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Bristol Flyers vs Surrey 89ers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.6
United KingdomSLB· SGS WISE Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Surrey 89ers
06 Dec 2026
BRIS v SURR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
BRIS53
SURR68
19 Apr 2026
BRIS79
SURR89
28 Dec 2025
BRIS86
SURR87
27 Apr 2025
BRIS87
SURR86
13 Apr 2025
BRIS73
SURR82
05 Oct 2024
BRIS86
SURR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Surrey 89ers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol FlyersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlyers
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 73
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
84-106
84
106
-22
68avg 73
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 73
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 73
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
77avg 73
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 73
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
L
53-68
53
68
-15
no box
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
H11/11
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A15/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
23-21
17-13
22-24
26-24
13-21
22-34
23-27
25-22
18-27
28-15
19-25
8-17
20-20
17-24
31-21
19-20
21-8
18-28
27-16
23-24
12-11
18-24
21-19
28-12
15-27
17-17
21-9
17-20
19-13
4-17
13-18
21-18
21-25
25-8
14-15
25-20
16-26
23-25
22-13
157.1Avg total
78.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.378.5156.7-0.255%
Season at home (5)74.274.6148.8-0.440%
Season away (6)81.781.7163.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)78.878.3157.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)75.072.2147.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.588.3163.8-12.810%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.782.6164.3-0.947%
vs Weaker (3)85.773.3159.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey 89ersUnited KingdomLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form89ers
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
96-128
96
128
-32
87avg 83
H01/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
87avg 83
A03/05
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
67-79
67
79
-12
55avg 83
A27/09
SLB
Liverpool
#4
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 83
H10/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
105avg 83
H17/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
55-82
55
82
-27
47avg 83
A23/10
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
W
107-91
107
91
+16
98avg 83
A25/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 83
H01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
W
68-53
68
53
+15
no box
A08/11
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A13/11
SLB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
22-42
23-34
23-29
30-21
22-32
25-20
18-27
11-18
19-18
17-16
20-27
27-20
15-24
15-21
17-20
18-23
33-24
22-23
20-23
12-24
15-21
10-24
18-13
32-22
26-35
20-17
29-17
21-20
25-24
7-20
23-17
20-17
13-19
17-4
18-13
14-23
28-25
22-11
13-21
170.3Avg total
82.2Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.981.6160.5-2.838%
Season at home (3)85.789.3175.0-3.733%
Season away (5)74.877.0151.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)82.288.1170.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)76.677.4154.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.995.1177.0-13.28%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.484.7172.1+2.856%
vs Weaker (1)117.0120.0237.0-3.00%
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
Bristol FlyersSurrey 89ers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leicester Riders
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/10
SLB
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/10
ENBL
Liverpool
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/10
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/10
SLB
BK Liepaja
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A27/10
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A06/11
SLB
Surrey 89ers
#8
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H08/11
SLB
Dubrava
#14
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
ENBL
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
SLB
77.7Avg total
38.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.781.1-2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.380.3-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.843.181.9-4.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.177.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.344.080.3-7.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.941.181.9-0.259%-
vs Weaker (3)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Surrey 89ers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Surrey 89ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H01/05
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#2
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A03/05
SLB
Manchester Basketball
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A27/09
SLB
Liverpool
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H10/10
SLB
Leicester Riders
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/10
SLB
Newcastle Eagles
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/10
SLB
Cheshire Phoenix
#7
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A25/10
SLB
Sheffield Sharks
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H01/11
SLB
Bristol Flyers
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A08/11
SLB
London Lions
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A13/11
SLB
90.6Avg total
43.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.388.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.546.391.8-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)40.944.585.4-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)43.147.590.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.087.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.346.486.8-6.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.943.387.2+0.662%-
vs Weaker (1)60.052.0112.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bristol Flyerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bristol Flyers: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.1
48.7%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.8
34.1%
34.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.6
74.6%
70.8%12.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Surrey 89erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Surrey 89ers: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
70.8%14.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bristol Flyers
WWLWLWLWLW
Surrey 89ers
LWLWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#8
-3.9
Net rating
-9.1
89.2
Offensive rating
90.9
93.1
Defensive rating
100.0
49.9%
Effective FG%
50.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
32.7%
52.0%
Assist %
63.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 90.9Defence93.1 · 100.0Shooting49.9% · 50.1%3-point %34.1% · 32.7%Ball care15.6% · 14.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bristol Flyers   ■ Surrey 89ers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bristol Flyers wins
5
Surrey 89ers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AManchester Basketball86-84
11/11/26HDubrava81-66
08/11/26HSurrey 89ers53-68
06/11/26ANewcastle Eagles81-65
30/10/26HManchester Basketball74-78
27/10/26ABK Liepaja85-72
24/10/26ALondon Lions76-82
18/10/26HLiverpool90-89
13/10/26ASyntainics MBC84-106
09/10/26ALeicester Riders78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ALondon Lions77-80
08/11/26ABristol Flyers68-53
01/11/26HSheffield Sharks76-81
25/10/26ACheshire Phoenix107-91
23/10/26ANewcastle Eagles55-82
17/10/26HLeicester Riders107-102 OT
10/10/26HLiverpool74-85
27/09/26AManchester Basketball67-79
03/05/26ACheshire Phoenix95-100
01/05/26HCheshire Phoenix96-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game78.374.281.7
Allowed / game78.574.681.7
Point differential-0.2-0.4+0.0
Avg total156.7148.8163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Surrey 89ers
SLB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game78.985.774.8
Allowed / game81.689.377.0
Point differential-2.8-3.7-2.2
Avg total160.5175.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 London Lions109190%81.475.9+5.5
2 Newcastle Eagles117464%85.175.2+9.9
3 Bristol Flyers116555%78.378.5-0.2
4 Liverpool105550%83.982.7+1.2
5 Sheffield Sharks84450%81.881.4+0.4
6 Manchester Basketball115645%81.583.5-1.9
7 Cheshire Phoenix104640%91.594.4-2.9
8 Surrey 89ers83538%78.981.6-2.8
9 Caledonia Gladiators83538%83.492.8-9.4
10 Leicester Riders92722%85.088.3-3.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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