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Fortitudo Bologna vs Roseto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-85
24-21 22-22 19-16 24-26
Position#4
Record11-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#20
Record4-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.8
ItalySerie A2Round 20· PalaDozza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Roseto
04 Jan 2026
FBO89
ROSE85
20 Apr 2019
FBO92
ROSE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
78avg 72
H08/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
81-58
81
58
+23
78avg 72
A12/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 72
A16/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
81-72
81
72
+9
68avg 72
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 72
H07/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
56-65
56
65
-9
46avg 72
A10/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
65avg 72
A14/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
91-54
91
54
+37
97avg 72
H21/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
62-68
62
68
-6
63avg 72
A28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
10-14
24-19
20-17
20-13
22-13
18-22
21-10
19-15
27-27
11-20
10-18
19-15
23-20
15-21
24-16
20-24
11-29
18-12
13-20
20-19
15-9
23-14
8-22
12-14
15-15
15-15
14-21
23-20
15-28
18-11
12-24
20-7
20-12
31-16
20-19
20-20
13-15
16-15
13-18
140.6Avg total
71.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.271.5146.7+3.758%
Season at home (9)78.265.1143.3+13.189%
Season away (10)72.577.2149.7-4.730%
Last 10 (10)71.169.5140.6+1.650%
Last 5 (5)68.666.8135.4+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.576.3145.8-6.833%
vs Similar (14)72.673.1145.7-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
82avg 73
H09/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 73
A12/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 73
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 73
H22/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 73
A26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
88-82
88
82
+6
79avg 73
H30/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 73
A07/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 73
H14/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 73
A21/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
57avg 73
H28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
28-26
15-21
20-21
6-24
20-21
27-18
28-25
21-15
17-19
18-23
17-24
14-14
23-25
16-17
12-16
12-20
17-26
15-21
16-21
26-19
22-26
15-13
25-24
15-29
24-18
23-17
25-25
19-21
17-22
15-23
17-21
27-14
17-16
18-25
19-14
18-12
7-15
17-20
24-20
156.7Avg total
75.5Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.184.8163.9-5.721%
Season at home (10)79.483.2162.6-3.830%
Season away (9)78.886.6165.3-7.811%
Last 10 (10)75.581.2156.7-5.720%
Last 5 (5)78.078.8156.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.985.6162.6-8.712%
vs Similar (9)84.281.0165.2+3.256%
vs Weaker (5)92.086.6178.6+5.480%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
Fortitudo BolognaRoseto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H08/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A12/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A16/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A03/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/12
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A10/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
40-19
40
19
+21
H21/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A28/12
Serie A2
71.2Avg total
36.7Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.373.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.235.173.3+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.237.473.7-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.571.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.866.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.737.272.8-1.533%-
vs Similar (14)36.937.173.9-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.534.873.3+3.760%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A12/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A07/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A21/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H28/12
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
37.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.882.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.984.6+2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)38.342.881.1-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.377.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.476.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.642.281.8-2.631%-
vs Similar (9)41.740.081.7+1.756%-
vs Weaker (5)45.043.888.8+1.240%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.814.7
54.9%
50.8%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.610.0
28.9%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.6
75.4%
74.4%12.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.5
55.1%
50.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.9
29.4%
34.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.017.0
81.0%
74.4%17.0
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LWLLWLWLWW
Roseto
LWLLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#20
+6.1
Net rating
-7.9
104.4
Offensive rating
106.9
98.3
Defensive rating
114.7
48.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.9%
3-point %
29.4%
80.2%
Assist %
55.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 106.9Defence98.3 · 114.7Shooting48.4% · 50.5%3-point %28.9% · 29.4%Ball care17.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 24.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Roseto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
1
Roseto wins
DateGameScore
21/09/25Roseto v Fortitudo Bologna86-82
20/04/19Fortitudo Bologna v Roseto92-81
06/01/19Roseto v Fortitudo Bologna89-95 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25ASebastiani Rieti62-68
21/12/25HRuvo Di Puglia91-54
14/12/25ARimini68-83
10/12/25ABlu Basket Bergamo56-65
07/12/25HLibertas Livorno66-64
03/12/25AAvellino Basket62-85
23/11/25HForli81-72
16/11/25ACento67-80
12/11/25AMestre81-58
08/11/25HBrindisi77-66
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HBrindisi66-67
21/12/25AUrania Milano81-69
14/12/25HScafati68-87
07/12/25AVerona87-89
30/11/25HForli88-82
26/11/25ABasket Torino60-88
22/11/25HLibertas Livorno65-72
16/11/25APistoia73-81
12/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia81-88
09/11/25HCividale86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%89%30%
Points / game75.278.272.5
Allowed / game71.565.177.2
Point differential+3.7+13.1-4.7
Avg total146.7143.3149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game79.179.478.8
Allowed / game84.883.286.6
Point differential-5.7-3.8-7.8
Avg total163.9162.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1913668%82.876.1+6.7
2 Brindisi1913668%77.572.5+5.0
3 Pesaro1913668%82.277.3+4.9
4 Verona1913668%78.473.9+4.4
5 Cividale2013765%78.275.5+2.8
6 Libertas Livorno1911858%77.973.2+4.7
7 Fortitudo Bologna1911858%75.271.5+3.7
8 Scafati1911858%82.278.6+3.6
9 Avellino Basket1911858%80.577.2+3.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti1911858%79.377.5+1.8
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Blu Basket Bergamo189950%82.181.9+0.1
13 Mestre1991047%77.779.9-2.2
14 Cento1981142%78.580.1-1.6
15 Urania Milano1971237%78.183.6-5.5
16 Pistoia1961332%77.782.3-4.6
17 Forli1961332%76.381.7-5.5
18 JuVi Cremona1961332%73.980.3-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1951426%74.385.2-10.9
20 Roseto1941521%79.184.8-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna2422192489
Roseto2122162685
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