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Brescia vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-90 (OT)
18-25 24-18 20-16 16-19 11-12
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game83.4
Brescia
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brescia v Capo d'Orlando
19 Nov 2017
BRE87
KDO53
05 Nov 2016
BRE89
KDO90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
76-58
76
58
+18
no box
H14/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
60-69
60
69
-9
no box
A19/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A21/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
83-59
83
59
+24
no box
H24/06
A2 - Play Offs
Pesaro
#15
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
A02/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
76-56
76
56
+20
101avg 101
H09/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
98avg 101
A15/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
103avg 101
H23/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
102avg 101
A30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
12-7
24-22
17-13
21-16
16-16
19-17
20-9
17-21
12-12
11-14
20-22
19-25
24-31
14-23
13-15
25-13
20-20
19-10
19-16
14-20
9-19
18-12
22-25
21-17
23-17
15-14
17-8
22-21
15-30
21-20
15-25
16-23
18-27
31-25
15-22
21-25
11-22
19-21
28-24
149.1Avg total
73.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.283.4157.6-9.220%
Season at home (2)78.076.5154.5+1.550%
Season away (3)71.788.0159.7-16.30%
Last 10 (10)73.176.0149.1-2.940%
Last 5 (5)74.283.4157.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.989.0165.9-12.114%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.870.2144.1+3.662%
vs Weaker (10)85.179.2164.3+5.960%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formd'Orlando
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
H03/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A10/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H17/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
no box
A24/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-71
65
71
-6
89avg 110
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
92avg 110
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
90-77
90
77
+13
124avg 110
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
96-53
96
53
+43
133avg 110
H30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-23
16-24
22-9
20-17
15-17
9-18
21-18
17-16
21-21
28-20
15-25
24-23
14-21
13-20
18-21
13-16
18-14
11-12
16-23
20-11
21-22
12-20
12-18
15-23
22-15
12-24
20-22
23-26
25-13
16-17
26-21
25-31
14-14
15-16
22-24
25-17
23-14
21-13
27-9
149.0Avg total
74.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.274.0153.2+5.240%
Season at home (3)83.767.0150.7+16.767%
Season away (2)72.584.5157.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)74.774.3149.0+0.430%
Last 5 (5)79.274.0153.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)65.277.1142.2-11.912%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.472.0147.4+3.457%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
BresciaCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A19/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A21/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H24/06
A2 - Play Offs
Pesaro
#15
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A02/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A15/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H23/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A30/10
Lega A
75.7Avg total
35.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.977.2-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.036.575.5+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)35.243.979.1-8.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.440.375.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.044.278.2-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.447.080.4-13.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.834.371.2+2.562%-
vs Weaker (10)40.442.382.7-1.940%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H03/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/04
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H04/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/10
Lega A
76.4Avg total
39.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.273.3-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.235.071.2+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)36.139.375.5-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.976.4+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.136.970.9-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.637.576.1+1.157%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.417.8
45.2%
51.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
74.0%15.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.2
52.6%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.4
35.6%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.8
76.6%
74.0%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLWLWLLWW
Capo d'Orlando
WLWLLLLLLW
#11
League position
#8
-14.8
Net rating
+6.5
96.2
Offensive rating
105.6
110.9
Defensive rating
99.1
45.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.1%
3-point %
35.6%
57.9%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 105.6Defence110.9 · 99.1Shooting45.7% · 52.9%3-point %31.1% · 35.6%Ball care18.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 27.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
0
Capo d'Orlando wins
No previous meetings.
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16AAvellino79-92
23/10/16HOlimpia Milano80-97
15/10/16ASassari73-96
09/10/16HCantu76-56
02/10/16APesaro63-76
24/06/16HFortitudo Bologna83-59
21/06/16AFortitudo Bologna70-94
19/06/16AFortitudo Bologna60-69
14/06/16HFortitudo Bologna76-58
12/06/16HFortitudo Bologna71-63
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16HCantu96-53
23/10/16ATrento76-85
17/10/16HTorino90-77
09/10/16AVenezia69-84
02/10/16HOlimpia Milano65-71
04/05/16HPistoia58-65
24/04/16AAvellino69-85
17/04/16HTrento81-82
10/04/16APesaro65-70
03/04/16HOlimpia Milano78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game74.278.071.7
Allowed / game83.476.588.0
Point differential-9.2+1.5-16.3
Avg total157.6154.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game79.283.772.5
Allowed / game74.067.084.5
Point differential+5.2+16.7-12.0
Avg total153.2150.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano550100%86.875.4+11.4
2 Avellino54180%80.474.2+6.2
3 Reggiana54180%82.479.0+3.4
4 Sassari53260%81.876.0+5.8
5 Trento53260%78.473.0+5.4
6 Venezia53260%80.479.0+1.4
7 Caserta53260%80.283.0-2.8
8 Capo d'Orlando52340%79.274.0+5.2
9 Pistoia52340%77.077.8-0.8
10 Brindisi52340%79.280.4-1.2
11 Torino52340%81.484.8-3.4
12 Varese52340%78.281.8-3.6
13 Cantu52340%73.681.6-8.0
14 Cremona51420%80.283.6-3.4
15 Pesaro51420%67.473.8-6.4
16 Brescia51420%74.283.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brescia182420161189
Capo d'Orlando251816191290
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