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Roseto vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 77-85
18-15 14-21 20-34 25-15
Position#20
Record4-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#15
Record9-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.0
ItalySerie A2Round 23· PalaMaggetti
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 73
H22/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 73
A26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
88-82
88
82
+6
79avg 73
H30/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
84avg 73
A07/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
59avg 73
H14/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
82avg 73
A21/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
66-67
66
67
-1
57avg 73
H28/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 73
A04/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
69-73
69
73
-4
64avg 73
H11/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A18/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
23-25
16-17
12-16
12-20
17-26
15-21
16-21
26-19
22-26
15-13
25-24
15-29
24-18
23-17
25-25
19-21
17-22
15-23
17-21
27-14
17-16
18-25
19-14
18-12
7-15
17-20
24-20
21-24
22-22
16-19
26-24
16-14
20-17
14-17
19-25
14-24
17-24
22-19
24-25
155.4Avg total
74.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.884.8163.6-6.018%
Season at home (11)78.582.3160.7-3.827%
Season away (11)79.287.3166.5-8.19%
Last 10 (10)74.680.8155.4-6.220%
Last 5 (5)75.678.0153.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.985.5162.4-8.511%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.681.0166.6+4.662%
vs Weaker (3)84.380.0164.3+4.367%
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 65
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
73avg 65
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
72avg 65
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
76avg 65
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
68avg 65
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 65
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
55-83
55
83
-28
42avg 65
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
22-14
18-14
20-23
24-21
10-18
23-21
15-23
23-22
14-22
24-18
24-24
21-20
15-26
16-16
22-10
20-13
19-21
15-19
25-22
15-15
26-16
15-23
18-15
16-20
14-22
21-18
12-17
22-18
9-21
13-30
11-14
15-18
23-19
26-18
21-35
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
152.9Avg total
73.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.781.0157.7-4.241%
Season at home (11)76.881.7158.5-4.945%
Season away (11)76.680.2156.8-3.536%
Last 10 (10)73.479.5152.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)69.881.8151.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.982.7156.6-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.279.8160.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
RosetoMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A07/12
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A21/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H28/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/01
Serie A2
77.0Avg total
36.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.582.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.039.782.7+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.643.581.1-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.277.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.472.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.242.181.3-2.932%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.840.683.4+2.162%-
vs Weaker (3)43.039.782.7+3.333%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H22/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H13/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A19/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H10/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
75.0Avg total
35.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)38.541.780.2-3.241%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.241.880.0-3.645%-
Last 30 away (11)38.841.680.5-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.375.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.474.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.342.980.2-5.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.641.682.1-1.044%-
vs Weaker (1)34.029.063.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.3
31.6%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.815.1
80.3%
74.4%15.1
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.4
44.3%
50.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws14.511.4
78.6%
74.4%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto
LLLLWLLWLL
Mestre
LLLLWWWLLW
#20
League position
#15
-7.7
Net rating
-4.3
106.5
Offensive rating
100.7
114.1
Defensive rating
105.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.6%
3-point %
34.7%
55.9%
Assist %
55.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 100.7Defence114.1 · 105.0Shooting52.0% · 47.3%3-point %31.6% · 34.7%Ball care17.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds25.3% · 27.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Roseto   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Roseto wins
1
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
27/09/25Mestre v Roseto101-91
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ALibertas Livorno77-92
11/01/26HBasket Torino69-73
04/01/26AFortitudo Bologna85-89
28/12/25HBrindisi66-67
21/12/25AUrania Milano81-69
14/12/25HScafati68-87
07/12/25AVerona87-89
30/11/25HForli88-82
26/11/25ABasket Torino60-88
22/11/25HLibertas Livorno65-72
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
15/01/26HBlu Basket Bergamo85-90
10/01/26HForli55-83
03/01/26ACividale63-77
27/12/25HBasket Torino74-69
19/12/25ALibertas Livorno79-75
13/12/25HVerona74-72
06/12/25AUrania Milano85-86
03/12/25ABrindisi72-83
22/11/25HJuVi Cremona75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game78.878.579.2
Allowed / game84.882.387.3
Point differential-6.0-3.8-8.1
Avg total163.6160.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWWWLL45%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game76.776.876.6
Allowed / game81.081.780.2
Point differential-4.2-4.9-3.5
Avg total157.7158.5156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2316770%81.877.7+4.1
2 Rimini2215768%81.775.3+6.4
3 Brindisi2315865%76.871.8+5.0
4 Verona2315865%77.673.6+4.0
5 Cividale2315865%77.676.0+1.7
6 Scafati2214864%83.077.5+5.6
7 Libertas Livorno2214864%78.673.3+5.3
8 Fortitudo Bologna2314961%76.172.4+3.7
9 Sebastiani Rieti2213959%79.877.1+2.7
10 Avellino Basket23131057%81.178.0+3.1
11 Basket Torino23121152%74.172.7+1.4
12 Blu Basket Bergamo23111248%80.481.5-1.1
13 Cento2291341%78.580.8-2.2
14 JuVi Cremona2291341%74.478.4-4.0
15 Mestre2291341%76.781.0-4.2
16 Forli2381535%76.480.1-3.7
17 Urania Milano2371630%76.683.0-6.4
18 Pistoia2261627%78.083.0-5.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia2261627%75.686.5-10.8
20 Roseto2241818%78.884.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto1814202577
Mestre1521341585
← all games of the day
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