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Brindisi vs Roseto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-74
21-21 23-16 25-21 24-16
Position#9
Record16-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#20
Record4-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.7
ItalySerie A2Round 28· PalaPentassuglia
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
80-95
80
95
-15
70avg 68
A14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 68
A17/12
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 68
H21/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
67-66
67
66
+1
57avg 68
A28/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
61-72
61
72
-11
48avg 68
A11/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H17/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 68
A21/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
83-67
83
67
+16
83avg 68
H25/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 68
A30/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
21-19
19-22
14-26
20-23
19-21
22-19
15-24
20-22
10-21
19-15
27-10
12-18
15-7
20-17
20-24
15-15
24-9
21-10
14-21
13-17
13-15
15-17
20-23
24-17
18-14
18-21
26-14
21-23
13-20
18-20
21-18
26-16
19-14
18-17
20-20
21-24
16-17
18-25
27-24
150.5Avg total
75.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.272.3149.6+4.964%
Season at home (12)80.468.8149.2+11.692%
Season away (13)74.375.5149.8-1.238%
Last 10 (10)75.874.7150.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)77.075.2152.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)74.073.6147.6+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.169.4149.5+10.780%
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 71
H14/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 71
A21/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
57avg 71
H28/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 71
A04/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
64avg 71
H11/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 71
H21/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 71
A25/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
62-76
62
76
-14
47avg 71
H01/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
75-97
75
97
-22
64avg 71
A07/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-22
15-23
17-21
27-14
17-16
18-25
19-14
18-12
7-15
17-20
24-20
21-24
22-22
16-19
26-24
16-14
20-17
14-17
19-25
14-24
17-24
22-19
24-25
18-15
14-21
20-34
25-15
11-22
26-20
20-28
22-10
18-16
14-27
19-21
11-12
18-27
24-25
13-19
20-26
155.4Avg total
73.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.084.7162.7-6.815%
Season at home (13)77.182.0159.1-4.923%
Season away (13)78.887.5166.3-8.68%
Last 10 (10)73.981.5155.4-7.610%
Last 5 (5)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.085.8162.7-8.810%
vs Similar (8)82.483.4165.8-1.038%
vs Weaker (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
BrindisiRoseto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A17/12
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H21/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A28/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H04/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A11/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/01
Serie A2
72.6Avg total
36.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.672.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.434.873.2+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)35.836.372.1-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.072.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)36.737.073.7-0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.632.870.4+4.870%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A21/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H28/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/01
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A25/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H01/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A07/02
Serie A2
75.6Avg total
35.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.742.682.3-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.781.9+0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.344.582.7-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.875.6-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.844.279.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.242.681.8-3.429%-
vs Similar (8)41.042.983.9-1.938%-
vs Weaker (1)40.041.081.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.5
50.6%
50.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.2
33.3%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.8
71.5%
74.4%12.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.5
53.3%
50.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.2
33.3%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.312.8
78.5%
74.4%12.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LWLWLWWWLL
Roseto
LLLLLLLLWL
#9
League position
#20
-0.7
Net rating
-8.6
99.1
Offensive rating
100.1
99.8
Defensive rating
108.7
50.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.3%
3-point %
33.3%
58.0%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 100.1Defence99.8 · 108.7Shooting50.3% · 51.9%3-point %33.3% · 33.3%Ball care18.1% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.1% · 25.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Brindisi   ■ Roseto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brindisi wins
0
Roseto wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Roseto v Brindisi66-67
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26APesaro82-90
25/01/26HAvellino Basket83-67
21/01/26ACividale73-81
17/01/26HUrania Milano86-66
11/01/26AJuVi Cremona61-72
04/01/26HVerona74-55
28/12/25ARoseto67-66
21/12/25HPistoia76-68
17/12/25ASebastiani Rieti76-87
14/12/25ABlu Basket Bergamo80-95
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AScafati75-97
01/02/26HUrania Milano62-76
25/01/26APesaro79-80
21/01/26HMestre77-85
18/01/26ALibertas Livorno77-92
11/01/26HBasket Torino69-73
04/01/26AFortitudo Bologna85-89
28/12/25HBrindisi66-67
21/12/25AUrania Milano81-69
14/12/25HScafati68-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%92%38%
Points / game77.280.474.3
Allowed / game72.368.875.5
Point differential+4.9+11.6-1.2
Avg total149.6149.2149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %15%23%8%
Points / game78.077.178.8
Allowed / game84.782.087.5
Point differential-6.8-4.9-8.6
Avg total162.7159.1166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2720774%82.078.0+4.1
2 Libertas Livorno2718967%80.372.5+7.7
3 Cividale28181064%77.775.5+2.2
4 Brindisi2516964%77.272.3+4.9
5 Scafati27171063%82.877.7+5.0
6 Fortitudo Bologna26161062%76.572.5+4.0
7 Rimini26161062%81.978.3+3.6
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%79.176.6+2.5
9 Verona27161159%77.673.9+3.7
10 Avellino Basket26151158%81.078.7+2.3
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona28131546%74.477.4-3.0
13 Basket Torino27121544%72.973.3-0.3
14 Mestre26111542%77.280.7-3.5
15 Urania Milano26101638%78.082.0-4.0
16 Cento2691735%78.480.8-2.4
17 Forli2691735%77.081.0-4.1
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2781930%75.886.4-10.6
19 Pistoia2671927%77.282.5-5.3
20 Roseto2642215%78.084.7-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2123252493
Roseto2116211674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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