Shimane vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Shimane hosts Toyama on 9 November 2026 in the B League, with the Pythia model naming Shimane as the favourite and predicting a 58% chance of a home win, a 42% chance for Toyama, and a projected score of 84-81 with 164.9 total points; the home team line is -6.0, and the model estimates a 38% chance that Shimane will cover, while the over on the 167.0 total has a 44% probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. Shimane's season record is 4-8, with 81.2 points per game and 82.8 allowed, placing them 20th; at home they are 2-5, scoring 82.0 and conceding 83.1, and their last five games were 1-4, including losses of 73-74 to Hiroshima D., 88-95 to Hiroshima D., and 85-86 to Sendai. Toyama is 8-6 overall, averaging 83.4 points and 86.2 allowed, positioned 11th; on the road they are 6-1, scoring 94.0 and allowing 86.6, and their last five were 3-2, with recent results of a 80-93 loss to Diamond Dolphins at home, and wins of 83-78 and 100-93 over Chiba away. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Shimane has won eight, Toyama two, and the last encounter ended 82-79 in favour of Toyama on 24 October 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shimane winWon

58.2%fair 1.72

Best odds1.46

Implied65.0%

Edge-6.8pp

Toyama winLost

41.8%fair 2.39

Best odds2.88

Implied35.0%

Edge+6.8pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Shimane

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShimane

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

73-85

-12

66avg 73

H03/10

B League

Diamond Dolphins

80-90

-10

72avg 73

H04/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

95-83

+12

92avg 73

H07/10

B League

Ryukyu

#13

69-90

-21

55avg 73

A10/10

B League

Chiba

#15

78-97

-19

66avg 73

A17/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

80-69

+11

73avg 73

H19/10

B League

Toyama

#11

79-82

-3

65avg 73

A24/10

B League

Sendai

85-86

-1

81avg 73

H26/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

88-95

-7

84avg 73

H31/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

73-74

-1

42avg 73

H01/11

B League

21-20

10-27

20-23

22-15

10-26

17-21

30-23

23-20

28-16

12-25

29-24

26-18

15-18

17-30

16-27

21-15

16-23

30-23

15-22

17-29

18-26

23-15

19-10

20-18

17-20

20-29

16-14

26-19

23-26

21-18

25-17

16-25

24-23

23-22

16-23

25-27

19-25

21-16

22-15

11-18

165.1Avg total

80.0Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	81.2	82.8	163.9	-1.6	33%
Season at home (7)	82.0	83.1	165.1	-1.1	29%
Season away (5)	80.0	82.2	162.2	-2.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	85.1	165.1	-5.1	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	81.2	162.2	-0.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.3	82.6	153.9	-11.3	0%
vs Similar (13)	82.5	84.3	166.8	-1.8	54%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	79.3	80.4	159.7	-1.1	57%

This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Toyama

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormToyama

Date

Competition

Kyoto

#10

77-81

-4

65avg 75

H07/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

96-90 OT

80avg 75

A09/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#21

94-74

+20

92avg 75

A11/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

56-99

-43

39avg 75

H18/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

105-87

105

+18

103avg 75

A21/10

B League

Shimane

#18

82-79

72avg 75

H24/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

61-83

-22

47avg 75

H26/10

B League

Chiba

#15

100-93

100

95avg 75

A31/10

B League

Chiba

#15

83-78

84avg 75

A01/11

B League

Diamond Dolphins

80-93

-13

no box

H07/11

B League

20-23

17-18

17-26

23-14

16-27

21-30

17-17

31-11

21-21

28-21

25-18

20-14

18-24

14-19

16-36

8-20

17-17

22-23

36-24

30-23

20-17

29-20

14-16

19-26

19-18

17-25

9-25

16-15

27-34

30-19

24-11

19-29

20-19

26-10

19-23

18-26

15-22

20-23

27-26

18-22

169.1Avg total

83.4Scored

85.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	83.4	86.2	169.6	-2.8	57%
Season at home (7)	72.9	85.9	158.7	-13.0	29%
Season away (7)	94.0	86.6	180.6	+7.4	86%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	85.7	169.1	-2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	85.2	166.4	-4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	78.8	86.7	165.6	-7.9	39%
vs Similar (10)	85.5	84.9	170.4	+0.6	60%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	74.5	162.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 162.5Actual: Over 162.5

Over 162.5

54.9%

@ 1.63-4.0pp

Under 162.5

45.1%

@ 2.32+4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.63

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.51

Under

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

1.98

Over/Under 167.5 · main lineActual: Over 167.5

Over 167.5

42.9%

@ 1.95-7.3pp

Under 167.5

57.1%

@ 1.92+7.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

SBO

1.86

Under

Pinnacle

1.92

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.80

Over/Under 172.5Actual: Over 172.5

Over 172.5

31.7%

@ 2.37-7.1pp

Under 172.5

68.3%

@ 1.50+7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.37

Under

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Shimane total 81.5Actual: Shimane over 81.5

Over 81.5

58.0%

@ 1.50-6.4pp

Under 81.5

42.0%

@ 2.72+6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.36

Under

Bet365

2.72

1xBet

2.46

Betano

2.37

Shimane total 85.5 · main lineActual: Shimane over 85.5

Over 85.5

42.5%

@ 1.83-9.0pp

Under 85.5

57.5%

@ 1.93+9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.75

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.68

Under

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.90

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Shimane total 89.5Actual: Shimane over 89.5

Over 89.5

28.2%

@ 2.42-9.9pp

Under 89.5

71.8%

@ 1.55+9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Under

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.41

Toyama total 76.5Actual: Toyama under 76.5

Over 76.5

67.5%

@ 1.41+1.8pp

Under 76.5

32.5%

@ 2.70-1.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.41

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.35

Under

Betano

2.70

Bet365

2.70

1xBet

2.51

Toyama total 80.5 · main lineActual: Toyama under 80.5

Over 80.5

52.6%

@ 1.83+0.9pp

Under 80.5

47.4%

@ 1.93-0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.76

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.66

Under

Betano

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.79

Toyama total 84.5Actual: Toyama under 84.5

Over 84.5

37.5%

@ 2.50-1.2pp

Under 84.5

62.5%

@ 1.50+1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.25

Under

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.50

1xBet

1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Shimane -7.5Actual: Shimane -7.5

SHIM -7.5

32.8%

@ 2.40-6.6pp

TOYA +7.5

67.2%

@ 1.71+6.6pp

Best 5 market prices

SHIM

Pinnacle

2.40

1xBet

2.15

Betano

2.15

Bet365

2.00

TOYA

Bet365

1.71

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

Pinnacle

1.56

1xBet

1.50

Spread Shimane -4.5 · main lineActual: Shimane -4.5

SHIM -4.5

43.7%

@ 1.88-7.0pp

TOYA +4.5

56.3%

@ 2.12+7.0pp

Best 5 market prices

SHIM

Pinnacle

1.88

Betfair

1.83

Marathon Be

1.75

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.70

TOYA

Bet365

2.12

Pinnacle

1.93

Betano

1.91

Marathon Be

1.89

1xBet

1.83

Spread Shimane -1.5Actual: Shimane -1.5

SHIM -1.5

55.3%

@ 1.75+0.4pp

TOYA +1.5

44.7%

@ 2.70-0.4pp

Best 5 market prices

SHIM

1xBet

1.75

SBO

1.75

Pinnacle

1.72

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.41

TOYA

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.42

Pinnacle

2.09

SBO

1.91

1xBet

1.84

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ShimaneToyama

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	39%	61%
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	19.9	39.8	-0.1	42%	42%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.3	41.4	-3.2	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.0	44.2	-3.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	30%	50%
vs Similar (13)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	46%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	43%	43%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	47%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	31%	54%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.2	41.5	-2.9	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	22.2	41.8	-2.7	33%	56%
vs Similar (10)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	50%	30%
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.1	41.5	-0.8	53%	43%
Last 30 at home (18)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	61%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	22.8	42.8	-2.7	42%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.3	60%	20%
vs Similar (13)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	46%	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.7	22.4	46.1	+1.3	57%	71%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	20.5	39.8	-1.1	24%	47%
Last 30 away (13)	24.9	21.5	46.5	+3.4	69%	77%
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.4	43.8	+5.0	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	33%	56%
vs Similar (10)	24.3	20.6	44.9	+3.7	60%	70%
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	50%	50%

ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Dolphins

31-47

-16

H03/10

B League

Diamond Dolphins

27-47

-20

H04/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

40-41

-1

H07/10

B League

Ryukyu

#13

32-48

-16

A10/10

B League

Chiba

#15

46-46

A17/10

B League

Brave Thunders

#22

41-41

H19/10

B League

Toyama

#11

37-49

-12

A24/10

B League

Sendai

44-44

H26/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

47-45

H31/10

B League

Hiroshima D.

40-41

-1

H01/11

B League

83.4Avg total

38.5Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.7	33%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	40.1	42.8	82.9	-2.7	33%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	39.9	42.7	82.6	-2.8	33%	42%
Last 10 (10)	38.5	44.9	83.4	-6.4	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.8	44.0	85.8	-2.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.6	42.9	78.5	-7.3	20%	30%
vs Similar (13)	42.3	42.4	84.7	-0.1	46%	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.1	43.3	85.4	-1.1	29%	43%

This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

#10

37-41

-4

H07/10

B League

Tokyo Sunrockers

37-57

-20

A09/10

B League

Altiri Chiba

#21

49-42

A11/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

32-43

-11

H18/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

39-40

-1

A21/10

B League

Shimane

#18

49-37

+12

H24/10

B League

Ibaraki Robots

#12

36-43

-7

H26/10

B League

Chiba

#15

57-53

A31/10

B League

Chiba

#15

46-29

+17

A01/11

B League

Diamond Dolphins

35-45

-10

H07/11

B League

84.7Avg total

41.7Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	42.0	42.5	84.5	-0.6	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	40.9	80.6	-1.3	35%	29%
Last 30 away (13)	45.0	44.6	89.6	+0.4	62%	69%
Last 10 (10)	41.7	43.0	84.7	-1.3	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	41.4	86.0	+3.2	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.8	43.4	83.3	-3.6	39%	44%
vs Similar (10)	45.8	41.4	87.2	+4.4	60%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	50%	50%

This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Shimane win

SHIM win

no forecast

@ 1.53

TOYA win

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half Spread Shimane -2.5 · main lineActual: Shimane -2.5

SHIM -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.92

TOYA +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 84.25 · main lineActual: Over 84.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.79

Shimane 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Shimane over 43.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

Toyama 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Toyama under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half: SHIM + total 83.5

SHIM & over

no forecast

@ 3.00

SHIM & under

no forecast

@ 2.95

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: TOYA + total 83.5

TOYA & over

no forecast

@ 5.00

TOYA & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half Over/Under 83Actual: Over 83

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Shimane -3.5Actual: Shimane -3.5

SHIM -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.10

TOYA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Shimane -1.5Actual: Shimane -1.5

SHIM -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.90

TOYA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.64

Under

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Under 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.62

Under

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half Spread Shimane -4.5Actual: Shimane -4.5

SHIM -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

TOYA +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Shimane (regulation)

SHIM

no forecast

@ 1.57

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

TOYA

no forecast

@ 2.60

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.1	47%	33%
Last 30 at home (18)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	50%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	17.6	18.7	36.2	-1.1	42%	25%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.8	35.4	+3.8	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	40%	40%
vs Similar (13)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	46%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	17.4	17.3	34.7	+0.1	57%	14%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	22.5	40.5	-4.4	47%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.8	39%	56%
vs Similar (10)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	40%
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	13.0	36.5	+10.5	100%	0%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.0	43%	30%
Last 30 at home (18)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	44%	28%
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	42%	33%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	30%	30%
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.8	39.9	+0.4	46%	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.1	57%	29%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	33%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	20.6	38.6	-2.5	35%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.8	28%	44%
vs Similar (10)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.8	40%	60%
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	37.3	39.4	76.7	-2.2	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (18)	38.1	40.6	78.7	-2.5	33%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	33%	25%
Last 10 (10)	41.5	40.2	81.7	+1.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.7	39.7	75.4	-4.0	20%	40%
vs Similar (13)	38.5	40.5	79.0	-1.9	31%	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	37.1	37.1	74.3	+0.0	57%	29%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81.5
Last 30 (30)	39.3	42.6	81.9	-3.3	37%	47%
Last 30 at home (17)	36.1	43.1	79.2	-6.9	29%	35%
Last 30 away (13)	43.5	42.0	85.5	+1.5	46%	62%
Last 10 (10)	40.6	42.2	82.8	-1.6	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	36.6	43.8	80.4	-7.2	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.4	43.0	81.4	-4.6	28%	44%
vs Similar (10)	39.7	43.5	83.2	-3.8	40%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	34.5	80.5	+11.5	100%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SHIM win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

TOYA win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SHIM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TOYA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SHIM:TOYA): SHIM wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Toyama +9	72.6%	1.58	Bet365 1.58	-	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Lost
Shimane under 95.5	87.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Lost
Shimane under 93.5	83.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Lost
Toyama +16.5	89.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Lost
Toyama +15.5	87.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Lost
Toyama +11.5	78.9%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Shimane under 91.5	77.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Shimane under 96.5	89.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+10.6pp	Lost
Shimane under 97.5	91.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Lost
Shimane under 89.5	71.8%	1.48	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.41	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
Toyama +13.5	83.5%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Lost
Shimane under 90.5	75.0%	1.38	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+9.5pp	Lost
Toyama +10.5	76.3%	1.37	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.37	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+9.4pp	Lost
Shimane under 92.5	80.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Toyama +8.5	70.4%	1.51	Bet365 1.64	Marathon Bet 1.50	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.42	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Toyama +12.5	81.3%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Toyama +9.5	73.5%	1.44	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+9.1pp	Lost
Toyama +21.5	94.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Lost
Toyama +20.5	93.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Lost
Toyama +14.5	85.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Shimane under 94.5	85.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Lost
Toyama +24.5	96.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Shimane under 98.5	92.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Toyama +19.5	92.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Lost
Under 174.5	72.4%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Toyama over 71.5	82.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Under 173.5	70.4%	1.44	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Lost
Toyama over 70.5	85.1%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Toyama over 69.5	87.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Toyama over 73.5	77.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Under 176.5	76.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Under 181.5	84.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Lost
Under 191.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Shimane +20.5	97.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Toyama over 75.5	70.9%	1.35	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Under 186.5	90.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Toyama over 72.5	80.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Toyama under 96.5	92.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Shimane +15.5	93.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Toyama over 68.5	89.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Shimane +5.5	74.4%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Toyama under 92.5	85.9%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Toyama under 94.5	89.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Shimane +6.5	77.3%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.7%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	-
Toyama under 97.5	93.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Shimane over 68.5	92.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Shimane +18.5	95.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Shimane +19.5	96.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Toyama over 74.5	74.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Toyama under 95.5	91.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Shimane +14.5	92.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Shimane over 69.5	91.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Toyama under 88.5	75.8%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Over 141.5	92.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Shimane over 70.5	89.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Shimane +13.5	91.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Toyama under 93.5	87.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Shimane +10.5	86.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Toyama under 87.5	72.7%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Toyama under 90.5	81.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Toyama under 91.5	83.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Shimane over 72.5	85.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.4pp	Won
Shimane over 71.5	88.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won
Over 146.5	86.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Toyama under 89.5	78.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-0.2pp	Won
Shimane over 74.5	81.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Over 151.5	78.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Shimane over 73.5	83.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.4pp	Won
Shimane +4.5	71.3%	1.27	Betano 1.34	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Won
Shimane over 75.5	78.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Shimane +9.5	84.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Shimane over 76.5	75.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Won
Shimane +8.5	82.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Won
Shimane over 77.5	72.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-5.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	18.5	54.7%	53.6%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	10.7	33.4%	32.9%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	10.4	71.2%	73.8%	10.4

They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 83.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀24%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	19.8	47.9%	53.6%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	7.9	28.6%	32.9%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	25.7	19.8	77.0%	73.8%	19.8

They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.6	22.5	52.8%	53.6%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	7.8	30.5%	32.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.2	77.5%	73.8%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	17.6	49.6%	53.6%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.6	36.1%	32.9%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	25.7	18.8	73.2%	73.8%	18.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.0	53.1%	53.6%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.4	32.5%	32.9%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	14.5	11.0	76.0%	73.8%	11.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	21.8	52.1%	53.6%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	7.7	30.5%	32.9%	23.0
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.4	71.8%	73.8%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.7	52.2%	53.6%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.8	33.0%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.4	74.1%	73.8%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	17.6	54.0%	53.6%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	10.6	32.7%	32.9%	31.9
🏀 Free throws	24.9	17.5	70.4%	73.8%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Shimane

LLLLWLLWLL

Toyama

LWWLWWLWWL

#18

League position

#11

-5.9

Net rating

-2.9

91.9

Offensive rating

90.8

97.8

Defensive rating

93.7

52.5%

Effective FG%

45.9%

50.1%

Opp. effective FG%

51.6%

14.7%

Turnover %

13.0%

0.22

Free-throw rate

0.37

33.4%

3-point %

28.6%

62.7%

Assist %

71.8%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Shimane ■ Toyama

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Shimane wins

Toyama wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/26	Toyama v Shimane	82-79
08/04/26	Shimane v Toyama	68-98
12/11/25	Toyama v Shimane	83-115
06/03/24	Shimane v Toyama	97-75
08/11/23	Toyama v Shimane	83-92
31/12/22	Shimane v Toyama	84-78
30/12/22	Shimane v Toyama	83-69
27/04/22	Shimane v Toyama	87-80
20/03/22	Toyama v Shimane	76-87
19/03/22	Toyama v Shimane	75-79

Shimanelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/26	H	Hiroshima D.	73-74
31/10/26	H	Hiroshima D.	88-95
26/10/26	H	Sendai	85-86
24/10/26	A	Toyama	79-82
19/10/26	H	Brave Thunders	80-69
17/10/26	A	Chiba	78-97
10/10/26	A	Ryukyu	69-90
07/10/26	H	Levanga Hokkaido	95-83
04/10/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	80-90
03/10/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	73-85

Toyamalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Diamond Dolphins	80-93
01/11/26	A	Chiba	83-78
31/10/26	A	Chiba	100-93
26/10/26	H	Ibaraki Robots	61-83
24/10/26	H	Shimane	82-79
21/10/26	A	Levanga Hokkaido	105-87
18/10/26	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	56-99
11/10/26	A	Altiri Chiba	94-74
09/10/26	A	Tokyo Sunrockers	96-90 OT
07/10/26	H	Kyoto	77-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shimane

B League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	WWLLL	29%
Away	WWLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	33%	29%	40%
Points / game	81.2	82.0	80.0
Allowed / game	82.8	83.1	82.2
Point differential	-1.6	-1.1	-2.2
Avg total	163.9	165.1	162.2
Over 167.5	42%	57%	20%
Win by 10+	25%	29%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Toyama

B League 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	57%
Home	LLWLL	29%
Away	WWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	57%	29%	86%
Points / game	83.4	72.9	94.0
Allowed / game	86.2	85.9	86.6
Point differential	-2.8	-13.0	+7.4
Avg total	169.6	158.7	180.6
Over 167.5	57%	29%	86%
Win by 10+	29%	14%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	11	11	0	100%	92.5	74.2	+18.4
2	Hiroshima D.	14	13	1	93%	90.4	79.1	+11.2
3	Alvark	16	12	4	75%	93.2	82.9	+10.4
4	SeaHorses Mikawa	12	9	3	75%	90.3	80.2	+10.1
5	Sendai	15	11	4	73%	86.3	79.3	+7.1
6	Gunma	14	10	4	71%	82.4	73.6	+8.8
7	NeoPhoenix	10	7	3	70%	85.3	81.4	+3.9
8	Tokyo Sunrockers	15	10	5	67%	89.5	79.8	+9.7
9	Kyoto	13	8	5	62%	84.8	78.0	+6.8
10	Levanga Hokkaido	13	8	5	62%	97.4	95.8	+1.5
11	Toyama	14	8	6	57%	83.4	86.2	-2.8
12	Ryukyu	14	7	7	50%	84.4	82.0	+2.4
13	Ibaraki Robots	15	7	8	47%	83.8	78.9	+4.9
14	Yokohama	15	7	8	47%	78.5	83.4	-4.9
15	Shiga	14	6	8	43%	85.6	88.8	-3.2
16	Utsunomiya Brex	14	6	8	43%	81.1	84.6	-3.5
17	Shinshu	15	6	9	40%	84.4	86.6	-2.2
18	Nagasaki	15	6	9	40%	76.7	80.3	-3.5
19	Chiba	15	6	9	40%	91.8	96.7	-4.9
20	Shimane	12	4	8	33%	81.2	82.8	-1.6
21	Altiri Chiba	15	5	10	33%	80.5	86.4	-5.9
22	Brave Thunders	14	4	10	29%	79.0	83.9	-4.9
23	Kobe	14	4	10	29%	79.5	84.9	-5.4
24	Akita	15	4	11	27%	82.7	90.1	-7.4
25	Saga	14	1	13	7%	78.2	95.2	-17.0
26	Osaka	14	1	13	7%	67.9	89.9	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Shimane	20	32	26	30	108
Toyama	13	20	23	19	75

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Shimane vs Toyama Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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