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Brixia W vs Roseto W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-75
9-13 19-19 21-18 15-25
Position#10
Record2-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game57.3
Allowed / game76.4
Brixia W
Italy
vs
Roseto W 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game75.2
ItalySerie A1 WRound 11· PalaLeonessa
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
72avg 55
A09/04
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
37-87
37
87
-50
16avg 55
H05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
65-81
65
81
-16
62avg 55
H19/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
39-89
39
89
-50
21avg 55
A25/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
60-79
60
79
-19
50avg 55
H02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 55
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 55
H23/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
55-69
55
69
-14
44avg 55
A30/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
75-71
75
71
+4
71avg 55
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
38-87
38
87
-49
20avg 55
A06/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-22
19-21
23-14
9-23
10-18
11-22
7-24
10-19
23-13
14-27
18-22
14-24
7-25
12-25
6-15
18-23
15-19
20-18
7-19
12-13
12-15
23-16
13-18
29-17
17-11
21-16
20-19
4-19
19-11
16-29
16-10
20-19
17-29
22-15
16-8
15-21
15-28
3-20
5-18
135.9Avg total
59.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)57.376.4133.8-19.122%
Season at home (5)64.876.2141.0-11.440%
Season away (4)48.076.8124.8-28.80%
Last 10 (10)59.876.1135.9-16.330%
Last 5 (5)63.070.4133.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)60.678.8139.4-18.215%
vs Similar (5)73.670.4144.0+3.280%
vs Weaker (4)72.571.2143.8+1.250%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
52-76
52
76
-24
15avg 60
A04/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
70avg 60
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 60
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
50avg 60
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
63avg 60
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
49-69
49
69
-20
41avg 60
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
73avg 60
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 60
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
88-66
88
66
+22
88avg 60
H07/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
14-21
17-24
8-17
23-19
14-13
23-20
11-12
12-21
11-24
30-22
20-28
23-27
14-18
19-11
15-26
25-17
16-22
16-13
11-18
9-18
19-20
12-22
9-9
19-20
21-21
16-20
21-25
26-17
23-16
12-24
25-12
16-14
30-19
15-17
27-16
145.8Avg total
70.6Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.675.2145.8-4.733%
Season at home (4)78.267.2145.5+11.075%
Season away (5)64.481.6146.0-17.20%
Last 10 (9)70.675.2145.8-4.733%
Last 5 (5)73.672.0145.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.478.0142.4-13.620%
vs Similar (2)87.067.5154.5+19.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)69.576.0145.5-6.50%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
Brixia WRoseto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A09/04
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H19/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
A25/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H23/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A30/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A06/12
Serie A1 W
69.1Avg total
30.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.039.873.7-5.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.938.273.1-3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.141.374.4-8.327%-
Last 10 (10)30.638.569.1-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.668.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.140.571.6-9.425%-
vs Similar (5)40.037.877.8+2.280%-
vs Weaker (4)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Schio W
#1
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A04/10
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H12/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/11
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/11
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/12
Serie A1 W
74.3Avg total
36.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)36.437.974.3-1.444%-
Last 30 at home (4)43.234.277.5+9.0100%-
Last 30 away (5)31.040.871.8-9.80%-
Last 10 (9)36.437.974.3-1.444%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.877.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.269.2-7.220%-
vs Similar (2)47.533.080.5+14.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 59.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.1
42.7%
46.7%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.5
25.8%
30.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws12.99.7
75.2%
72.6%9.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.1
48.4%
46.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.6
30.8%
30.9%22.7
🏀 Free throws10.06.8
67.8%
72.6%6.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
LWLWLLLLLW
Roseto W
WWLLLLLWL
#10
League position
#6
-21.9
Net rating
-6.9
80.7
Offensive rating
94.3
102.5
Defensive rating
101.3
41.0%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
22.8%
Turnover %
21.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.15
25.8%
3-point %
30.8%
62.5%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/9)
33%

Profile

Offence80.7 · 94.3Defence102.5 · 101.3Shooting41.0% · 47.6%3-point %25.8% · 30.8%Ball care22.8% · 21.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.21 · 0.15Form (last 10/9)30% · 33%
■ Brixia W   ■ Roseto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brixia W wins
0
Roseto W wins
No previous meetings.
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ADerthona Basket W38-87
03/12/25HBattipaglia W75-71
30/11/25AVenezia W55-69
23/11/25HBroni W87-63
08/11/25ASan Martino W60-62
02/11/25HSan Giovanni W60-79
25/10/25ASchio W39-89
19/10/25HSassari W65-81
05/10/25HCampobasso W37-87
09/04/25ASassari W82-73
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HSassari W88-66
03/12/25HSan Martino W86-69
29/11/25ADerthona Basket W77-86
22/11/25ACampobasso W49-69
08/11/25HBattipaglia W68-70
02/11/25ABroni W71-82
19/10/25AVenezia W73-95
12/10/25HSan Giovanni W71-64
04/10/25ASchio W52-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL22%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game57.364.848.0
Allowed / game76.476.276.8
Point differential-19.1-11.4-28.8
Avg total133.8141.0124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%75%0%
Points / game70.678.264.4
Allowed / game75.267.281.6
Point differential-4.7+11.0-17.2
Avg total145.8145.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W990100%79.153.1+26.0
2 Venezia W98189%74.658.8+15.8
3 Campobasso W97278%72.660.8+11.8
4 San Giovanni W95456%66.662.9+3.7
5 Sassari W105550%68.575.5-7.0
6 Derthona Basket W94544%72.770.2+2.4
7 Broni W94544%65.273.6-8.3
8 Roseto W93633%70.675.2-4.7
9 San Martino W92722%66.275.3-9.1
10 Brixia W92722%57.376.4-19.1
11 Battipaglia W91811%64.274.9-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W919211564
Roseto W1319182575
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