Bristol Flyers vs Worcester Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2017

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 81-73

22-17 17-15 24-15 18-26

Position#7

Record5-11

FormWWWWW

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game80.8

Bristol Flyers 🏆

Worcester Wolves

Position#4

Record5-10

FormWWLLW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game83.7

SLB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bristol Flyers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Worcester Wolves winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bristol Flyers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

67-73

-6

H18/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

80-82 OT

-2

A20/11

SLB

Leicester Riders

65-79

-14

A25/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

67-102

102

-35

H26/11

SLB

Worcester Wolves

56-88

-32

A02/12

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

96-79

+17

H09/12

SLB

Worcester Wolves

81-74

A16/12

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

95-89

A18/12

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

93-72

+21

H07/01

SLB

Reading

#12

85-74

+11

A08/01

SLB Trophy

20-14

10-17

13-18

24-24

12-16

14-19

23-24

23-13

20-9

12-21

25-18

8-31

29-33

12-21

17-23

9-25

12-30

14-24

16-19

14-15

27-20

22-22

29-16

18-21

17-17

18-18

28-31

18-8

26-23

18-15

30-14

21-37

21-15

16-22

35-18

21-17

17-28

29-16

18-19

21-11

159.7Avg total

78.5Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	72.6	80.8	153.4	-8.2	31%
Season at home (8)	74.4	78.8	153.1	-4.4	38%
Season away (8)	70.8	82.9	153.6	-12.1	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	81.2	159.7	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	77.6	167.6	+12.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	67.8	81.9	149.7	-14.1	21%
vs Similar (6)	71.0	73.8	144.8	-2.8	33%
vs Weaker (3)	89.7	77.7	167.3	+12.0	67%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manchester Giants

#12

91-84

A30/10

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

75-94

-19

H06/11

SLB Cup

Glasgow Rocks

77-82

-5

A13/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

88-89

-1

H18/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

81-94

-13

A20/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

91-77

+14

A25/11

SLB

Bristol Flyers

88-56

+32

H02/12

SLB

Bristol Flyers

74-81

-7

H16/12

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

84-87

-3

H30/12

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

#14

99-68

+31

H06/01

SLB Trophy

31-16

25-21

22-27

13-20

–

18-12

23-27

20-24

16-19

22-24

19-17

19-23

28-25

17-20

28-24

16-22

20-28

27-19

24-20

20-19

30-12

24-14

19-16

15-14

17-17

18-18

31-28

8-18

32-18

20-34

21-14

11-21

21-15

25-18

26-14

27-21

166.0Avg total

84.8Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.6	83.7	164.3	-3.1	33%
Season at home (9)	80.4	82.1	162.6	-1.7	33%
Season away (6)	80.8	86.0	166.8	-5.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	81.2	166.0	+3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	73.8	161.0	+13.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	71.0	77.7	148.7	-6.7	0%
vs Similar (12)	76.4	86.5	162.9	-10.1	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	85.5	82.7	168.2	+2.8	62%

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bristol FlyersWorcester Wolves

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.8	37.9	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	19.3	36.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	22.1	39.1	-5.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.5	40.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.5	21.8	38.3	-5.4	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	17.7	35.8	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.9	20.4	42.4	+1.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.9	17.0	40.9	+6.9	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	16.2	41.6	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	24.3	40.0	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.2	21.5	43.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	19.7	36.5	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	19.5	36.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.7	20.5	37.2	-3.8	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	14.5	17.0	31.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.4	41.7	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.1	42.5	+0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.9	21.4	44.3	+1.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	16.7	39.3	+6.0	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	23.1	41.7	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	54%	-

Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

30-31

-1

H18/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

26-35

-9

A20/11

SLB

Leicester Riders

32-30

A25/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

41-54

-13

H26/11

SLB

Worcester Wolves

26-54

-28

A02/12

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

49-42

H09/12

SLB

Worcester Wolves

35-35

A16/12

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

44-38

A18/12

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

37-37

H07/01

SLB

Reading

#12

46-44

A08/01

SLB Trophy

76.6Avg total

36.6Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.6	40.5	74.1	-6.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.3	39.1	72.4	-5.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	41.8	75.6	-7.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	39.2	81.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.2	42.3	75.5	-9.2	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	32.7	34.7	67.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.3	38.0	75.3	-0.7	33%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manchester Giants

#12

56-37

+19

A30/10

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

41-39

A13/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

41-41

H18/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

45-44

A20/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

51-39

+12

A25/11

SLB

Bristol Flyers

54-26

+28

H02/12

SLB

Bristol Flyers

35-35

H16/12

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

52-52

H30/12

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

#14

46-33

+13

H06/01

SLB Trophy

85.2Avg total

46.8Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	41.9	84.0	+0.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	41.1	82.3	+0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.3	42.8	86.2	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	46.8	38.4	85.2	+8.3	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	37.0	84.6	+10.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	41.0	79.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.8	44.6	85.4	-3.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.0	40.2	84.2	+3.8	38%	-

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	19.6	47.6	+8.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.4	37%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	19.3	48.3	+9.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.4	40.1	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	20.8	42.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.2	41.6	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	16.7	33.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.5	20.6	41.2	-0.1	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.1	19.3	34.4	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.1	19.5	35.6	-3.5	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	21.7	38.5	-4.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.5	21.3	36.8	-5.8	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	20.6	38.1	-3.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	20.8	37.2	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	38.7	76.1	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	38.6	78.9	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.0	38.8	73.8	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	40.2	81.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	38.4	86.2	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.7	39.6	74.3	-4.9	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.3	39.2	77.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	49.7	36.3	86.0	+13.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.9	40.9	78.7	-3.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.2	42.4	76.6	-8.2	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.1	41.3	80.4	-2.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.8	76.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	36.7	69.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.6	41.9	77.5	-6.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	46%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bristol Flyers wins

Worcester Wolves wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/16	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	74-81
02/12/16	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	88-56
09/04/16	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	77-82
09/01/16	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	76-83 OT
28/11/15	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	70-83
25/09/15	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	78-76
06/02/15	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	74-48
17/01/15	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	68-69
28/11/14	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	79-65
31/10/14	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	82-90

Bristol Flyerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/17	A	Reading	85-74
07/01/17	H	Manchester Giants	93-72
18/12/16	A	Cheshire Phoenix	95-89
16/12/16	A	Worcester Wolves	81-74
09/12/16	H	Leeds Force	96-79
02/12/16	A	Worcester Wolves	56-88
26/11/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	67-102
25/11/16	A	Leicester Riders	65-79
20/11/16	A	Manchester Giants	80-82 OT
18/11/16	H	Surrey Scorchers	67-73

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/17	H	Sheffield Sharks	99-68
30/12/16	H	Plymouth Raiders	84-87
16/12/16	H	Bristol Flyers	74-81
02/12/16	H	Bristol Flyers	88-56
25/11/16	A	Leeds Force	91-77
20/11/16	A	Plymouth Raiders	81-94
18/11/16	H	Manchester Giants	88-89
13/11/16	A	Glasgow Rocks	77-82
06/11/16	H	Surrey Scorchers	75-94
30/10/16	A	Manchester Giants	91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bristol Flyers

SLB 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	31%
Home	LLLWW	38%
Away	LLLWW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	31%	38%	25%
Points / game	72.6	74.4	70.8
Allowed / game	80.8	78.8	82.9
Point differential	-8.2	-4.4	-12.1
Avg total	153.4	153.1	153.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	33%
Home	LLWLL	33%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	80.6	80.4	80.8
Allowed / game	83.7	82.1	86.0
Point differential	-3.1	-1.7	-5.2
Avg total	164.3	162.6	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	11%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Newcastle Eagles	17	15	2	88%	93.4	78.3	+15.1
2	Leicester Riders	16	14	2	88%	88.2	72.8	+15.4
3	Glasgow Rocks	13	10	3	77%	83.5	71.8	+11.7
4	London Lions	13	9	4	69%	87.8	78.1	+9.8
5	Plymouth Raiders	15	9	6	60%	92.7	83.5	+9.2
6	Sheffield Sharks	17	10	7	59%	75.5	77.2	-1.7
7	Worcester Wolves	15	5	10	33%	80.6	83.7	-3.1
8	Surrey Scorchers	18	6	12	33%	75.6	83.3	-7.7
9	Bristol Flyers	16	5	11	31%	72.6	80.8	-8.2
10	Cheshire Phoenix	15	4	11	27%	84.6	89.2	-4.6
11	Leeds Force	14	3	11	21%	70.9	86.7	-15.9
12	Manchester Giants	17	3	14	18%	75.6	92.3	-16.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bristol Flyers	22	17	24	18	81
Worcester Wolves	17	15	15	26	73

← all games of the day

Bristol Flyers vs Worcester Wolves Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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