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Bristol Flyers vs Leicester Riders Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game89.4
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Leicester Riders
25 Apr 2027
BRIS v LRI
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
BRIS v LRI
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
BRIS79
LRI84
28 Sep 2025
BRIS74
LRI70
02 May 2025
BRIS55
LRI78
23 Mar 2025
BRIS68
LRI67
07 Mar 2025
BRIS63
LRI74
25 Oct 2024
BRIS101
LRI105
10 Mar 2024
BRIS108
LRI71
30 Sep 2023
BRIS74
LRI92
05 May 2023
BRIS77
LRI84
06 Jan 2023
BRIS91
LRI84
15 Oct 2022
BRIS91
LRI85
05 Mar 2022
BRIS75
LRI78
14 Jan 2022
BRIS64
LRI92
07 Jan 2022
BRIS71
LRI68
08 Oct 2021
BRIS67
LRI75
27 Mar 2021
BRIS62
LRI76
06 Mar 2020
BRIS73
LRI69
16 Feb 2019
BRIS83
LRI90
16 Nov 2018
BRIS52
LRI68
11 May 2018
BRIS75
LRI90
01 Dec 2017
BRIS77
LRI82
05 Nov 2016
BRIS60
LRI85
21 Oct 2016
BRIS70
LRI80
12 Feb 2016
BRIS55
LRI66
13 Mar 2015
BRIS68
LRI81
10 Jan 2015
BRIS59
LRI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leicester Riders win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#5
W
76-58
76
58
+18
65avg 74
H02/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 74
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
68avg 74
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#7
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 74
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 74
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 74
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 74
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
53-68
53
68
-15
no box
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
16-20
30-7
10-16
16-15
23-21
17-13
22-24
26-24
13-21
22-34
23-27
25-22
18-27
28-15
19-25
8-17
20-20
17-24
31-21
19-20
21-8
18-28
27-16
23-24
12-11
18-24
21-19
28-12
15-27
17-17
21-9
17-20
19-13
4-17
13-18
21-18
21-25
25-8
14-15
153.5Avg total
77.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.577.9155.4-0.450%
Season at home (5)74.274.6148.8-0.440%
Season away (5)80.881.2162.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)77.875.7153.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)74.869.8144.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.588.3163.8-12.810%
vs Similar (16)81.482.1163.5-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)83.873.2157.0+10.5100%
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiders
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 73
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 73
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
92avg 73
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 73
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 73
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 73
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
94avg 73
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 73
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
80-101
80
101
-21
75avg 73
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A06/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
11-24
25-11
17-29
24-16
21-23
13-19
7-20
18-30
19-25
23-28
34-25
10-20
17-23
16-14
23-14
15-16
21-23
13-17
24-22
22-30
19-13
21-19
13-23
23-18
24-33
23-22
23-20
28-31
20-17
20-25
19-16
17-26
21-22
20-23
22-30
20-22
21-17
29-18
27-19
169.1Avg total
80.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.289.4173.6-5.112%
Season at home (3)80.089.3169.3-9.30%
Season away (5)86.889.4176.2-2.620%
Last 10 (10)80.988.2169.1-7.310%
Last 5 (5)88.291.6179.8-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)81.187.6168.7-6.622%
vs Similar (8)90.491.5181.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (3)86.792.7179.3-6.033%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
Bristol FlyersLeicester Riders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
ENBL
76.1Avg total
38.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.480.7-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.179.9-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.981.6-4.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.076.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.674.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.344.080.3-7.730%-
vs Similar (16)40.740.881.5-0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.037.278.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Leicester Riders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leicester RidersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H07/05
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A27/09
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A02/10
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H09/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/10
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H23/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
SLB
84.2Avg total
38.8Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.385.7-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.546.088.5-3.514%-
Last 30 away (16)40.442.883.2-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.845.484.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.888.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.445.685.0-6.222%-
vs Similar (8)43.443.987.2-0.538%-
vs Weaker (3)42.739.081.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.1
48.7%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.8
34.1%
34.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.6
74.6%
70.7%12.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leicester Riderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leicester Riders: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
70.7%16.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
WLWLWLWLWW
Leicester Riders
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#10
-3.9
Net rating
-10.6
89.2
Offensive rating
92.7
93.1
Defensive rating
103.4
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.1%
3-point %
35.0%
52.0%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 92.7Defence93.1 · 103.4Shooting49.9% · 52.6%3-point %34.1% · 35.0%Ball care15.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Leicester Riders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HDubrava81-66
08/11/26HSurrey 89ers53-68
06/11/26ANewcastle Eagles81-65
30/10/26HManchester Basketball74-78
27/10/26ABK Liepaja85-72
24/10/26ALondon Lions76-82
18/10/26HLiverpool90-89
13/10/26ASyntainics MBC84-106
09/10/26ALeicester Riders78-73
02/10/26HManchester Basketball76-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ALondon Lions97-76
30/10/26HNewcastle Eagles80-101
23/10/26HManchester Basketball87-89
17/10/26ASurrey 89ers102-107 OT
11/10/26ASheffield Sharks75-85
09/10/26HBristol Flyers73-78
02/10/26ALondon Lions66-71
27/09/26ACheshire Phoenix94-108
10/05/26ALondon Lions65-78
07/05/26HLondon Lions70-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game77.574.280.8
Allowed / game77.974.681.2
Point differential-0.4-0.4-0.4
Avg total155.4148.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leicester Riders
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%0%20%
Points / game84.280.086.8
Allowed / game89.489.389.4
Point differential-5.1-9.3-2.6
Avg total173.6169.3176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions98189%81.675.8+5.8
2 Newcastle Eagles106460%84.776.6+8.1
3 Sheffield Sharks74357%83.781.4+2.3
4 Bristol Flyers105550%77.577.9-0.4
5 Manchester Basketball105550%81.383.2-1.9
6 Cheshire Phoenix94544%94.995.0-0.1
7 Liverpool94544%84.284.3-0.1
8 Surrey 89ers73443%79.181.9-2.7
9 Caledonia Gladiators73443%83.993.0-9.1
10 Leicester Riders81712%84.289.4-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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