Brave Thunders vs Tsukuba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 82-67

26-25 11-8 19-18 26-16

Position#1

Record35-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game89.2

Allowed / game75.2

Brave Thunders 🏆

Tsukuba

Position#10

Record7-34

FormWLLLL

Points / game68.2

Allowed / game84.9

NBLRound 21

Other2013-14

Meetings · Brave Thunders v Tsukuba

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tsukuba winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

98-71

+27

H09/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

100-86

100

+14

H16/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

92-57

+35

H17/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

85-77

A22/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

87-73

+14

A23/02

NBL

Kobe

#11

90-65

+25

H01/03

NBL

Kobe

#11

88-72

+16

H02/03

NBL

Trians

83-69

+14

A08/03

NBL

Trians

86-100

100

-14

A09/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

99-81

+18

H15/03

NBL

33-6

20-24

26-19

19-22

27-11

23-28

25-25

25-22

16-23

22-12

28-10

26-12

15-16

30-12

17-20

23-29

20-22

20-17

20-19

27-15

14-21

22-16

30-17

24-11

20-18

15-10

29-19

24-25

27-14

20-15

16-21

20-19

24-28

8-25

28-27

26-20

24-21

30-12

30-25

15-23

165.9Avg total

90.8Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	89.2	75.2	164.4	+14.0	85%
Season at home (21)	89.8	76.9	166.7	+13.0	81%
Season away (20)	88.5	73.5	162.0	+15.0	90%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	75.1	165.9	+15.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	77.4	166.6	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	84.9	81.1	166.0	+3.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	92.0	72.6	164.7	+19.4	100%

This opponent (Tsukuba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tsukuba

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tochigi Brex

62-84

-22

A09/02

NBL

Alvark

56-87

-31

A15/02

NBL

Alvark

51-89

-38

A16/02

NBL

Hokkaido

54-76

-22

H22/02

NBL

Hokkaido

54-77

-23

H23/02

NBL

Chiba

76-60

+16

A01/03

NBL

Chiba

78-82

-4

A02/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

75-87

-12

H08/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

77-86

-9

H09/03

NBL

Brave Thunders

81-99

-18

A15/03

NBL

16-24

20-18

11-20

15-22

12-14

13-31

15-22

16-20

13-19

8-18

16-29

14-23

13-11

15-22

20-18

6-25

12-24

15-15

13-23

14-15

18-11

19-15

22-16

17-18

21-20

12-20

27-16

18-26

16-19

11-22

24-17

24-29

15-23

17-26

20-20

25-17

21-24

12-30

25-30

23-15

149.1Avg total

66.4Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (41)	68.2	84.9	153.0	-16.7	17%
Season at home (20)	69.5	87.0	156.6	-17.5	20%
Season away (21)	66.9	82.8	149.7	-15.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	66.4	82.7	149.1	-16.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	82.8	160.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	66.4	86.9	153.3	-20.5	7%
vs Similar (2)	84.0	79.5	163.5	+4.5	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brave ThundersTsukuba

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	19.0	43.0	+5.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.0	18.9	42.9	+5.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	19.0	43.1	+5.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.0	18.8	42.8	+5.2	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	21.6	37.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.1	22.5	37.6	-7.3	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	20.7	36.9	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	18.9	34.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	15.6	21.3	36.9	-5.7	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	15.7	35.6	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	15.8	35.8	+4.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	15.6	35.4	+4.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	16.5	18.9	35.4	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	14.5	35.7	+6.7	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	21.3	37.4	-5.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	20.9	37.2	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	21.7	37.6	-5.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.2	21.7	35.9	-7.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	22.6	36.8	-8.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	15.5	21.8	37.2	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	15.5	39.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

SeaHorses Mikawa

53-30

+23

H09/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

50-39

+11

H16/02

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

38-35

H17/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

45-28

+17

A22/02

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

40-39

A23/02

NBL

Kobe

#11

36-37

-1

H01/03

NBL

Kobe

#11

35-28

H02/03

NBL

Trians

47-29

+18

A08/03

NBL

Trians

32-53

-21

A09/03

NBL

Tsukuba

#10

54-33

+21

H15/03

NBL

78.1Avg total

43.0Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	34.6	78.6	+9.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.1	34.7	78.8	+9.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	34.6	78.5	+9.4	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	35.1	78.1	+7.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	40.8	38.2	79.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.2	33.3	78.5	+11.9	82%	-

This opponent (Tsukuba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TsukubaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tochigi Brex

36-42

-6

A09/02

NBL

Alvark

25-45

-20

A15/02

NBL

Alvark

21-37

-16

A16/02

NBL

Hokkaido

28-33

-5

H22/02

NBL

Hokkaido

27-39

-12

H23/02

NBL

Chiba

37-26

+11

A01/03

NBL

Chiba

33-40

-7

A02/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

27-41

-14

H08/03

NBL

Sun Rockers

32-49

-17

H09/03

NBL

Brave Thunders

33-54

-21

A15/03

NBL

70.5Avg total

29.9Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.8	42.9	74.7	-11.1	7%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	31.4	43.4	74.8	-12.0	7%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.1	42.4	74.5	-10.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.9	40.6	70.5	-10.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	42.0	74.4	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	31.1	43.1	74.2	-12.0	4%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	40.5	81.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	20.4	44.9	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	21.0	46.9	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	20.2	45.1	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	21.8	48.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.9	21.4	44.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	25.1	20.0	45.1	+5.1	68%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.9	39.4	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.1	40.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	19.7	42.9	+3.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	21.2	21.5	42.8	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	22.7	39.9	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	23.5	41.4	-5.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.8	38.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.0	38.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	16.9	23.1	40.0	-6.2	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	40.3	86.4	+5.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	41.1	87.2	+5.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.1	39.4	85.5	+6.8	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	40.0	87.8	+7.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	41.4	89.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	44.1	42.9	87.0	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.9	39.3	86.2	+7.5	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	43.5	79.3	-7.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	43.5	79.1	-7.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	43.6	79.5	-7.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	42.1	78.6	-5.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	40.8	85.8	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	35.3	43.9	79.1	-8.6	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.0	39.0	82.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brave Thunders wins

Tsukuba wins

Date	Game	Score
15/03/14	Brave Thunders v Tsukuba	99-81
02/02/14	Tsukuba v Brave Thunders	78-97
01/02/14	Tsukuba v Brave Thunders	64-95

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/14	H	Tsukuba	99-81
09/03/14	A	Trians	86-100
08/03/14	A	Trians	83-69
02/03/14	H	Kobe	88-72
01/03/14	H	Kobe	90-65
23/02/14	A	Diamond Dolphins	87-73
22/02/14	A	Diamond Dolphins	85-77
17/02/14	H	Kumamoto	92-57
16/02/14	H	Kumamoto	100-86
09/02/14	H	SeaHorses Mikawa	98-71

Tsukubalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/03/14	A	Brave Thunders	81-99
09/03/14	H	Sun Rockers	77-86
08/03/14	H	Sun Rockers	75-87
02/03/14	A	Chiba	78-82
01/03/14	A	Chiba	76-60
23/02/14	H	Hokkaido	54-77
22/02/14	H	Hokkaido	54-76
16/02/14	A	Alvark	51-89
15/02/14	A	Alvark	56-87
09/02/14	A	Tochigi Brex	62-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	85%
Home	WWWWW	81%
Away	WWWWL	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	21	20
Win %	85%	81%	90%
Points / game	89.2	89.8	88.5
Allowed / game	75.2	76.9	73.5
Point differential	+14.0	+13.0	+15.0
Avg total	164.4	166.7	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	66%	57%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tsukuba

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	17%
Home	LLLLL	20%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	41	20	21
Win %	17%	20%	14%
Points / game	68.2	69.5	66.9
Allowed / game	84.9	87.0	82.8
Point differential	-16.7	-17.5	-15.9
Avg total	153.0	156.6	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	2%	0%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brave Thunders	41	35	6	85%	89.2	75.2	+14.0
2	Alvark	41	33	8	80%	86.7	69.6	+17.1
3	SeaHorses Mikawa	42	33	9	79%	84.2	75.6	+8.6
4	Trians	41	29	12	71%	83.0	76.2	+6.8
5	Hokkaido	42	26	16	62%	80.6	75.1	+5.5
6	Tochigi Brex	41	24	17	59%	79.9	77.8	+2.1
7	Diamond Dolphins	41	21	20	51%	78.4	76.8	+1.6
8	Sun Rockers	41	17	24	41%	76.1	80.1	-4.0
9	Chiba	42	12	30	29%	69.0	75.6	-6.6
10	Tsukuba	41	7	34	17%	68.2	84.9	-16.7
11	Kobe	42	6	36	14%	72.7	86.1	-13.5
12	Kumamoto	41	5	36	12%	75.8	90.4	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brave Thunders	26	11	19	26	82
Tsukuba	25	8	18	16	67

← all games of the day

Brave Thunders vs Tsukuba Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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