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Brindisi vs Sebastiani Rieti Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#8
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.5
ItalySerie A2Round 38· PalaPentassuglia
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brindisi v Sebastiani Rieti
21 Mar 2026
BRI90
SEBA81
15 Jan 2025
BRI72
SEBA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Brindisi
6.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.5
81.4▲ 4.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.6
76.8▲ 1.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
61%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.9
16.2▲ 2.3
🔥 Form · Sebastiani Rieti
5.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.1
74.2▼ 0.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.8
77.2▲ 0.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
52%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 11.8
9.4▼ 2.4
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A07/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A09/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H12/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
18-20
19-23
20-23
16-26
20-23
17-12
18-25
18-12
24-16
14-13
21-29
22-15
14-24
23-21
10-17
15-18
17-14
16-13
18-14
29-21
19-18
21-21
15-21
18-19
31-16
28-18
19-25
27-20
24-22
18-20
12-23
17-18
20-18
15-13
11-21
27-19
24-18
17-23
15-10
152.4Avg total
76.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.873.8152.7+5.067%
Season at home (3)82.778.7161.3+4.067%
Season away (3)75.069.0144.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)76.875.6152.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)81.476.8158.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)78.377.1155.4+1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)75.873.1148.9+2.764%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
18-23
17-13
17-17
18-23
18-22
14-10
23-24
16-22
21-21
12-14
24-25
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
152.5Avg total
74.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.376.5151.8-1.267%
Season at home (3)76.368.7145.0+7.7100%
Season away (3)74.384.3158.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)74.677.9152.5-3.350%
Last 5 (5)74.277.2151.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.680.1154.7-5.643%
vs Similar (16)76.874.5151.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (7)84.179.7163.9+4.486%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
BrindisiSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A09/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H12/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#20
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/10
Serie A2
79.2Avg total
42.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.376.8+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.678.1+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)36.439.075.4-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.179.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.885.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)41.238.179.3+3.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.536.473.9+1.150%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
83.8Avg total
40.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.378.0+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.378.4-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.783.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.487.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.045.485.4-5.429%-
vs Similar (16)37.738.776.4-1.038%-
vs Weaker (7)40.734.475.1+6.371%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
34.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.8%
70.9%13.0
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.1
49.5%
51.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.1
30.7%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.017.8
71.2%
70.9%17.8
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLLWWWLWLL
Sebastiani Rieti
LWLWWWLLLW
#6
League position
#8
-1.8
Net rating
-2.4
93.5
Offensive rating
93.3
95.3
Defensive rating
95.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.1%
3-point %
30.7%
56.3%
Assist %
47.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 93.3Defence95.3 · 95.6Shooting53.3% · 47.8%3-point %34.1% · 30.7%Ball care13.6% · 12.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Brindisi   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brindisi wins
3
Sebastiani Rieti wins
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HAvellino Basket83-70
21/10/26ASebastiani Rieti63-70
17/10/26HBasket Torino81-85
11/10/26AMontecatini96-78
04/10/26HUrania Milano84-81
27/09/26AJuVi Cremona66-59
14/05/26HVerona69-77
12/05/26HVerona77-70
09/05/26AVerona71-86
07/05/26AVerona78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90
13/05/26HCividale73-82
10/05/26ACividale73-79
08/05/26ACividale70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game78.882.775.0
Allowed / game73.878.769.0
Point differential+5.0+4.0+6.0
Avg total152.7161.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game75.376.374.3
Allowed / game76.568.784.3
Point differential-1.2+7.7-10.0
Avg total151.8145.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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