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Brixia W vs Sanga Milano W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-77
18-24 13-18 30-13 25-22
Position#10
Record7-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game72.1
Brixia W 🏆
Italy
vs
Sanga Milano W
Italy
Position#13
Record2-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game78.2
ItalySerie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals· PalaLeonessa
Women2023-24
Meetings · Brixia W v Sanga Milano W
27 Apr 2024
BRIX86
SANG77
17 Feb 2024
BRIX68
SANG54
10 Apr 2022
BRIX47
SANG60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sanga Milano W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#1
L
56-81
56
81
-25
47avg 56
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
61avg 56
H17/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 56
A03/03
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 56
H09/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 56
A17/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
62avg 56
H23/03
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
45avg 56
A30/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 56
H07/04
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 56
A14/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
61-64 OT
61
64
-3
51avg 56
H20/04
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
16-20
15-16
13-27
14-13
22-14
13-15
19-12
19-18
17-31
18-18
22-11
23-21
20-20
14-13
21-15
8-26
21-21
24-17
15-19
19-17
15-23
13-24
21-23
18-20
12-19
18-19
15-23
25-13
15-32
15-14
12-13
21-22
13-27
14-21
25-6
16-15
18-9
12-13
9-18
142.3Avg total
67.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.572.1137.6-6.629%
Season at home (12)61.370.5131.8-9.233%
Season away (12)69.773.8143.4-4.125%
Last 10 (10)67.874.5142.3-6.720%
Last 5 (5)66.476.0142.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)57.776.4134.1-18.70%
vs Similar (8)68.971.8140.6-2.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)75.060.8135.8+14.2100%
This opponent (Sanga Milano W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sanga Milano WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Faenza W
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
47avg 53
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 53
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
L
54-68
54
68
-14
38avg 53
A17/02
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
48-76
48
76
-28
34avg 53
H03/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
56avg 53
H10/03
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
68-82
68
82
-14
63avg 53
A16/03
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
60-71
60
71
-11
61avg 53
H24/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
71-72
71
72
-1
70avg 53
H06/04
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
54-73
54
73
-19
46avg 53
A14/04
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
72-87
72
87
-15
57avg 53
H20/04
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
16-21
15-19
11-23
19-23
13-19
23-25
15-18
13-14
14-22
15-13
12-19
13-30
12-19
13-15
10-12
14-23
18-19
16-20
15-20
15-25
24-17
13-21
16-19
13-11
17-17
13-24
17-19
20-20
15-16
14-21
22-15
13-21
12-17
17-18
12-17
24-20
18-22
15-23
15-22
139.1Avg total
61.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)61.678.2139.8-16.68%
Season at home (12)64.578.6143.1-14.18%
Season away (12)58.777.8136.5-19.28%
Last 10 (10)61.877.3139.1-15.50%
Last 5 (5)65.077.0142.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)61.078.1139.1-17.24%
vs Similar (2)76.072.5148.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker (2)68.056.0124.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
Brixia WSanga Milano W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H17/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/03
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/03
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A17/03
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/03
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H07/04
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A14/04
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H20/04
Serie A1 W
74.3Avg total
34.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.638.069.6-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.236.968.1-5.636%-
Last 30 away (16)31.939.171.0-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.974.3-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.473.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.439.468.8-9.912%-
vs Similar (8)33.438.171.5-4.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.832.569.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Sanga Milano W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sanga Milano WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Faenza W
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A17/02
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H03/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/03
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/03
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H24/03
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/04
Serie A1 W
Ragusa W
#6
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A14/04
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/04
Serie A1 W
70.9Avg total
31.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.040.472.4-8.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.439.171.4-6.729%-
Last 30 away (16)31.641.673.2-10.012%-
Last 10 (10)31.939.070.9-7.110%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.271.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)31.141.172.2-10.012%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (2)33.528.061.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.215.5
40.6%
45.7%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
32.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.711.5
78.2%
74.9%11.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sanga Milano Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sanga Milano W: 62.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.0
45.5%
45.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.5
30.5%
32.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws11.78.9
76.1%
74.9%8.9
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
LLLLLLWLWL
Sanga Milano W
LLLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-8.9
Net rating
-19.2
93.0
Offensive rating
84.8
101.9
Defensive rating
103.9
44.8%
Effective FG%
45.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
23.1%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.5%
3-point %
30.5%
57.4%
Assist %
59.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence93.0 · 84.8Defence101.9 · 103.9Shooting44.8% · 45.6%3-point %34.5% · 30.5%Ball care19.4% · 23.1%Off. rebounds26.8% · 19.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Brixia W   ■ Sanga Milano W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brixia W wins
2
Sanga Milano W wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Brixia W v Sanga Milano W68-54
29/10/23Sanga Milano W v Brixia W69-79
10/04/22Brixia W v Sanga Milano W47-60
18/12/21Sanga Milano W v Brixia W77-73
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HSan Giovanni W61-64 OT
14/04/24AOxygen Roma W73-76
07/04/24HCampobasso W67-72
30/03/24ASassari W63-81
23/03/24HSchio W68-87
17/03/24ARagusa W68-83
09/03/24HBattipaglia W78-69
03/03/24ASan Martino W76-78
17/02/24HSanga Milano W68-54
28/01/24AVenezia W56-81
Sanga Milano Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HSchio W72-87
14/04/24ARagusa W54-73
06/04/24HSan Giovanni W71-72
24/03/24HOxygen Roma W60-71
16/03/24ASassari W68-82
10/03/24HCampobasso W63-82
03/03/24HVirtus Bologna W48-76
17/02/24ABrixia W54-68
03/02/24HVenezia W70-85
28/01/24AFaenza W58-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game65.561.369.7
Allowed / game72.170.573.8
Point differential-6.6-9.2-4.1
Avg total137.6131.8143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Sanga Milano W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %8%8%8%
Points / game61.664.558.7
Allowed / game78.278.677.8
Point differential-16.6-14.1-19.2
Avg total139.8143.1136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W2522388%79.761.3+18.4
2 Venezia W2522388%74.759.3+15.4
3 Virtus Bologna W2520580%73.459.6+13.8
4 San Giovanni W2518772%66.963.0+3.9
5 Campobasso W2517868%63.859.6+4.2
6 Ragusa W25151060%70.266.4+3.7
7 Sassari W24101442%67.471.8-4.4
8 Oxygen Roma W25101540%66.269.6-3.4
9 San Martino W25101540%69.073.2-4.2
10 Brixia W2471729%65.572.1-6.6
11 Faenza W2442017%64.073.7-9.6
12 Battipaglia W2432112%62.379.2-16.9
13 Sanga Milano W242228%61.678.2-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W1813302586
Sanga Milano W2418132277
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