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Bristol Flyers vs Surrey 89ers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-87 (OT)
21-19 18-22 17-23 21-13 9-10
Position#6
Record8-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#7
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game89.5
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers
06 Dec 2026
BRIS v SURR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
BRIS v SURR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
BRIS79
SURR89
28 Dec 2025
BRIS86
SURR87
27 Apr 2025
BRIS87
SURR86
13 Apr 2025
BRIS73
SURR82
05 Oct 2024
BRIS86
SURR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Surrey 89ers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 74
H24/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
87-83
87
83
+4
87avg 74
A31/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
56avg 74
A02/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
103-94
103
94
+9
100avg 74
H14/11
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
63avg 74
H19/11
ENBL
London Lions
#1
W
68-54
68
54
+14
64avg 74
H21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
84-111
84
111
-27
77avg 74
A23/11
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
H05/12
SLB
Voluntari
#3
L
85-99
85
99
-14
82avg 74
A16/12
ENBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 74
H19/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
24-21
24-21
25-26
23-14
18-22
17-24
29-23
24-20
13-18
19-16
13-22
24-19
29-24
20-28
30-23
18-30
13-20
19-22
26-21
17-11
12-20
20-9
19-14
21-32
20-27
23-31
20-21
17-28
28-14
14-21
19-21
27-31
17-23
16-23
25-22
21-14
17-19
24-18
25-16
167.9Avg total
82.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.878.7160.5+3.162%
Season at home (7)82.074.9156.9+7.171%
Season away (6)81.583.2164.7-1.750%
Last 10 (10)82.385.6167.9-3.340%
Last 5 (5)80.483.0163.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.782.2154.9-9.617%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.579.6159.2-0.155%
vs Weaker (7)88.777.3166.0+11.4100%
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey 89ersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form89ers
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
54avg 81
H04/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
85-100
85
100
-15
64avg 81
H11/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 81
H24/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
95-90
95
90
+5
96avg 81
A26/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
97avg 81
A16/11
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
85avg 81
A21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 81
H04/12
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 81
H12/12
SLB Cup
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
75avg 81
H19/12
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
61avg 81
A21/12
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
18-18
13-23
20-26
12-20
19-28
26-26
28-26
26-24
19-25
19-12
14-19
24-26
24-20
24-20
23-24
24-18
29-12
24-21
16-25
16-27
32-28
18-26
23-11
25-28
16-15
16-19
22-24
29-21
27-19
18-11
25-18
16-17
15-26
24-28
24-30
15-18
25-28
11-23
29-25
172.7Avg total
84.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.889.5173.3-5.730%
Season at home (6)80.290.5170.7-10.317%
Season away (4)89.288.0177.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)84.388.4172.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)85.288.4173.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.186.6165.7-7.520%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.390.7175.9-5.440%
vs Weaker (4)84.584.2168.8+0.250%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
Bristol FlyersSurrey 89ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H24/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/11
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H14/11
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H19/11
ENBL
London Lions
#1
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A23/11
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H05/12
SLB
Voluntari
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/12
ENBL
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/12
SLB
83.0Avg total
39.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.479.5-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.839.477.2-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.682.2-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.483.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.145.080.1-9.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.940.378.2-2.436%-
vs Weaker (7)43.936.980.7+7.086%-
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey 89ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bristol Flyers
#6
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H04/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/10
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A26/10
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A16/11
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#8
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A21/11
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H04/12
SLB
Caledonia Gladiators
#9
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H12/12
SLB Cup
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H19/12
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A21/12
SLB
87.3Avg total
42.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.685.3+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.442.582.9-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)44.742.887.4+1.962%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.787.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.488.6-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.842.581.3-3.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.444.489.8+1.053%-
vs Weaker (4)39.037.076.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.6
52.2%
52.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
34.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
72.0%13.0
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Surrey 89erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Surrey 89ers: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.923.7
51.6%
52.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.8
30.0%
34.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.412.7
65.5%
72.0%12.7
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
WLLLWLWLWL
Surrey 89ers
LLWLLWWLLL
#6
League position
#7
-4.9
Net rating
-5.3
108.0
Offensive rating
108.1
112.9
Defensive rating
113.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
30.0%
64.1%
Assist %
66.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 108.1Defence112.9 · 113.4Shooting52.7% · 49.2%3-point %35.7% · 30.0%Ball care18.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 36.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Surrey 89ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bristol Flyers wins
1
Surrey 89ers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HCaledonia Gladiators87-67
16/12/25AVoluntari85-99
05/12/25HManchester Basketball78-84
23/11/25ACheshire Phoenix84-111
21/11/25HLondon Lions68-54
19/11/25HSyntainics MBC76-93
14/11/25HCaledonia Gladiators103-94
02/11/25ASheffield Sharks69-76
31/10/25ANewcastle Eagles87-83
24/10/25HCheshire Phoenix86-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AManchester Basketball80-94
19/12/25HCheshire Phoenix79-101
12/12/25HCaledonia Gladiators99-69
04/12/25HCheshire Phoenix79-86
21/11/25ANewcastle Eagles89-92
16/11/25ACaledonia Gladiators93-76
26/10/25AManchester Basketball95-90
24/10/25HLeicester Riders78-80
11/10/25HCaledonia Gladiators85-100
04/10/25HBristol Flyers66-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game81.882.081.5
Allowed / game78.774.983.2
Point differential+3.1+7.1-1.7
Avg total160.5156.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Surrey 89ers
SLB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%17%50%
Points / game83.880.289.2
Allowed / game89.590.588.0
Point differential-5.7-10.3+1.2
Avg total173.3170.7177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions1311285%81.473.1+8.3
2 Manchester Basketball117464%85.783.6+2.1
3 Bristol Flyers138562%81.878.7+3.1
4 Sheffield Sharks127558%81.680.5+1.1
5 Cheshire Phoenix158753%92.388.7+3.6
6 Newcastle Eagles125742%86.686.6+0.0
7 Leicester Riders125742%79.184.2-5.2
8 Surrey 89ers103730%83.889.5-5.7
9 Caledonia Gladiators1421214%79.688.1-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bristol Flyers21181721986
Surrey 89ers192223131087
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