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Brixia W vs Sassari W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 57-66
16-12 14-20 13-16 14-18
Position#10
Record4-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game79.4
Brixia W
Italy
vs
Sassari W 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record7-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game75.6
ItalySerie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals· PalaLeonessa
Women2025-26
Meetings · Brixia W v Sassari W
28 Mar 2026
BRIX57
SASS66
19 Oct 2025
BRIX65
SASS81
05 Apr 2025
BRIX77
SASS64
13 Oct 2024
BRIX64
SASS58
02 Dec 2023
BRIX64
SASS82
02 Jan 2023
BRIX80
SASS102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
L
60-87
60
87
-27
52avg 53
A11/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
50-110
50
110
-60
no box
H17/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
43-81
43
81
-38
28avg 53
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
81avg 53
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
64-70
64
70
-6
49avg 53
A08/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 53
H15/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
66-85
66
85
-19
48avg 53
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
55-93
55
93
-38
37avg 53
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 53
A04/03
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
99avg 53
A25/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
7-22
21-27
14-24
18-23
13-36
10-29
9-22
9-24
10-18
10-21
14-18
24-20
20-15
14-14
20-24
20-21
19-19
10-21
15-9
19-18
19-22
13-20
13-11
12-22
12-25
12-21
30-17
21-34
8-21
11-17
15-21
19-18
14-25
17-17
15-16
21-22
22-24
27-14
24-22
146.7Avg total
63.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)61.079.4140.5-18.419%
Season at home (10)63.580.3143.8-16.830%
Season away (11)58.878.6137.5-19.89%
Last 10 (10)63.982.8146.7-18.920%
Last 5 (5)68.881.4150.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)61.079.6140.7-18.617%
vs Similar (4)75.073.2148.2+1.875%
vs Weaker (2)71.080.0151.0-9.050%
This opponent (Sassari W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
57avg 60
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
87-60
87
60
+27
81avg 60
H11/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
62-68
62
68
-6
no box
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
63-85
63
85
-22
58avg 60
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
36avg 60
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
63avg 60
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
71-60
71
60
+11
64avg 60
A15/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
57-59
57
59
-2
47avg 60
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 60
H28/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
L
82-94
82
94
-12
68avg 60
H25/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
21-21
10-17
12-24
14-18
22-7
27-21
24-14
15-19
15-17
17-19
15-13
16-18
20-21
12-19
15-27
15-27
14-19
16-21
8-9
18-20
15-27
15-22
25-20
26-13
14-20
20-15
11-12
20-14
11-12
14-18
12-15
21-26
15-19
18-25
21-18
22-21
24-22
14-27
22-24
145.3Avg total
68.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)68.575.6144.1-7.133%
Season at home (11)74.177.7151.8-3.636%
Season away (10)62.473.3135.7-10.930%
Last 10 (10)68.876.5145.3-7.720%
Last 5 (5)71.678.0149.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)59.176.1135.3-17.014%
vs Similar (4)70.877.0147.8-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.665.3139.9+9.275%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -8.3-8.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -8.3-8.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Brixia WSassari W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari W
#7
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A11/01
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H17/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A25/01
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H01/02
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/02
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
29-55
29
55
-26
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/03
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/03
Serie A1 W
76.8Avg total
32.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.841.273.0-9.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.241.174.4-7.929%-
Last 30 away (16)30.541.371.8-10.819%-
Last 10 (10)32.544.376.8-11.810%-
Last 5 (5)33.446.279.6-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)30.841.272.0-10.517%-
vs Similar (4)34.241.575.8-7.250%-
vs Weaker (2)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Sassari W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sassari WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H28/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A18/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H28/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H25/03
Serie A1 W
74.5Avg total
36.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.836.372.0-0.545%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.474.7+3.953%-
Last 30 away (14)31.937.269.1-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.574.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.876.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.241.175.3-6.823%-
vs Similar (4)35.537.272.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.530.868.2+6.875%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.5
46.5%
46.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.15.5
26.1%
30.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws14.811.3
76.4%
72.6%11.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassari Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari W: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.5
46.1%
46.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.5
33.8%
30.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.1%
72.6%11.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brixia W
WLLLLLWLLL
Sassari W
LLLWLLLLWL
#10
League position
#7
-17.3
Net rating
-2.0
76.4
Offensive rating
85.0
93.7
Defensive rating
87.0
43.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
16.7%
Off. rebound %
13.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.1%
3-point %
33.8%
52.1%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence76.4 · 85.0Defence93.7 · 87.0Shooting43.9% · 47.8%3-point %26.1% · 33.8%Ball care18.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds16.7% · 13.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Brixia W   ■ Sassari W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brixia W wins
4
Sassari W wins
DateGameScore
25/03/26Sassari W v Brixia W82-94
11/01/26Sassari W v Brixia W87-60
19/10/25Brixia W v Sassari W65-81
09/04/25Sassari W v Brixia W73-82
05/04/25Brixia W v Sassari W77-64
19/01/25Sassari W v Brixia W64-66
13/10/24Brixia W v Sassari W64-58
30/03/24Sassari W v Brixia W81-63
04/01/24Sassari W v Brixia W68-72
02/12/23Brixia W v Sassari W64-82
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ASassari W94-82
04/03/26ARoseto W65-76
01/03/26HDerthona Basket W55-93
22/02/26ABattipaglia W66-85
15/02/26HVenezia W64-71
08/02/26ABroni W64-70
01/02/26HSan Martino W78-73
25/01/26ASan Giovanni W43-81
17/01/26HSchio W50-110
11/01/26ASassari W60-87
Sassari Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26HBrixia W82-94
28/02/26HRoseto W75-88
22/02/26ASan Giovanni W57-59
15/02/26ABattipaglia W71-60
08/02/26HSchio W73-89
01/02/26ACampobasso W53-76
25/01/26HVenezia W63-85
18/01/26ABroni W62-68
11/01/26HBrixia W87-60
28/12/25HDerthona Basket W65-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%30%9%
Points / game61.063.558.8
Allowed / game79.480.378.6
Point differential-18.4-16.8-19.8
Avg total140.5143.8137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%36%30%
Points / game68.574.162.4
Allowed / game75.677.773.3
Point differential-7.1-3.6-10.9
Avg total144.1151.8135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W21210100%81.855.4+26.4
2 Venezia W2218482%74.461.5+12.9
3 Campobasso W2215768%66.560.3+6.2
4 Derthona Basket W2113862%73.266.4+6.9
5 San Giovanni W2112957%65.461.4+4.0
6 Roseto W22101245%69.973.8-3.9
7 San Martino W2281436%67.872.8-5.0
8 Sassari W2171433%68.575.6-7.1
9 Broni W2171433%61.771.9-10.2
10 Brixia W2141719%61.079.4-18.4
11 Battipaglia W2021810%63.676.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brixia W1614131457
Sassari W1220161866
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