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Brisas vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 51-73
5-18 14-18 14-22 18-15
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.5
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Club Brisas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brisas v Arabe Valparaiso
06 Apr 2024
BRIS51
ARAB73
17 Jun 2023
BRIS45
ARAB72
21 May 2022
BRIS59
ARAB70
13 Nov 2021
BRIS63
ARAB75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrisasChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrisas
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
H21/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
W
78-48
78
48
+30
no box
A28/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
no box
A11/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#6
L
45-72
45
72
-27
no box
H17/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
A01/07
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
43-86
43
86
-43
no box
H08/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
no box
A15/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
L
59-76
59
76
-17
no box
H22/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
56-57
56
57
-1
42avg 49
H24/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
73-82 OT
73
82
-9
56avg 49
A30/03
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
22-16
12-20
15-16
7-5
17-23
9-19
16-16
28-12
124.5Avg total
56.1Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.569.5134.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)56.057.0113.0-1.00%
Season away (1)73.082.0155.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)56.168.4124.5-12.320%
Last 5 (5)53.272.4125.6-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)55.374.7130.0-19.415%
vs Similar (2)77.067.5144.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)56.057.0113.0-1.00%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
43-76
43
76
-33
no box
A01/07
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
no box
H08/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#10
W
69-61
69
61
+8
no box
H16/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
68-55
68
55
+13
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
56-75
56
75
-19
no box
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 74
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 74
H30/03
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
16-23
15-15
21-17
14-14
16-17
19-11
11-20
22-7
13-17
17-16
12-20
14-22
24-16
8-21
24-11
14-23
12-13
10-24
19-17
27-18
16-16
17-16
14-17
31-25
23-19
19-16
15-23
22-7
132.2Avg total
65.2Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.569.5148.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)79.065.0144.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)78.074.0152.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.267.0132.2-1.850%
Last 5 (5)70.271.4141.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)58.581.5139.9-23.09%
vs Similar (11)68.770.3139.0-1.536%
vs Weaker (8)74.061.9135.9+12.175%
This opponent (Brisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -9.0-9.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +9.0+9.0Q4: +4.0+4.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -9.0-9.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +9.0+9.0Q4: +4.0+4.0
BrisasArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/03
LNB 2
69.0Avg total
30.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)26.337.563.8-11.316%-
Last 30 at home (11)26.038.964.9-12.918%-
Last 30 away (8)26.635.662.2-9.012%-
Last 10 (2)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
Last 5 (2)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)25.238.063.2-12.812%-
vs Similar (2)30.534.565.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)34.036.070.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H23/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/07
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/03
LNB 2
66.4Avg total
32.1Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)32.635.668.2-3.053%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.734.166.8-1.460%-
Last 30 away (9)32.437.269.7-4.844%-
Last 10 (7)32.134.366.4-2.143%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.866.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.638.669.1-8.044%-
vs Similar (8)33.632.966.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Brisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisas: 61.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
44.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.07.0
21.9%
28.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws10.08.0
80.0%
63.6%8.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.524.0
64.0%
44.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.5
28.9%
28.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.011.0
61.1%
63.6%11.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisas
LLLLLLLLWW
Arabe Valparaiso
WWLLLWLWWL
#11
League position
#10
+1.3
Net rating
+10.7
80.9
Offensive rating
99.1
79.6
Defensive rating
88.4
41.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
27.1%
9.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.30
21.9%
3-point %
28.9%
34.8%
Assist %
52.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence80.9 · 99.1Defence79.6 · 88.4Shooting41.4% · 56.2%3-point %21.9% · 28.9%Ball care14.6% · 27.1%Off. rebounds9.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.16 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Brisas   ■ Arabe Valparaiso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brisas wins
5
Arabe Valparaiso wins
Brisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AQuilpue Basquetbol73-82 OT
24/03/24HLuis Matte Larrain56-57
22/07/23HBoston C. C.59-76
15/07/23ALuis Matte Larrain35-61
08/07/23HSportiva Italiana43-86
01/07/23AStadio Italiano60-76
17/06/23HArabe Valparaiso45-72
11/06/23ASergio Ceppi46-64
28/05/23ABoston C. C.78-48
21/05/23HLuis Matte Larrain66-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HArturo Prat San Felipe79-65
23/03/24ATruenos De Talca78-74
06/08/23HSergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23HSergio Ceppi70-71
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi56-75
30/07/23ASergio Ceppi68-55
23/07/23HSergio Ceppi66-69
16/07/23HBoston C. C.69-61
08/07/23HLuis Matte Larrain55-52
01/07/23ASportiva Italiana43-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisas
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.556.073.0
Allowed / game69.557.082.0
Point differential-5.0-1.0-9.0
Avg total134.0113.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %50%0%100%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.579.078.0
Allowed / game69.565.074.0
Point differential+9.0+14.0+4.0
Avg total148.0144.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo330100%90.370.3+20.0
2 Arabe Valparaiso220100%78.569.5+9.0
3 Luis Matte Larrain330100%70.064.7+5.3
4 Sergio Ceppi43175%69.062.5+6.5
5 Quilpue Basquetbol32167%77.368.0+9.3
6 Aleman32167%73.765.0+8.7
7 Stadio Italiano32167%71.067.0+4.0
8 Brisas2020%64.569.5-5.0
9 Truenos De Talca2020%74.579.5-5.0
10 Boston C. C.3030%67.378.3-11.0
11 Municipal Chillan3030%55.074.3-19.3
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe3030%62.087.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisas514141851
Arabe Valparaiso1818221573
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