Bristol Flyers vs Worcester Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 77-82

23-20 20-17 15-26 19-19

Position#10

Record8-21

FormWLLLL

Points / game70.4

Allowed / game78.4

Bristol Flyers

Worcester Wolves 🏆

Position#4

Record18-12

FormWLWLL

Points / game82.6

Allowed / game81.1

SLBRound 30

Other2015-16

Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Worcester Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol Flyers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leicester Riders

55-66

-11

H12/02

SLB

Leeds Force

88-91 OT

-3

A19/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

69-65

H05/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

67-75

-8

H12/03

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

62-64

-2

A13/03

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

86-78

H18/03

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

72-91

-19

A20/03

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

70-78

-8

A25/03

SLB

Leicester Riders

52-90

-38

A26/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

65-90

-25

A01/04

SLB

14-17

19-23

11-10

11-16

17-17

24-22

17-13

22-28

10-14

19-18

18-12

22-21

6-10

17-26

29-21

15-18

17-24

15-12

21-16

9-12

26-23

15-20

23-13

22-22

25-22

10-23

20-28

17-18

18-19

22-19

14-18

16-22

13-30

16-17

12-18

11-25

22-27

7-24

15-17

21-22

147.4Avg total

68.6Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	70.4	78.4	148.9	-8.0	28%
Season at home (14)	72.6	78.9	151.5	-6.4	36%
Season away (15)	68.5	77.9	146.4	-9.5	20%
Last 10 (10)	68.6	78.8	147.4	-10.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	85.4	154.4	-16.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	66.7	79.0	145.7	-12.4	25%
vs Similar (5)	81.0	76.6	157.6	+4.4	40%
vs Weaker (3)	73.7	77.7	151.3	-4.0	33%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manchester Giants

#11

79-74

A07/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

69-81

-12

H12/02

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

88-94

-6

H14/02

SLB Trophy

London Lions

72-80

-8

A16/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

83-70

+13

H19/02

SLB

Leeds Force

92-91 OT

A04/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

75-81

-6

A11/03

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

77-70

H18/03

SLB

Leicester Riders

72-75

-3

H01/04

SLB

London Lions

89-101

101

-12

A08/04

SLB

24-19

18-20

13-20

24-15

20-22

27-20

12-19

10-20

18-28

29-29

18-21

23-16

21-22

20-21

20-20

11-17

15-13

23-15

22-19

23-23

21-16

18-23

22-25

22-19

16-23

26-15

10-23

23-20

24-18

13-16

16-15

24-21

15-27

16-19

23-11

18-18

27-29

25-23

22-23

15-26

161.3Avg total

79.6Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	82.6	81.1	163.8	+1.5	60%
Season at home (15)	82.1	78.8	160.9	+3.3	67%
Season away (15)	83.1	83.5	166.6	-0.3	53%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	81.7	161.3	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	83.6	164.6	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	79.2	81.4	160.7	-2.2	33%
vs Similar (10)	81.4	86.2	167.6	-4.8	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	88.9	75.8	164.7	+13.1	100%

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bristol FlyersWorcester Wolves

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.3	37.3	-3.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.2	45.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.8	20.8	36.5	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.3	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.6	22.8	43.3	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	24.8	44.7	-4.9	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.2	17.2	40.4	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.9	18.6	35.4	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	19.8	36.7	-2.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	17.4	34.3	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	20.6	34.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.9	19.2	35.1	-3.2	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.3	16.7	37.0	+3.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.9	39.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	56%	-

Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leicester Riders

33-40

-7

H12/02

SLB

Leeds Force

41-39

A19/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

29-32

-3

H05/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

23-36

-13

H12/03

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

32-36

-4

A13/03

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

41-43

-2

H18/03

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

35-45

-10

A20/03

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

40-38

A25/03

SLB

Leicester Riders

29-47

-18

A26/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

29-51

-22

A01/04

SLB

73.9Avg total

33.2Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	34.6	39.0	73.5	-4.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.2	40.4	75.6	-5.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.9	37.7	71.6	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	40.7	73.9	-7.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	44.8	79.6	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	31.8	40.0	71.7	-8.2	15%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.3	67%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manchester Giants

#11

42-39

A07/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

47-42

H12/02

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

47-57

-10

H14/02

SLB Trophy

London Lions

41-43

-2

A16/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#11

38-28

+10

H19/02

SLB

Leeds Force

39-39

A04/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

42-38

A11/03

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

37-34

H18/03

SLB

Leicester Riders

31-46

-15

H01/04

SLB

London Lions

52-52

A08/04

SLB

83.4Avg total

41.6Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	41.4	83.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	42.2	83.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	41.9	42.8	84.7	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.8	45.8	86.6	-5.0	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.2	34.6	77.8	+8.7	78%	-

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	19.0	37.3	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.6	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.4	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.8	19.7	36.4	-2.9	24%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	20.1	36.1	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.8	39.2	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.2	20.0	36.2	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.3	38.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.9	19.0	41.9	+3.9	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.0	38.7	73.7	-3.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	38.3	75.5	-1.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.9	39.1	72.1	-6.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	37.0	71.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	40.6	74.8	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	34.5	38.8	73.3	-4.2	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.0	38.4	76.4	-0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.0	40.3	74.3	-6.3	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	38.6	78.3	+1.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	39.3	79.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	39.1	76.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.3	38.7	76.0	-1.3	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.6	40.4	81.0	+0.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.0	39.6	82.6	+3.4	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bristol Flyers wins

Worcester Wolves wins

Date	Game	Score
09/01/16	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	76-83 OT
28/11/15	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	70-83
25/09/15	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	78-76
06/02/15	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	74-48
17/01/15	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	68-69
28/11/14	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	79-65
31/10/14	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	82-90

Bristol Flyerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	65-90
26/03/16	A	Leicester Riders	52-90
25/03/16	A	Sheffield Sharks	70-78
20/03/16	A	Plymouth Raiders	72-91
18/03/16	H	Cheshire Phoenix	86-78
13/03/16	A	Manchester Giants	62-64
12/03/16	H	Glasgow Rocks	67-75
05/03/16	H	Sheffield Sharks	69-65
19/02/16	A	Leeds Force	88-91 OT
12/02/16	H	Leicester Riders	55-66

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/16	A	London Lions	89-101
01/04/16	H	Leicester Riders	72-75
18/03/16	H	Plymouth Raiders	77-70
11/03/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	75-81
04/03/16	A	Leeds Force	92-91 OT
19/02/16	H	Manchester Giants	83-70
16/02/16	A	London Lions	72-80
14/02/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	88-94
12/02/16	H	Sheffield Sharks	69-81
07/02/16	A	Manchester Giants	79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers

SLB 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	28%
Home	LLWLW	36%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	28%	36%	20%
Points / game	70.4	72.6	68.5
Allowed / game	78.4	78.9	77.9
Point differential	-8.0	-6.4	-9.5
Avg total	148.9	151.5	146.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	7%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	60%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	WLWLL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	60%	67%	53%
Points / game	82.6	82.1	83.1
Allowed / game	81.1	78.8	83.5
Point differential	+1.5	+3.3	-0.3
Avg total	163.8	160.9	166.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	67% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Newcastle Eagles	30	27	3	90%	92.5	77.0	+15.5
2	Leicester Riders	30	27	3	90%	82.2	67.9	+14.3
3	Sheffield Sharks	29	18	11	62%	82.6	74.7	+7.9
4	Worcester Wolves	30	18	12	60%	82.6	81.1	+1.5
5	Glasgow Rocks	31	17	14	55%	78.6	77.5	+1.1
6	London Lions	30	14	16	47%	81.2	77.2	+4.0
7	Cheshire Phoenix	31	14	17	45%	83.4	84.6	-1.3
8	Plymouth Raiders	30	12	18	40%	82.2	84.8	-2.5
9	Leeds Force	31	12	19	39%	71.5	80.1	-8.6
10	Bristol Flyers	29	8	21	28%	70.4	78.4	-8.0
11	Manchester Giants	30	7	23	23%	77.8	88.3	-10.5
12	Surrey Scorchers	31	7	24	23%	75.7	88.4	-12.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bristol Flyers	23	20	15	19	77
Worcester Wolves	20	17	26	19	82

← all games of the day

Bristol Flyers vs Worcester Wolves Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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