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Brindisi vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-81
21-25 26-10 23-22 20-24
Position#9
Record19-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game72.7
Brindisi 🏆
Italy
vs
Sebastiani Rieti
Italy
Position#10
Record18-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.3
ItalySerie A2Round 31· PalaPentassuglia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brindisi v Sebastiani Rieti
21 Mar 2026
BRI90
SEBA81
15 Jan 2025
BRI72
SEBA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
74-55
74
55
+19
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
61-72
61
72
-11
48avg 70
A11/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H17/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 70
A21/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
83-67
83
67
+16
83avg 70
H25/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 70
A30/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
93-74
93
74
+19
89avg 70
H15/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
98-67
98
67
+31
101avg 70
H21/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 70
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A08/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
24-9
21-10
14-21
13-17
13-15
15-17
20-23
24-17
18-14
18-21
26-14
21-23
13-20
18-20
21-18
26-16
19-14
18-17
20-20
21-24
16-17
18-25
27-24
21-21
23-16
25-21
24-16
22-18
26-14
21-20
29-15
23-29
22-16
21-11
13-18
16-13
20-31
16-17
18-23
152.9Avg total
79.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.372.7151.0+5.766%
Season at home (14)82.669.1151.6+13.593%
Season away (15)74.376.0150.3-1.740%
Last 10 (10)79.973.0152.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)84.477.8162.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.274.8151.0+1.450%
vs Weaker (12)81.170.2151.2+10.983%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
82-54
82
54
+28
79avg 72
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
81avg 72
H21/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
76avg 72
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
50-65
50
65
-15
42avg 72
A01/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 72
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 72
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 72
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-84
89
84
+5
87avg 72
H08/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
54avg 72
A14/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
17-11
24-15
19-12
22-18
13-14
15-22
22-18
13-22
18-16
26-12
26-15
20-15
14-20
22-24
18-15
8-15
18-15
20-17
4-18
24-22
20-15
14-18
16-19
25-27
23-14
11-21
23-16
19-22
17-14
9-28
20-15
15-19
17-17
34-13
23-35
16-25
19-20
16-14
20-27
153.4Avg total
77.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.877.3156.1+1.560%
Season at home (15)79.773.5153.3+6.273%
Season away (15)77.981.1158.9-3.247%
Last 10 (10)77.675.8153.4+1.870%
Last 5 (5)77.881.4159.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.877.2155.0+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.275.0148.2-1.850%
vs Weaker (10)88.281.0169.2+7.280%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
BrindisiSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H04/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A11/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H21/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
39.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.874.4+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.635.076.6+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)36.136.472.5-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.975.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.636.875.4+1.750%-
vs Weaker (12)38.834.272.9+4.667%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H21/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A25/01
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A01/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/02
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/03
Serie A2
71.7Avg total
36.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.677.0-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.737.776.5+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.939.577.5-1.627%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.771.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.078.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.238.175.3-0.938%-
vs Weaker (10)38.738.577.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.6
56.7%
50.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.1
33.1%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.9
73.9%
74.4%13.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.9
48.6%
50.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
74.4%14.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LWWWLWLWLW
Sebastiani Rieti
LWLWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#10
+9.6
Net rating
+0.6
101.5
Offensive rating
92.8
91.9
Defensive rating
92.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
34.1%
57.0%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 92.8Defence91.9 · 92.2Shooting53.5% · 49.6%3-point %33.1% · 34.1%Ball care16.6% · 15.0%Off. rebounds32.0% · 37.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brindisi   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brindisi wins
2
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
17/12/25Sebastiani Rieti v Brindisi87-76
15/01/25Brindisi v Sebastiani Rieti72-67
21/10/24Sebastiani Rieti v Brindisi74-73
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ARimini70-84
25/02/26AForli79-74
21/02/26HBasket Torino98-67
15/02/26HRoseto93-74
30/01/26APesaro82-90
25/01/26HAvellino Basket83-67
21/01/26ACividale73-81
17/01/26HUrania Milano86-66
11/01/26AJuVi Cremona61-72
04/01/26HVerona74-55
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AAvellino Basket71-86
08/03/26HRoseto89-84
22/02/26AFortitudo Bologna65-79
15/02/26HVerona82-78
08/02/26HMestre82-80 OT
01/02/26ABlu Basket Bergamo50-65
25/01/26APistoia86-85 OT
21/01/26HRimini83-65
17/01/26AForli86-82 OT
09/01/26HCividale82-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL66%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%93%40%
Points / game78.382.674.3
Allowed / game72.769.176.0
Point differential+5.7+13.5-1.7
Avg total151.0151.6150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%57%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%73%47%
Points / game78.879.777.9
Allowed / game77.373.581.1
Point differential+1.5+6.2-3.2
Avg total156.1153.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3123874%82.277.6+4.6
2 Brindisi29191066%78.372.7+5.7
3 Libertas Livorno30191163%79.972.8+7.1
4 Scafati30191163%82.677.9+4.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna30191163%77.073.1+3.9
6 Rimini29181162%81.777.7+4.0
7 Avellino Basket29181162%82.179.0+3.1
8 Verona30181260%77.573.7+3.8
9 Sebastiani Rieti30181260%78.877.3+1.5
10 Cividale30181260%77.676.2+1.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona30141647%74.577.0-2.5
13 Basket Torino30131743%72.874.2-1.3
14 Urania Milano30131743%79.181.8-2.7
15 Mestre31131842%77.880.8-3.0
16 Forli29101934%76.680.8-4.2
17 Cento30102033%77.380.8-3.6
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2992031%76.886.2-9.5
19 Pistoia3072323%77.383.3-6.1
20 Roseto3052517%78.385.1-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2126232090
Sebastiani Rieti2510222481
← all games of the day
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