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Bristol Flyers vs Leicester Riders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-70
14-28 23-14 18-14 19-14
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game66.0
Bristol Flyers 🏆
United Kingdom
vs
Leicester Riders
United Kingdom
Position#5
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game86.0
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders
25 Apr 2027
BRIS v LRI
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
BRIS v LRI
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
BRIS79
LRI84
28 Sep 2025
BRIS74
LRI70
02 May 2025
BRIS55
LRI78
23 Mar 2025
BRIS68
LRI67
07 Mar 2025
BRIS63
LRI74
25 Oct 2024
BRIS101
LRI105
10 Mar 2024
BRIS108
LRI71
30 Sep 2023
BRIS74
LRI92
05 May 2023
BRIS77
LRI84
06 Jan 2023
BRIS91
LRI84
15 Oct 2022
BRIS91
LRI85
05 Mar 2022
BRIS75
LRI78
14 Jan 2022
BRIS64
LRI92
07 Jan 2022
BRIS71
LRI68
08 Oct 2021
BRIS67
LRI75
27 Mar 2021
BRIS62
LRI76
06 Mar 2020
BRIS73
LRI69
16 Feb 2019
BRIS83
LRI90
16 Nov 2018
BRIS52
LRI68
11 May 2018
BRIS75
LRI90
01 Dec 2017
BRIS77
LRI82
05 Nov 2016
BRIS60
LRI85
21 Oct 2016
BRIS70
LRI80
12 Feb 2016
BRIS55
LRI66
13 Mar 2015
BRIS68
LRI81
10 Jan 2015
BRIS59
LRI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leicester Riders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H18/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
A20/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
55-84
55
84
-29
no box
A21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
H25/04
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H27/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
55-78
55
78
-23
no box
H02/05
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A05/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
78-60
78
60
+18
64avg 71
H19/09
SLB
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
90-78
90
78
+12
91avg 71
A23/09
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
60-72
60
72
-12
48avg 71
A26/09
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
24-18
20-17
20-22
22-27
24-21
29-21
22-23
5-18
14-21
13-21
23-24
22-23
22-24
14-26
23-20
9-23
18-15
14-17
26-12
19-15
11-15
8-25
17-23
16-23
22-27
16-23
26-13
25-19
17-13
23-6
13-22
23-14
21-20
26-21
20-23
18-21
13-24
19-13
10-14
157.1Avg total
76.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.066.0135.0+3.050%
Season at home (1)78.060.0138.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)60.072.0132.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)76.980.2157.1-3.350%
Last 5 (5)72.674.8147.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.876.8144.6-9.014%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.681.7164.2+0.958%
vs Weaker (4)78.570.2148.8+8.275%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
London Lions
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
no box
A23/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
A25/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
no box
H27/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
78-55
78
55
+23
no box
A02/05
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H05/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
no box
A09/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
W
97-77 OT
97
77
+20
no box
H11/05
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
105-74
105
74
+31
no box
H18/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
46avg 80
H19/09
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
65-93
65
93
-28
56avg 80
H26/09
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
21-28
27-26
21-18
23-30
27-22
23-15
33-24
29-15
25-19
18-26
26-18
15-19
15-11
25-8
23-17
23-16
27-22
23-16
13-26
21-26
11-20
25-19
18-20
27-17
20-18
17-20
19-18
28-16
25-26
30-21
22-11
14-18
16-23
18-15
24-23
13-28
16-23
17-17
19-25
167.1Avg total
86.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.586.0154.5-17.50%
Season at home (2)68.586.0154.5-17.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.280.9167.1+5.360%
Last 5 (5)82.881.6164.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.586.0154.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.086.3163.3-9.333%
vs Weaker (25)90.179.8169.9+10.272%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Bristol FlyersLeicester Riders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H18/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H25/04
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H27/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H02/05
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/09
SLB
Kapfenberg Bulls
#22
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/09
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A26/09
SLB
76.4Avg total
36.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.676.1-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.637.073.6-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.578.9-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.776.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.339.674.9-4.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.139.678.7-0.542%-
vs Weaker (4)40.032.272.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A23/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A25/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H27/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A02/05
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H05/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/05
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/05
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H19/09
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H26/09
SLB
82.9Avg total
40.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.783.8+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.785.4+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.782.3-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.282.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.081.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.546.075.5-16.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)32.343.075.3-10.733%-
vs Weaker (25)44.441.285.5+3.248%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.3
49.3%
52.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
34.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
72.0%12.7
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.6
54.9%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.2
69.7%
72.0%12.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
LWWLLWLLWW
Leicester Riders
LLWWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#5
+6.7
Net rating
+3.4
101.3
Offensive rating
109.8
94.7
Defensive rating
106.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
21.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
34.1%
69.3%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 109.8Defence94.7 · 106.5Shooting51.8% · 53.5%3-point %37.0% · 34.1%Ball care21.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Leicester Riders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bristol Flyers wins
7
Leicester Riders wins
DateGameScore
05/05/25Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers86-80
02/05/25Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders55-78
23/03/25Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders68-67
07/03/25Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders63-74
31/01/25Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers94-59
27/12/24Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers83-74
25/10/24Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders101-105 OT
27/09/24Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers91-69
04/04/24Leicester Riders v Bristol Flyers77-89
10/03/24Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders108-71
Bristol Flyerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ALondon Lions60-72
23/09/25AKapfenberg Bulls90-78
19/09/25HSheffield Sharks78-60
05/05/25ALeicester Riders80-86
02/05/25HLeicester Riders55-78
27/04/25HSurrey 89ers87-86 OT
25/04/25HCheshire Phoenix81-93
21/04/25ANewcastle Eagles55-84
20/04/25AManchester Basketball97-92
18/04/25HCaledonia Gladiators86-73
Leicester Riderslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25HSheffield Sharks65-93
19/09/25HLondon Lions72-79
18/05/25HNewcastle Eagles105-74
11/05/25HSheffield Sharks97-77 OT
09/05/25ASheffield Sharks75-85
05/05/25HBristol Flyers86-80
02/05/25ABristol Flyers78-55
27/04/25HCaledonia Gladiators98-78
25/04/25ANewcastle Eagles106-91
23/04/25ALondon Lions80-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.078.060.0
Allowed / game66.060.072.0
Point differential+3.0+18.0-12.0
Avg total135.0138.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leicester Riders
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game68.568.5-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-17.5-17.5-
Avg total154.5154.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Surrey 89ers110100%94.080.0+14.0
2 Newcastle Eagles220100%98.587.0+11.5
3 London Lions330100%80.071.7+8.3
4 Sheffield Sharks21150%76.571.5+5.0
5 Bristol Flyers21150%69.066.0+3.0
6 Manchester Basketball21150%86.091.5-5.5
7 Caledonia Gladiators1010%104.0109.0-5.0
8 Cheshire Phoenix3030%80.789.7-9.0
9 Leicester Riders2020%68.586.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bristol Flyers1423181974
Leicester Riders2814141470
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