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Brisbane Capitals vs Sunshine Coast Phoenix Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 101-92
23-22 18-23 34-16 26-31
Position#4
Record4-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.9
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Brisbane Capitals v Sunshine Coast Phoenix
09 Aug 2025
BRIS81
SUNS74
28 Jun 2025
BRIS114
SUNS79
25 May 2024
BRIS101
SUNS92
29 Apr 2023
BRIS84
SUNS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sunshine Coast Phoenix winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ipswich Force
#3
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
H08/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A14/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A12/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A19/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A20/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A26/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A04/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A05/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A19/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
20-24
28-22
19-21
20-19
21-18
15-24
14-25
22-17
33-22
12-26
20-30
21-33
19-17
14-19
19-23
31-28
25-22
17-24
20-17
21-23
28-34
25-18
20-21
11-21
18-21
26-20
28-24
12-16
20-18
25-14
17-21
23-13
14-19
19-20
20-19
23-22
26-19
20-21
25-14
171.4Avg total
84.7Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.284.5168.8-0.250%
Season at homeno games
Season away (8)84.284.5168.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)84.786.7171.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)84.279.6163.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.2102.2189.5-15.00%
vs Similar (16)91.494.0185.4-2.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.586.7178.2+4.850%
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#10
L
87-107
87
107
-20
A08/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H14/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
106-104
106
104
+2
A15/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H20/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A27/04
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A28/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
99-94
99
94
+5
H11/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H19/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
16-30
24-29
23-21
30-24
25-18
24-18
26-21
26-26
31-21
25-30
24-27
20-21
23-22
21-22
14-20
28-23
21-22
17-24
23-13
16-17
26-18
19-25
21-16
18-18
16-17
24-12
22-26
27-26
24-17
19-18
16-29
24-17
32-20
21-30
22-27
22-23
19-26
21-20
14-25
177.4Avg total
88.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.384.9169.1-0.657%
Season at home (4)85.588.8174.2-3.250%
Season away (3)82.779.7162.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)88.888.6177.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)84.685.4170.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.092.0172.0-12.029%
vs Similar (14)88.486.8175.2+1.657%
vs Weaker (5)95.686.8182.4+8.880%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -2.0-2.0
Brisbane CapitalsSunshine Coast Phoenix
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ipswich Force
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H08/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A12/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A19/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A20/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A12/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/05
NBL1 North
86.0Avg total
43.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)45.245.290.4+0.046%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.743.591.2+4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)43.446.589.9-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.986.0+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.352.094.3-9.70%-
vs Similar (16)45.145.790.8-0.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.342.188.4+4.267%-
This opponent (Sunshine Coast Phoenix) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sunshine Coast PhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A08/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H14/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A15/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H20/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A27/04
NBL1 North
Southern District
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A28/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A10/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#8
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H11/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H19/05
NBL1 North
90.1Avg total
46.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)45.645.290.8+0.448%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.845.292.0+1.750%-
Last 30 away (13)44.445.289.6-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.390.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.046.387.3-5.314%-
vs Similar (13)47.243.690.8+3.569%-
vs Weaker (5)47.847.895.6+0.040%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brisbane Capitals wins
0
Sunshine Coast Phoenix wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix94-76
12/05/24ASouth West Metro Pirates76-71
05/05/24ASouthern District74-69
04/05/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks83-86
26/04/24AIpswich Force94-96
20/04/24ARockhampton Rockets93-91
19/04/24AMackay Meteors73-92
12/04/24ANorthside Wizards87-95
14/07/23ANorthside Wizards70-86
08/07/23HIpswich Force103-105 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HBrisbane Capitals76-94
11/05/24HCairns Marlins99-94
10/05/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks86-90
28/04/24ASouthern District80-73
27/04/24ANorthside Wizards82-76
20/04/24HNorthside Wizards89-82
14/04/24HSouthern District78-85
15/07/23AIpswich Force106-104
14/07/23HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks105-81
08/07/23ADarwin Salties87-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
Home--
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games8-8
Win %50%-50%
Points / game84.2-84.2
Allowed / game84.5-84.5
Point differential-0.2--0.2
Avg total168.8-168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%-12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%-0%
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game84.385.582.7
Allowed / game84.988.879.7
Point differential-0.6-3.2+3.0
Avg total169.1174.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors660100%101.886.2+15.7
2 Darwin Salties65183%104.392.5+11.8
3 Logan Thunder75271%91.986.1+5.7
4 Sunshine Coast Phoenix74357%84.384.9-0.6
5 Cairns Marlins74357%88.190.1-2.0
6 Rockhampton Rockets63350%102.396.8+5.5
7 Gold Coast Rollers63350%97.597.3+0.2
8 Brisbane Capitals84450%84.284.5-0.2
9 North Gold Coast Seahawks94544%85.693.0-7.4
10 Southern District73443%82.777.3+5.4
11 Ipswich Force73443%93.797.1-3.4
12 South West Metro Pirates72529%87.196.0-8.9
13 Townsville Heat82625%91.495.8-4.4
14 Northside Wizards92722%86.494.1-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Capitals23183426101
Sunshine Coast Phoenix2223163192
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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