Avellino vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 85-69

23-24 21-14 20-13 21-18

Position#3

Record19-9

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game76.9

Avellino 🏆

Capo d'Orlando

Position#16

Record11-17

FormLWWLL

Points / game69.0

Allowed / game73.4

Lega ARound 29

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Avellino v Capo d'Orlando

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Capo d'Orlando winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

71-69

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

76-82

-6

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

95-94

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

81-77

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

89-82

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

82-74

H20/03

Lega A

Varese

89-71

+18

H26/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

74-78

-4

A03/04

Lega A

Cremona

84-70

+14

H10/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

92-87

A17/04

Lega A

18-16

16-14

21-23

16-16

11-21

25-22

19-17

21-22

34-28

19-22

24-30

18-14

23-20

19-16

19-12

20-29

23-16

20-26

21-20

25-20

23-19

22-16

16-15

21-24

29-19

25-15

19-17

16-20

20-19

18-20

11-20

25-19

22-18

25-17

18-13

19-22

26-20

25-17

7-24

34-26

161.7Avg total

83.3Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.5	76.9	156.4	+2.7	68%
Season at home (14)	79.9	75.2	155.1	+4.6	79%
Season away (14)	79.2	78.5	157.7	+0.7	57%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	78.4	161.7	+4.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	76.0	160.2	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	77.9	76.8	154.6	+1.1	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	80.8	76.6	157.4	+4.1	71%

This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Capo d'Orlando Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

66-75

-9

A07/02

Lega A

Varese

82-81

A14/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

65-59

H28/02

Lega A

Cremona

73-74

-1

A06/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

86-73

+13

H13/03

Lega A

Sassari

63-92

-29

A20/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

70-69

A26/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-71

H03/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

65-70

-5

A10/04

Lega A

Trento

81-82

-1

H17/04

Lega A

22-23

16-10

14-19

14-23

15-15

28-23

22-16

17-27

18-24

19-15

13-9

15-11

18-8

17-24

24-20

14-22

17-19

24-15

26-14

19-25

18-25

24-15

15-27

6-25

20-24

17-19

15-11

18-15

20-15

20-23

16-24

22-9

20-17

15-17

9-18

21-18

17-16

21-21

28-20

15-25

147.5Avg total

72.9Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	69.0	73.4	142.4	-4.4	39%
Season at home (14)	69.4	68.6	138.1	+0.8	50%
Season away (14)	68.5	78.1	146.6	-9.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	74.6	147.5	-1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	76.8	148.2	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	65.6	74.7	140.3	-9.1	24%
vs Similar (13)	73.1	72.5	145.6	+0.5	54%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoCapo d'Orlando

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.3	40.0	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	21.0	32.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.5	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.1	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	18.6	37.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	17.3	34.4	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	47%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

34-30

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

36-43

-7

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

53-50

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

42-36

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

43-42

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

45-35

+10

H20/03

Lega A

Varese

54-34

+20

H26/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

38-39

-1

A03/04

Lega A

Cremona

47-35

+12

H10/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

51-37

+14

A17/04

Lega A

82.4Avg total

44.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	38.3	79.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	35.9	77.7	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	40.6	80.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	38.1	82.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	36.0	83.0	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	39.1	78.4	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.8	37.1	79.9	+5.7	64%	-

This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

38-33

A07/02

Lega A

Varese

43-38

A14/02

Lega A

Caserta

#13

37-39

-2

H28/02

Lega A

Cremona

35-32

A06/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

41-34

H13/03

Lega A

Sassari

42-40

A20/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

37-43

-6

A26/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-38

H03/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

35-34

A10/04

Lega A

Trento

38-37

H17/04

Lega A

75.4Avg total

38.6Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	36.7	72.0	-1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.3	35.7	70.0	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	37.7	74.0	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	36.8	75.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.4	76.8	+0.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	33.8	35.9	69.8	-2.1	59%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.2	37.7	74.9	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	17.8	32.0	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	16.8	19.1	35.9	-2.3	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	15.8	34.4	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.0	36.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	41%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.1	16.5	34.5	+1.6	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.8	18.9	34.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.3	17.1	33.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.3	20.7	36.0	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.0	36.1	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	14.3	19.4	33.6	-5.1	18%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	38.7	77.1	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	38.9	75.7	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	38.5	78.4	+1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.3	79.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.5	37.7	76.2	+0.8	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	37.3	39.0	76.3	-1.7	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.3	36.8	70.2	-3.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.9	32.9	67.9	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.7	40.7	72.5	-9.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.3	37.8	72.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	38.4	71.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	31.4	38.4	69.8	-6.9	24%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.8	34.8	70.7	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Capo d'Orlando wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/15	Capo d'Orlando v Avellino	55-73
01/03/15	Avellino v Capo d'Orlando	65-75
09/11/14	Capo d'Orlando v Avellino	67-81

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	A	Caserta	92-87
10/04/16	H	Cremona	84-70
03/04/16	A	Torino	74-78
26/03/16	H	Varese	89-71
20/03/16	H	Virtus Bologna	82-74
14/03/16	A	Brindisi	89-82
06/03/16	H	Cantu	81-77
28/02/16	A	Sassari	95-94
21/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	76-82
20/02/16	H	Trento	71-69

Capo d'Orlandolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	H	Trento	81-82
10/04/16	A	Pesaro	65-70
03/04/16	H	Olimpia Milano	78-71
26/03/16	A	Brindisi	70-69
20/03/16	A	Sassari	63-92
13/03/16	H	Torino	86-73
06/03/16	A	Cremona	73-74
28/02/16	H	Caserta	65-59
14/02/16	A	Varese	82-81
07/02/16	A	Reggiana	66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	68%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	WWWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	79%	57%
Points / game	79.5	79.9	79.2
Allowed / game	76.9	75.2	78.5
Point differential	+2.7	+4.6	+0.7
Avg total	156.4	155.1	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	29%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	75% (4)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Capo d'Orlando

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	39%
Home	WWWWL	50%
Away	WLLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	39%	50%	29%
Points / game	69.0	69.4	68.5
Allowed / game	73.4	68.6	78.1
Point differential	-4.4	+0.8	-9.6
Avg total	142.4	138.1	146.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	14%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (12)	17% (6)	50% (6)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	28	21	7	75%	81.8	73.0	+8.8
2	Reggiana	28	20	8	71%	81.2	75.3	+5.9
3	Avellino	28	19	9	68%	79.5	76.9	+2.7
4	Cremona	28	18	10	64%	75.2	74.0	+1.2
5	Sassari	28	15	13	54%	84.2	81.5	+2.7
6	Trento	28	15	13	54%	77.1	76.2	+0.9
7	Venezia	28	14	14	50%	77.4	74.7	+2.7
8	Pistoia	28	14	14	50%	77.5	78.4	-0.9
9	Varese	28	13	15	46%	74.9	78.1	-3.2
10	Brindisi	28	12	16	43%	78.1	79.3	-1.2
11	Cantu	28	11	17	39%	80.1	79.6	+0.5
12	Pesaro	28	11	17	39%	75.7	77.9	-2.2
13	Capo d'Orlando	28	11	17	39%	69.0	73.4	-4.4
14	Caserta	28	10	18	36%	73.0	76.6	-3.6
15	Virtus Bologna	28	10	18	36%	74.6	79.4	-4.9
16	Torino	28	10	18	36%	75.9	80.8	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	23	21	20	21	85
Capo d'Orlando	24	14	13	18	69

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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