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Brave Thunders vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 72-58
14-10 22-14 16-16 20-18
Position#10
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#24
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game91.2
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena (Kawasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Toyama
11 Apr 2027
BRAV v TOYA
upcoming
09 Apr 2027
BRAV v TOYA
upcoming
20 Dec 2023
BRAV71
TOYA87
21 Oct 2023
BRAV72
TOYA58
20 Oct 2023
BRAV87
TOYA70
22 Mar 2023
BRAV85
TOYA81
07 Nov 2021
BRAV87
TOYA74
06 Nov 2021
BRAV91
TOYA87
15 Nov 2020
BRAV82
TOYA93
14 Nov 2020
BRAV84
TOYA78
05 Jan 2020
BRAV56
TOYA88
04 Jan 2020
BRAV83
TOYA60
16 Oct 2019
BRAV69
TOYA73
06 Apr 2019
BRAV74
TOYA88
05 Apr 2019
BRAV86
TOYA79
16 Jan 2019
BRAV87
TOYA67
15 Apr 2017
BRAV78
TOYA63
14 Apr 2017
BRAV80
TOYA83
22 Oct 2016
BRAV112
TOYA90
21 Oct 2016
BRAV74
TOYA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
W
100-79
100
79
+21
no box
A30/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
H06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H07/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
H13/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
84-104
84
104
-20
no box
H14/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 79
H07/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 79
H08/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 79
A14/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 79
A15/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 79
H20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
22-20
16-25
34-15
9-26
21-10
24-17
25-17
21-19
15-25
21-21
14-23
29-21
21-22
16-25
20-23
15-34
26-23
14-23
29-24
25-24
21-28
8-12
21-22
21-21
23-10
28-17
12-23
21-16
25-23
19-26
22-20
19-14
27-26
23-15
24-27
24-19
22-18
21-20
20-13
167.2Avg total
84.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.278.8164.0+6.480%
Season at home (3)82.075.7157.7+6.367%
Season away (2)90.083.5173.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.682.6167.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)85.278.8164.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
vs Similar (8)82.582.5165.0+0.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.777.8164.4+8.980%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Niigata
#24
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
H29/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
H30/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 71
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 71
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
84-96
84
96
-12
82avg 71
H14/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
83-94
83
94
-11
80avg 71
H15/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 71
A20/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
17-21
23-21
36-24
19-16
28-18
27-18
21-24
19-28
20-22
25-16
15-34
28-19
18-25
24-21
25-24
23-17
15-20
23-21
23-23
21-24
16-14
15-30
21-25
18-31
21-15
14-19
24-21
25-25
26-17
15-28
18-26
20-32
21-24
27-16
15-22
19-24
18-22
20-21
13-20
172.5Avg total
82.9Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.491.2168.6-13.80%
Season at home (2)83.595.0178.5-11.50%
Season away (3)73.388.7162.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)82.989.6172.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)77.491.2168.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.488.4167.8-9.024%
vs Similar (5)84.484.0168.4+0.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
Brave ThundersToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#22
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A30/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#13
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H07/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H13/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H14/05
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H07/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/10
B League
85.3Avg total
43.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.380.8+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.637.880.4+4.874%-
Last 30 away (11)42.439.181.5+3.364%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.885.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.041.586.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (8)42.540.182.6+2.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.237.279.5+5.075%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#24
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H30/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H15/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/10
B League
84.7Avg total
40.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.381.2-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.542.684.1-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)36.741.978.6-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.544.284.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.686.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.042.681.7-3.632%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.2
51.8%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.4
33.3%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.415.8
73.8%
72.0%15.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.625.2
51.9%
50.9%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.45.0
28.7%
33.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws16.210.8
66.7%
72.0%10.8
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
WWWWLLLLWW
Toyama
LLLLLWWLWL
#10
League position
#24
+8.9
Net rating
-18.5
110.4
Offensive rating
99.0
101.5
Defensive rating
117.5
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
13.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.3%
3-point %
28.7%
66.9%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 99.0Defence101.5 · 117.5Shooting51.0% · 49.5%3-point %33.3% · 28.7%Ball care13.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brave Thunders wins
3
Toyama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HToyama87-70
15/10/23ASeaHorses Mikawa93-82
14/10/23ASeaHorses Mikawa87-85
08/10/23HNeoPhoenix84-71
07/10/23HNeoPhoenix75-86
14/05/23HYokohama84-104
13/05/23HYokohama86-91
07/05/23HSun Rockers Shibuya71-88
06/05/23HSun Rockers Shibuya79-70
30/04/23AToyama100-79
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23ABrave Thunders70-87
15/10/23HNagasaki83-94
14/10/23HNagasaki84-96
08/10/23AOsaka77-86
07/10/23AOsaka73-93
07/05/23AYokohama84-81
06/05/23AYokohama95-89
30/04/23HBrave Thunders79-100
29/04/23HBrave Thunders95-76
23/04/23ANiigata89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game85.282.090.0
Allowed / game78.875.783.5
Point differential+6.4+6.3+6.5
Avg total164.0157.7173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.483.573.3
Allowed / game91.295.088.7
Point differential-13.8-11.5-15.3
Avg total168.6178.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka440100%88.075.2+12.8
2 Nagasaki440100%92.583.8+8.8
3 Diamond Dolphins550100%83.875.2+8.6
4 Alvark54180%78.665.6+13.0
5 NeoPhoenix54180%87.878.4+9.4
6 Shimane54180%83.075.4+7.6
7 Brave Thunders54180%85.278.8+6.4
8 Nagoya Fighting Eagles54180%75.470.2+5.2
9 Ryukyu54180%80.679.8+0.8
10 Yokohama53260%83.677.8+5.8
11 Utsunomiya Brex53260%73.872.8+1.0
12 SeaHorses Mikawa52340%80.479.0+1.4
13 Hiroshima D.52340%75.075.4-0.4
14 Chiba52340%84.686.2-1.6
15 Shinshu52340%81.483.4-2.0
16 Akita52340%74.479.2-4.8
17 Gunma52340%77.084.2-7.2
18 Hokkaido51420%74.283.0-8.8
19 Sendai51420%74.684.2-9.6
20 Saga51420%71.482.2-10.8
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya4040%78.083.0-5.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4040%78.284.8-6.5
23 Kyoto5050%77.485.6-8.2
24 Toyama5050%77.491.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders1422162072
Toyama1014161858
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