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Bristol Flyers vs Leicester Riders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-92
10-37 31-13 14-26 19-16
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game81.3
Bristol Flyers
United Kingdom
vs
Leicester Riders 🏆
United Kingdom
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game95.5
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena (Bristol)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders
25 Apr 2027
BRIS v LRI
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
BRIS v LRI
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
BRIS79
LRI84
28 Sep 2025
BRIS74
LRI70
02 May 2025
BRIS55
LRI78
23 Mar 2025
BRIS68
LRI67
07 Mar 2025
BRIS63
LRI74
25 Oct 2024
BRIS101
LRI105
10 Mar 2024
BRIS108
LRI71
30 Sep 2023
BRIS74
LRI92
05 May 2023
BRIS77
LRI84
06 Jan 2023
BRIS91
LRI84
15 Oct 2022
BRIS91
LRI85
05 Mar 2022
BRIS75
LRI78
14 Jan 2022
BRIS64
LRI92
07 Jan 2022
BRIS71
LRI68
08 Oct 2021
BRIS67
LRI75
27 Mar 2021
BRIS62
LRI76
06 Mar 2020
BRIS73
LRI69
16 Feb 2019
BRIS83
LRI90
16 Nov 2018
BRIS52
LRI68
11 May 2018
BRIS75
LRI90
01 Dec 2017
BRIS77
LRI82
05 Nov 2016
BRIS60
LRI85
21 Oct 2016
BRIS70
LRI80
12 Feb 2016
BRIS55
LRI66
13 Mar 2015
BRIS68
LRI81
10 Jan 2015
BRIS59
LRI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leicester Riders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H14/04
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#10
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H21/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
A23/04
SLB
Manchester Giants
#6
W
97-71
97
71
+26
no box
A27/04
SLB
Manchester Giants
#6
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H30/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
H05/05
SLB
Leicester Riders
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A07/05
SLB
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 72
H15/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
61avg 72
H22/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
84-98
84
98
-14
72avg 72
A28/09
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-17
21-18
21-20
24-10
24-22
23-17
16-21
19-9
21-21
13-11
20-24
18-23
20-17
28-10
31-21
26-18
21-25
19-20
16-18
11-26
17-15
25-23
24-20
18-21
24-19
22-14
15-21
21-15
18-10
23-12
20-28
21-19
22-24
16-8
15-30
23-20
15-21
13-30
33-27
158.5Avg total
82.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.081.3161.3-1.333%
Season at home (2)78.073.0151.0+5.050%
Season away (1)84.098.0182.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.276.3158.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)79.280.6159.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.387.3165.7-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.883.4167.2+0.356%
vs Weaker (17)88.277.6165.8+10.682%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
Manchester Giants
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
A16/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
92-96
92
96
-4
no box
A23/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A28/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H30/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
A05/05
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A14/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
86-110
86
110
-24
86avg 84
H15/09
SLB
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 84
H22/09
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
14-26
27-22
25-17
16-14
16-15
25-26
28-21
27-28
24-25
24-22
17-21
28-17
15-16
19-16
17-21
22-17
20-17
15-19
17-17
26-11
15-17
23-25
20-24
21-18
19-24
14-22
21-15
14-22
22-22
19-25
25-19
24-28
20-23
27-23
15-36
18-17
25-35
16-13
29-16
165.5Avg total
82.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.095.5182.5-8.550%
Season at home (2)87.095.5182.5-8.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.682.9165.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)82.687.0169.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.492.4172.8-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.083.0167.0+1.040%
vs Weaker (19)89.380.3169.6+9.184%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Bristol FlyersLeicester Riders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/04
SLB
Surrey Scorchers
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H21/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/04
SLB
Manchester Giants
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/04
SLB
Manchester Giants
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H30/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H05/05
SLB
Leicester Riders
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A07/05
SLB
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H15/09
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/09
SLB
77.8Avg total
40.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.481.1+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.436.078.4+6.477%-
Last 30 away (17)41.241.983.2-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.742.076.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.842.182.9-1.356%-
vs Weaker (17)43.637.581.2+6.165%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Giants
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#4
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A23/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#2
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A05/05
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/09
SLB
Plymouth City Patriots
#10
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H22/09
SLB
81.2Avg total
40.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.786.0+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.341.886.2+2.561%-
Last 30 away (12)44.441.485.8+3.058%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.981.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.445.887.2-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.038.680.6+3.440%-
vs Weaker (19)45.541.286.6+4.368%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.419.8
43.6%
50.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.614.8
75.5%
74.4%14.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.022.3
49.6%
50.8%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.87.5
42.1%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
75.8%
74.4%15.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
LLWWLWWWWW
Leicester Riders
WLLLWWWLWW
#7
League position
#6
+1.0
Net rating
+5.4
104.8
Offensive rating
106.2
103.8
Defensive rating
100.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.9%
3-point %
42.1%
58.2%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 106.2Defence103.8 · 100.8Shooting47.3% · 53.4%3-point %35.9% · 42.1%Ball care17.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds36.4% · 23.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Leicester Riders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bristol Flyers wins
6
Leicester Riders wins
DateGameScore
07/05/23Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers75-79
05/05/23Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders77-84
31/03/23Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers106-89
06/01/23Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders91-84
28/10/22Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers91-73
15/10/22Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders91-85
25/03/22Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers87-82
05/03/22Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders75-78
14/01/22Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders64-92
07/01/22Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders71-68
Bristol Flyerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23ALondon Lions84-98
22/09/23HNewcastle Eagles74-81
15/09/23HPlymouth City Patriots82-65
07/05/23ALeicester Riders79-75
05/05/23HLeicester Riders77-84
30/04/23HManchester Giants82-81
27/04/23AManchester Giants97-71
23/04/23ASheffield Sharks73-65
21/04/23HSurrey Scorchers87-70
14/04/23HCheshire Phoenix87-73
Leicester Riderslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/23HPlymouth City Patriots88-81
15/09/23HCheshire Phoenix86-110
14/05/23ALondon Lions80-88
07/05/23HBristol Flyers75-79
05/05/23ABristol Flyers84-77
30/04/23HSheffield Sharks74-70
28/04/23ASheffield Sharks79-70
23/04/23ACheshire Phoenix92-96
21/04/23HSheffield Sharks85-76
16/04/23AManchester Giants83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game80.078.084.0
Allowed / game81.373.098.0
Point differential-1.3+5.0-14.0
Avg total161.3151.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leicester Riders
SLB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game95.595.5-
Point differential-8.5-8.5-
Avg total182.5182.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions440100%97.271.5+25.8
2 Cheshire Phoenix32167%86.778.0+8.7
3 Newcastle Eagles32167%77.775.3+2.3
4 Sheffield Sharks32167%72.372.0+0.3
5 Caledonia Gladiators21150%81.086.0-5.0
6 Leicester Riders21150%87.095.5-8.5
7 Bristol Flyers31233%80.081.3-1.3
8 Manchester Giants31233%77.395.0-17.7
9 Plymouth City Patriots3030%73.082.3-9.3
10 Surrey Scorchers2020%64.076.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bristol Flyers1031141974
Leicester Riders3713261692
← all games of the day
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