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Bristol Flyers vs Surrey 89ers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-86 (OT)
9-23 18-15 14-17 26-12 20-19
Position#7
Record12-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.0
Bristol Flyers 🏆
United Kingdom
vs
Surrey 89ers
United Kingdom
Position#8
Record12-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game84.7
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers
06 Dec 2026
BRIS v SURR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
BRIS53
SURR68
19 Apr 2026
BRIS79
SURR89
28 Dec 2025
BRIS86
SURR87
27 Apr 2025
BRIS87
SURR86
13 Apr 2025
BRIS73
SURR82
05 Oct 2024
BRIS86
SURR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Surrey 89ers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A04/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A06/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H08/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H11/04
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H13/04
SLB
London Lions
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A16/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H18/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A20/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H25/04
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
18-24
22-18
19-24
17-27
17-21
18-18
17-22
18-15
21-21
13-15
19-13
22-20
16-12
20-16
23-14
14-28
18-20
23-21
18-13
23-27
7-18
20-13
19-19
22-16
24-18
20-17
20-22
22-27
24-21
29-21
22-23
5-18
14-21
13-21
23-24
22-23
22-24
14-26
23-20
156.8Avg total
76.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.681.0158.6-3.439%
Season at home (15)77.377.9155.3-0.647%
Season away (16)77.983.8161.7-5.931%
Last 10 (10)76.280.6156.8-4.440%
Last 5 (5)77.683.8161.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.877.8145.5-10.017%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.585.4168.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (6)75.566.0141.5+9.583%
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey 89ersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H29/03
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A04/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
104-95
104
95
+9
A06/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A09/04
SLB
London Lions
#2
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H12/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A13/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A17/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
87-95
87
95
-8
H19/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A23/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H26/04
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
17-25
18-21
9-31
24-23
26-18
21-14
17-26
33-22
27-21
17-27
27-25
20-20
12-20
28-22
21-28
29-25
19-13
26-18
14-24
28-14
20-18
21-23
13-18
21-21
20-19
17-26
26-25
21-31
22-15
21-29
23-20
25-29
22-15
21-27
20-33
18-20
24-22
26-23
25-22
175.6Avg total
86.6Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.684.7166.4-3.139%
Season at home (16)81.082.4163.4-1.444%
Season away (15)82.387.3169.5-5.033%
Last 10 (10)86.689.0175.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)86.890.0176.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.284.2165.5-3.031%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.289.5175.7-3.246%
vs Weaker (3)79.076.3155.3+2.767%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -5.7-5.7
Bristol FlyersSurrey 89ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/04
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H11/04
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H13/04
SLB
London Lions
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H18/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A21/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H25/04
SLB
79.3Avg total
36.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.776.7-0.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.136.974.9+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.978.7-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.679.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.679.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.339.875.1-4.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.241.381.6-1.142%-
vs Weaker (6)38.731.570.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey 89ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H29/03
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/04
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#6
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A06/04
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/04
SLB
London Lions
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H12/04
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#7
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A13/04
SLB
Leicester Riders
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A17/04
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H19/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/04
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H26/04
SLB
86.3Avg total
45.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.684.7+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.541.181.6-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)45.442.087.4+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.886.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.885.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)42.241.283.3+1.069%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.743.889.5+1.954%-
vs Weaker (3)38.034.072.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
52.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.4
36.2%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
72.0%13.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Surrey 89erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Surrey 89ers: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.6
56.4%
52.6%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.8
32.8%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.414.4
78.3%
72.0%14.4
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
LLWWLLWWLL
Surrey 89ers
WLLLWWLWWL
#7
League position
#8
+3.1
Net rating
-0.7
98.7
Offensive rating
112.7
95.6
Defensive rating
113.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
22.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.2%
3-point %
32.8%
70.8%
Assist %
55.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 112.7Defence95.6 · 113.4Shooting51.1% · 53.7%3-point %36.2% · 32.8%Ball care22.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Surrey 89ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bristol Flyers wins
1
Surrey 89ers wins
DateGameScore
13/04/25Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers73-82
15/02/25Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers83-89 OT
30/11/24Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers84-88
12/10/24Surrey 89ers v Bristol Flyers69-92
05/10/24Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers86-79
Bristol Flyerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25HCheshire Phoenix81-93
21/04/25ANewcastle Eagles55-84
20/04/25AManchester Basketball97-92
18/04/25HCaledonia Gladiators86-73
16/04/25ALondon Lions69-77
13/04/25HSurrey 89ers73-82
11/04/25HCaledonia Gladiators81-62
08/04/25HSheffield Sharks71-64
06/04/25ASheffield Sharks69-88
04/04/25AManchester Basketball80-91
Surrey 89erslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HManchester Basketball93-87
23/04/25AManchester Basketball88-104
19/04/25HNewcastle Eagles87-95
17/04/25ALeicester Riders84-91
13/04/25ABristol Flyers82-73
12/04/25HLondon Lions88-80
09/04/25ACaledonia Gladiators81-90
06/04/25ACheshire Phoenix104-95
04/04/25ANewcastle Eagles88-81
29/03/25HCheshire Phoenix71-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL39%
HomeWWLWL47%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %39%47%31%
Points / game77.677.377.9
Allowed / game81.077.983.8
Point differential-3.4-0.6-5.9
Avg total158.6155.3161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Surrey 89ers
SLB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW39%
HomeWLWLW44%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game81.681.082.3
Allowed / game84.782.487.3
Point differential-3.1-1.4-5.0
Avg total166.4163.4169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions3124777%85.776.1+9.7
2 Leicester Riders3122971%87.079.8+7.2
3 Sheffield Sharks31211068%81.477.6+3.8
4 Manchester Basketball32151747%86.186.8-0.7
5 Newcastle Eagles31141745%83.185.5-2.4
6 Cheshire Phoenix31131842%89.892.7-2.9
7 Surrey 89ers31121939%81.684.7-3.1
8 Bristol Flyers31121939%77.681.0-3.4
9 Caledonia Gladiators3172423%76.885.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bristol Flyers91814262087
Surrey 89ers231517121986
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