Breogan vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2020

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 87-69

20-15 22-16 28-21 17-17

Position#5

Record11-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game76.7

Breogan 🏆

Castello

Position#10

Record7-10

FormWLWLL

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game81.6

Primera FEBRound 18

Other2019-20

Meetings · Breogan v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

74-97

-23

H10/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#14

87-71

+16

A16/11

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

72-56

+16

H23/11

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

82-75

A29/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

88-84

H07/12

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

84-102

102

-18

A15/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

97-55

+42

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#11

85-52

+33

H28/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#15

64-61

A03/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

85-86

-1

H10/01

Primera FEB

10-24

27-19

20-26

17-28

31-17

19-17

15-22

22-15

18-17

29-8

10-19

15-12

17-16

23-16

19-18

23-25

29-16

27-24

13-23

19-21

21-23

23-25

25-23

15-31

25-9

15-18

29-9

28-19

18-12

23-19

20-9

24-12

18-15

10-14

23-22

13-10

25-14

14-22

26-29

20-21

155.7Avg total

81.8Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.3	76.7	159.0	+5.6	65%
Season at home (9)	82.8	73.3	156.1	+9.4	67%
Season away (8)	81.8	80.5	162.2	+1.2	62%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	73.9	155.7	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	71.2	154.2	+11.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	81.6	87.0	168.6	-5.4	22%
vs Similar (11)	78.9	91.7	170.6	-12.8	18%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	82.3	66.1	148.4	+16.2	90%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

91-85 OT

H08/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

79-87

-8

A15/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

65-85

-20

H22/11

Primera FEB

Granada

#13

65-72

-7

A01/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

91-87 OT

H06/12

Primera FEB

Huesca

#14

90-76

+14

A13/12

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

80-89

-9

H20/12

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

90-85

A27/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

81-91

-10

H03/01

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

76-78

-2

A10/01

Primera FEB

14-25

23-15

19-16

21-21

21-20

12-25

27-24

19-18

13-26

19-19

23-18

10-22

13-12

17-20

13-22

22-18

25-24

24-20

11-22

19-13

20-25

29-20

23-11

18-20

20-28

18-18

19-24

23-19

29-22

20-19

19-26

22-18

16-26

20-30

22-19

23-16

19-16

11-18

20-23

26-21

164.3Avg total

80.8Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.3	81.6	159.9	-3.3	41%
Season at home (8)	78.4	82.2	160.6	-3.9	50%
Season away (9)	78.2	81.0	159.2	-2.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	83.5	164.3	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	83.8	167.2	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	79.5	86.7	166.2	-7.2	21%
vs Similar (13)	76.4	75.2	151.5	+1.2	54%
vs Weaker (3)	82.3	76.7	159.0	+5.7	67%

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BreoganCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.3	37.5	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	14.6	36.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	24.3	43.2	-5.4	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.2	15.9	39.1	+7.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.8	40.4	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	22.7	42.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	43%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.2	39.3	+1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	19.7	40.3	+1.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	22.1	42.5	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.1	16.0	35.1	+3.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	54%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	67%	-

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

37-43

-6

H10/11

Primera FEB

Huesca

#14

50-34

+16

A16/11

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

47-25

+22

H23/11

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

40-32

A29/11

Primera FEB

Melilla

56-40

+16

H07/12

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

44-48

-4

A15/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

40-27

+13

H21/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#11

41-31

+10

H28/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

#15

28-29

-1

A03/01

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

39-36

H10/01

Primera FEB

76.7Avg total

42.2Scored

34.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	40.4	80.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	40.3	81.4	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	40.5	80.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	34.5	76.7	+7.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	34.2	72.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.0	42.4	82.4	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.4	46.4	85.7	-7.0	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.3	31.9	74.2	+10.4	80%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

37-40

-3

H08/11

Primera FEB

Valladolid

33-45

-12

A15/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

32-45

-13

H22/11

Primera FEB

Granada

#13

30-32

-2

A01/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

49-44

H06/12

Primera FEB

Huesca

#14

49-45

A13/12

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

38-46

-8

H20/12

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

49-41

A27/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

36-56

-20

H03/01

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

30-34

-4

A10/01

Primera FEB

81.1Avg total

38.3Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.8	80.0	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	42.7	83.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	38.9	76.9	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	42.8	81.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	44.4	84.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.3	44.3	82.6	-6.0	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.1	38.2	77.2	+0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	36.3	80.0	+7.3	67%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.4	43.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	22.4	41.9	-3.0	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.2	22.3	42.5	-2.1	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.8	17.1	36.9	+2.7	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	21.4	38.3	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.3	36%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.1	41.3	-0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.1	22.1	44.2	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	23.1	42.5	-3.7	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.1	39.0	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	18.1	39.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.3	16.0	36.3	+4.3	77%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.4	81.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	39.1	79.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	43.7	83.6	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	37.0	81.6	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.6	44.6	86.1	-3.0	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.5	45.4	84.9	-5.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.0	34.2	74.2	+5.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.3	77.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.2	77.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	39.5	77.6	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.1	79.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	39.4	82.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.4	41.3	80.6	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.3	37.0	74.3	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.7	40.3	79.0	-1.7	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.0	50.8%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.6%	33.7%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.3	70.0%	73.6%	13.3

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.4	56.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.9	38.7%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.1	75.3%	73.6%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.4	47.8%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.7%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.3%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.5	52.8%	51.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.7%	73.6%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Breogan wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
28/09/19	Castello v Breogan	68-91
23/02/18	Castello v Breogan	89-91
05/11/17	Breogan v Castello	97-69
03/03/17	Castello v Breogan	88-96
12/11/16	Breogan v Castello	82-65
26/02/16	Castello v Breogan	77-79
15/11/15	Breogan v Castello	83-87 OT

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/20	H	Almansa	85-86
03/01/20	A	Forca Lleida	64-61
28/12/19	H	Ourense	85-52
21/12/19	H	Leyma Coruna	97-55
15/12/19	A	Fibwi Palma	84-102
07/12/19	H	Melilla	88-84
29/11/19	A	Real Canoe	82-75
23/11/19	H	Peixegalego	72-56
16/11/19	A	Huesca	87-71
10/11/19	H	Gipuzkoa	74-97

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/20	A	Fibwi Palma	76-78
03/01/20	H	Melilla	81-91
27/12/19	A	Real Canoe	90-85
20/12/19	H	Peixegalego	80-89
13/12/19	A	Huesca	90-76
06/12/19	H	Gipuzkoa	91-87 OT
01/12/19	A	Granada	65-72
22/11/19	H	Caceres	65-85
15/11/19	A	Valladolid	79-87
08/11/19	H	Alicante	91-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	65%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	WWWLW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	65%	67%	62%
Points / game	82.3	82.8	81.8
Allowed / game	76.7	73.3	80.5
Point differential	+5.6	+9.4	+1.2
Avg total	159.0	156.1	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	44%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Castello

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	41%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	41%	50%	33%
Points / game	78.3	78.4	78.2
Allowed / game	81.6	82.2	81.0
Point differential	-3.3	-3.9	-2.8
Avg total	159.9	160.6	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	12%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valladolid	17	14	3	82%	81.3	73.5	+7.8
2	Gipuzkoa	17	13	4	76%	75.2	68.0	+7.2
3	Fibwi Palma	17	12	5	71%	79.2	72.4	+6.8
4	Melilla	18	12	6	67%	78.0	72.3	+5.7
5	Leyma Coruna	18	12	6	67%	73.6	75.1	-1.4
6	Breogan	17	11	6	65%	82.3	76.7	+5.6
7	Palencia	18	11	7	61%	81.6	77.9	+3.6
8	Alicante	18	10	8	56%	82.2	77.6	+4.6
9	Caceres	18	9	9	50%	75.8	72.1	+3.8
10	Ourense	18	9	9	50%	70.2	73.7	-3.5
11	Almansa	18	8	10	44%	76.0	79.0	-3.0
12	Castello	17	7	10	41%	78.3	81.6	-3.3
13	Huesca	18	7	11	39%	75.9	78.0	-2.1
14	Granada	17	6	11	35%	73.1	74.1	-1.1
15	Forca Lleida	18	6	12	33%	72.3	77.6	-5.2
16	Oviedo	17	5	12	29%	68.8	76.5	-7.7
17	Real Canoe	18	4	14	22%	76.1	80.2	-4.1
18	Peixegalego	17	2	15	12%	65.1	78.6	-13.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Breogan	20	22	28	17	87
Castello	15	16	21	17	69

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Breogan vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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