29-18

16-24

16-12

15-28

18-11

12-20

21-19

16-20

17-18

17-25

20-13

16-15

22-28

18-16

21-24

19-22

18-23

160.5Avg total

78.2Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	78.8	84.0	162.8	-5.2	27%
Season at home (9)	76.3	84.0	160.3	-7.7	11%
Season away (6)	82.5	84.0	166.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	82.3	160.5	-4.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	81.4	156.2	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	76.0	87.2	163.2	-11.2	21%
vs Similar (10)	79.3	82.0	161.3	-2.7	30%
vs Weaker (1)	101.0	67.0	168.0	+34.0	100%

This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shimane

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShimane

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

80-90

-10

72avg 73

H04/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

95-83

+12

92avg 73

H07/10

B League

Ryukyu

#13

69-90

-21

55avg 73

A10/10

B League

Chiba

#14

78-97

-19

66avg 73

A17/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#23

80-69

+11

73avg 73

H19/10

B League

Toyama

#10

79-82

-3

65avg 73

A24/10

B League

Sendai

85-86

-1

81avg 73

H26/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

88-95

-7

84avg 73

H31/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

73-74

-1

42avg 73

H01/11

B League

Toyama

#10

108-75

108

+33

no box

H09/11

B League

10-26

17-21

30-23

23-20

28-16

12-25

29-24

26-18

15-18

17-30

16-27

21-15

16-23

30-23

15-22

17-29

18-26

23-15

19-10

20-18

17-20

20-29

16-14

26-19

23-26

21-18

25-17

16-25

24-23

23-22

16-23

25-27

19-25

21-16

22-15

11-18

20-13

32-20

26-23

30-19

167.6Avg total

83.5Scored

84.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	83.2	82.2	165.4	+1.1	38%
Season at home (8)	85.2	82.1	167.4	+3.1	38%
Season away (5)	80.0	82.2	162.2	-2.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	84.1	167.6	-0.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	82.4	169.0	+4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.3	82.6	153.9	-11.3	0%
vs Similar (12)	81.8	83.3	165.1	-1.6	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	82.9	79.8	162.6	+3.1	62%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 156.5Actual: Over 156.5

Over 156.5

67.6%

@ 1.50+6.3pp

Under 156.5

32.4%

@ 2.50-6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

BetVictor

2.38

Betano

2.37

Over/Under 161.5 · main lineActual: Over 161.5

Over 161.5

56.0%

@ 1.92+6.3pp

Under 161.5

44.0%

@ 1.90-6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.92

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Under

Pinnacle

1.90

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

SBO

1.84

Marathon Be

1.83

Over/Under 166.5Actual: Over 166.5

Over 166.5

43.9%

@ 2.50+5.3pp

Under 166.5

56.1%

@ 1.50-5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

BetVictor

2.38

Betano

2.37

Under

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Brave Thunders total 74.5Actual: Brave Thunders under 74.5

Over 74.5

65.4%

@ 1.44+1.4pp

Under 74.5

34.6%

@ 2.70-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.38

Under

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.41

Brave Thunders total 78.5 · main lineActual: Brave Thunders under 78.5

Over 78.5

50.2%

@ 1.86+0.2pp

Under 78.5

49.8%

@ 1.91-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.86

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Brave Thunders total 82.5Actual: Brave Thunders under 82.5

Over 82.5

35.2%

@ 2.50-2.0pp

Under 82.5

64.8%

@ 1.50+2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.50

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.39

Shimane total 79.5Actual: Shimane over 79.5

Over 79.5

72.6%

@ 1.54+11.7pp

Under 79.5

27.4%

@ 2.42-11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.54

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.43

Under

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.23

Shimane total 83.5 · main lineActual: Shimane over 83.5

Over 83.5

58.1%

@ 1.91+9.8pp

Under 83.5

41.9%

@ 1.83-9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

Betano

1.90

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.81

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.75

1xBet

1.64

Shimane total 87.5Actual: Shimane over 87.5

Over 87.5

42.4%

@ 2.75+8.0pp

Under 87.5

57.6%

@ 1.42-8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.55

Under

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.34

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Brave Thunders +1Actual: Shimane -1

BRAV +1

27.9%

@ 2.22-13.7pp

SHIM -1

72.1%

@ 1.58+13.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAV

Bet365

2.22

SHIM

Bet365

1.58

Spread Brave Thunders +4 · main lineActual: Shimane -4

BRAV +4

38.2%

@ 2.05-11.7pp

SHIM -4

61.8%

@ 1.90+11.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAV

Bet365

2.05

Pinnacle

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

SBO

1.87

SHIM

Pinnacle

1.90

SBO

1.83

Marathon Be

1.77

Bet365

1.68

Spread Brave Thunders +7Actual: Shimane -7

BRAV +7

50.0%

@ 1.68-11.1pp

SHIM -7

50.0%

@ 2.43+11.1pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAV

Bet365

1.68

Marathon Be

1.56

Pinnacle

1.55

SHIM

Pinnacle

2.43

Marathon Be

2.12

Bet365

2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brave ThundersShimane

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	33%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.1	36%	14%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	23.1	43.7	-2.6	31%	81%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.4	32%	53%
vs Similar (10)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	30%	40%
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	13.0	48.0	+22.0	100%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.2	41.0	-1.5	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.4	44%	72%
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	19.9	39.8	-0.1	42%	42%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	30%	70%
vs Similar (12)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	50%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.2	50%	38%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.1	40.9	-1.4	50%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.9	22.4	42.4	-2.5	32%	58%
vs Similar (10)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	50%
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.25
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (18)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	61%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	22.8	42.8	-2.7	42%	50%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.3	60%	20%
vs Similar (12)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	42%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.8	22.1	46.9	+2.6	62%	75%

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

43-43

H10/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

42-40

H16/10

B League

Shimane

#17

41-41

A19/10

B League

Osaka

#26

56-31

+25

H21/10

B League

Sendai

45-47

-2

H24/10

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#15

41-46

-5

A26/10

B League

Yokohama

#16

32-36

-4

H31/10

B League

Yokohama

#16

33-39

-6

H01/11

B League

Shiga

#19

37-38

-1

A06/11

B League

Altiri Chiba

#18

39-40

-1

H09/11

B League

81.0Avg total

40.9Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.4	81.9	-2.9	20%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	40.1	77.6	-2.5	21%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	44.4	85.6	-3.2	19%	69%
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.1	81.0	+0.8	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.4	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.8	44.7	83.5	-5.9	11%	58%
vs Similar (10)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.1	30%	40%
vs Weaker (1)	56.0	31.0	87.0	+25.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

27-47

-20

H04/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

40-41

-1

H07/10

B League

Ryukyu

#13

32-48

-16

A10/10

B League

Chiba

#14

46-46

A17/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#23

41-41

H19/10

B League

Toyama

#10

37-49

-12

A24/10

B League

Sendai

44-44

H26/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

47-45

H31/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

40-41

-1

H01/11

B League

Toyama

#10

52-33

+19

H09/11

B League

84.1Avg total

40.6Scored

43.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	40.4	42.4	82.7	-2.0	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	40.7	42.2	82.8	-1.5	39%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	39.9	42.7	82.6	-2.8	33%	58%
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.5	84.1	-2.9	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.6	42.9	78.5	-7.3	20%	30%
vs Similar (12)	42.3	42.2	84.5	+0.2	50%	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.4	42.0	85.4	+1.4	38%	75%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Shimane win

BRAV win

no forecast

@ 2.50

SHIM win

no forecast

@ 1.58

1st half Spread Brave Thunders +2 · main lineActual: Shimane -2

BRAV +2

no forecast

@ 1.93

SHIM -2

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Brave Thunders 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Brave Thunders under 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Shimane 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Shimane over 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half: BRAV + total 80.5

BRAV & over

no forecast

@ 4.75

BRAV & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: SHIM + total 80.5

SHIM & over

no forecast

@ 2.95

SHIM & under

no forecast

@ 3.10

1st half Over/Under 80.25Actual: Over 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Brave Thunders +3Actual: Shimane -3

BRAV +3

no forecast

@ 1.83

SHIM -3

no forecast

@ 2.07

1st half Spread Brave Thunders +0.5Actual: Shimane -0.5

BRAV +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

SHIM -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.60

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Over 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.55

Under

no forecast

@ 1.47

1st half Spread Brave Thunders +4Actual: Shimane -4

BRAV +4

no forecast

@ 1.70

SHIM -4

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Spread Brave Thunders -0.5Actual: Shimane +0.5

BRAV -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

SHIM +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Shimane (regulation)

BRAV

no forecast

@ 2.55

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

SHIM

no forecast

@ 1.62

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.1	21%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.5	38%	50%
Last 10 (10)	17.1	21.6	38.7	-4.5	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	16%	47%
vs Similar (10)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	50%	70%
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 38.75
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.8	20.2	39.1	-1.4	50%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	17.6	18.7	36.2	-1.1	42%	25%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	40%	50%
vs Similar (12)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.1	42%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	62%	25%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.6	37%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	36%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.2	20.8	41.1	-0.6	32%	53%
vs Similar (10)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	60%
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	100%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.4	47%	37%
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	42%	33%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	30%	40%
vs Similar (12)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.2	50%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	62%	38%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	38.4	42.4	80.8	-4.0	20%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	42.0	80.4	-3.6	21%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	38.5	42.8	81.2	-4.2	19%	62%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	42.2	79.5	-4.9	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.6	80.0	-3.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.2	42.5	79.7	-5.3	16%	53%
vs Similar (10)	40.1	42.9	83.0	-2.8	20%	70%
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	36.0	81.0	+9.0	100%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.1	76.6	-1.6	37%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	38.5	40.1	78.6	-1.6	39%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	33%	33%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	40.6	83.5	+2.3	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.7	39.7	75.4	-4.0	20%	50%
vs Similar (12)	37.7	39.6	77.2	-1.9	33%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	39.5	37.8	77.2	+1.8	62%	38%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BRAV win + total 161.5

🔒 Pro

SHIM win + total 161.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRAV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SHIM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BRAV:SHIM): BRAV wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Shimane -1	72.1%	1.58	Bet365 1.58	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
Shimane +5.5	85.1%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+12.9pp	Won
Shimane over 77.5	78.7%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Shimane win	72.8%	1.46	Pinnacle 1.56	SBO 1.49	1xBet 1.47	Betano 1.47	Marathon Bet 1.46	+11.7pp	Won
Shimane over 79.5	72.6%	1.48	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+11.7pp	Won
Shimane over 75.5	84.0%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Shimane over 78.5	75.8%	1.39	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Shimane +6.5	87.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Shimane +2.5	78.2%	1.35	Betano 1.35	-	-	-	-	+10.4pp	Won
Shimane over 71.5	91.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Shimane +1.5	75.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+10.2pp	Won
Shimane (regulation)	70.3%	1.49	Betano 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.48	1xBet 1.48	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Shimane -1.5	70.4%	1.53	1xBet 1.60	Betano 1.53	BetVictor 1.53	Marathon Bet 1.52	Bet365 1.47	+10.1pp	Won
Shimane +3.5	80.5%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Shimane +4.5	82.9%	1.26	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	+9.6pp	Won
Shimane over 76.5	81.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Shimane over 73.5	88.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Shimane over 72.5	90.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Shimane over 74.5	86.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Shimane over 69.5	94.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Shimane +11.5	93.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Shimane +16.5	97.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Shimane over 68.5	95.3%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Shimane over 70.5	93.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Shimane +14.5	96.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Over 154.5	71.9%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Shimane +21.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 151.5	77.8%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Shimane +9.5	91.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Shimane +19.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 146.5	85.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 96.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Over 141.5	91.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 97.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 94.5	93.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 71.5	75.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.5%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	-
Brave Thunders under 90.5	87.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 98.5	96.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 92.5	90.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 95.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 99.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 86.5	77.6%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 69.5	81.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 84.5	71.6%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 93.5	91.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 91.5	88.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Brave Thunders +20.5	88.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Lost
Brave Thunders +23.5	92.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Shimane under 98.5	89.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 89.5	85.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 87.5	80.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 72.5	72.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 88.5	82.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Under 186.5	90.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 70.5	78.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Shimane under 96.5	86.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 85.5	74.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Brave Thunders +15.5	77.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Shimane under 97.5	88.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Shimane under 94.5	81.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Lost
Shimane under 93.5	78.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Lost
Brave Thunders +18.5	84.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Lost
Under 181.5	85.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders +13.5	72.3%	1.25	Betano 1.31	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Lost
Shimane under 95.5	83.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Under 176.5	77.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Shimane under 92.5	75.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Lost
Shimane under 91.5	72.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.6pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.2	51.6%	53.6%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.6	31.5%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.1	75.3%	73.8%	13.1

They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	18.5	54.7%	53.6%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	10.7	33.4%	32.9%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	10.4	71.2%	73.8%	10.4

They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.0	49.7%	53.6%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.4	37.0%	32.9%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	15.1	11.0	72.8%	73.8%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	22.5	52.8%	53.6%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	7.8	30.5%	32.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.2	77.5%	73.8%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.7	51.9%	53.6%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.0	30.4%	32.9%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.0	12.3	72.2%	73.8%	12.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.0	53.1%	53.6%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.4	32.5%	32.9%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	14.5	11.0	76.0%	73.8%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	20.0	55.5%	53.6%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.9	34.8%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.4	74.1%	73.8%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.7	52.2%	53.6%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.8	33.0%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.4	74.1%	73.8%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brave Thunders

LLLLWLWLLL

Shimane

WLLLLWLLWL

#23

League position

#17

-1.0

Net rating

-5.9

93.6

Offensive rating

91.9

94.6

Defensive rating

97.8

50.1%

Effective FG%

52.5%

52.4%

Opp. effective FG%

50.1%

15.7%

Turnover %

14.7%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.22

31.5%

3-point %

33.4%

70.5%

Assist %

62.7%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Brave Thunders ■ Shimane

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brave Thunders wins

Shimane wins

Date	Game	Score
19/10/26	Shimane v Brave Thunders	80-69
20/12/25	Brave Thunders v Shimane	69-72
19/12/25	Brave Thunders v Shimane	79-68
13/04/25	Shimane v Brave Thunders	85-68
12/04/25	Shimane v Brave Thunders	91-96
04/11/23	Shimane v Brave Thunders	81-85
03/11/23	Shimane v Brave Thunders	69-76
05/12/22	Brave Thunders v Shimane	61-89
04/12/22	Brave Thunders v Shimane	80-64
31/01/21	Shimane v Brave Thunders	86-85

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Altiri Chiba	76-85
06/11/26	A	Shiga	75-81
01/11/26	H	Yokohama	66-77
31/10/26	H	Yokohama	65-75
26/10/26	A	Utsunomiya Brex	92-89
24/10/26	H	Sendai	82-93
21/10/26	H	Osaka	101-67
19/10/26	A	Shimane	69-80
16/10/26	H	Ibaraki Robots	74-82
10/10/26	H	Alvark	82-94

Shimanelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/26	H	Toyama	108-75
01/11/26	H	Hiroshima D.	73-74
31/10/26	H	Hiroshima D.	88-95
26/10/26	H	Sendai	85-86
24/10/26	A	Toyama	79-82
19/10/26	H	Brave Thunders	80-69
17/10/26	A	Chiba	78-97
10/10/26	A	Ryukyu	69-90
07/10/26	H	Levanga Hokkaido	95-83
04/10/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders

B League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	27%
Home	WLLLL	11%
Away	WWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	27%	11%	50%
Points / game	78.8	76.3	82.5
Allowed / game	84.0	84.0	84.0
Point differential	-5.2	-7.7	-1.5
Avg total	162.8	160.3	166.5
Over 161.5	47%	44%	50%
Win by 10+	7%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Shimane

B League 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	38%
Home	WLLLW	38%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	38%	38%	40%
Points / game	83.2	85.2	80.0
Allowed / game	82.2	82.1	82.2
Point differential	+1.1	+3.1	-2.2
Avg total	165.4	167.4	162.2
Over 161.5	54%	62%	40%
Win by 10+	31%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Hiroshima D.	14	13	1	93%	90.4	79.1	+11.2
2	Diamond Dolphins	12	11	1	92%	91.2	75.2	+15.9
3	SeaHorses Mikawa	13	10	3	77%	90.4	80.7	+9.7
4	Alvark	16	12	4	75%	93.2	82.9	+10.4
5	Sendai	16	12	4	75%	87.6	79.8	+7.9
6	Gunma	15	11	4	73%	82.7	73.7	+8.9
7	NeoPhoenix	10	7	3	70%	85.3	81.4	+3.9
8	Tokyo Sunrockers	16	11	5	69%	90.7	80.2	+10.4
9	Levanga Hokkaido	14	9	5	64%	96.5	94.6	+1.9
10	Kyoto	14	8	6	57%	84.4	78.5	+5.9
11	Toyama	15	8	7	53%	82.9	87.7	-4.8
12	Ibaraki Robots	16	8	8	50%	83.6	78.4	+5.1
13	Ryukyu	15	7	8	47%	83.6	81.9	+1.7
14	Yokohama	15	7	8	47%	78.5	83.4	-4.9
15	Chiba	16	7	9	44%	92.7	96.6	-3.9
16	Shiga	14	6	8	43%	85.6	88.8	-3.2
17	Utsunomiya Brex	14	6	8	43%	81.1	84.6	-3.5
18	Shimane	13	5	8	38%	83.2	82.2	+1.1
19	Shinshu	16	6	10	38%	84.5	86.9	-2.4
20	Nagasaki	16	6	10	38%	77.4	81.9	-4.6
21	Altiri Chiba	16	6	10	38%	80.8	85.8	-4.9
22	Brave Thunders	15	4	11	27%	78.8	84.0	-5.2
23	Kobe	15	4	11	27%	80.0	86.5	-6.5
24	Akita	15	4	11	27%	82.7	90.1	-7.4
25	Saga	14	1	13	7%	78.2	95.2	-17.0
26	Osaka	15	1	14	7%	69.6	90.9	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brave Thunders	14	24	19	17	74
Shimane	26	24	27	18	95

← all games of the day

Brave Thunders vs Shimane Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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