PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brno vs Plzen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game91.7
Czech RepublicNBLRound 17· Starez Aréna Vodova
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brno v Plzen
18 Dec 2026
BRNO v PLZE
upcoming
05 Mar 2011
BRNO68
PLZE83
06 Nov 2010
BRNO83
PLZE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Plzen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#5
L
101-102 OT
101
102
-1
H06/06
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A19/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#5
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A23/09
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
96-108
96
108
-12
H26/09
NBL
Decin
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A30/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A04/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A11/10
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H18/10
NBL
Opava
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
21-14
22-21
12-24
14-17
18-20
24-16
23-32
15-24
16-15
29-22
16-24
24-25
21-28
34-29
17-26
17-32
16-17
23-21
22-16
17-17
12-25
20-18
19-23
25-20
23-8
17-20
18-21
28-16
13-15
27-25
23-24
20-25
30-8
11-21
14-18
28-31
17-21
20-18
17-25
169.4Avg total
82.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.984.8165.7-3.933%
Season at home (3)89.794.3184.0-4.733%
Season away (6)76.580.0156.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)82.986.5169.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)79.879.8159.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.490.1171.4-8.714%
vs Similar (15)79.181.1160.3-2.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
94-107
94
107
-13
A29/03
1. Liga
Decin
#3
L
79-109
79
109
-30
H17/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
74-115
74
115
-41
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A28/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
23-35
28-12
24-32
13-20
30-28
19-31
17-30
10-28
20-23
19-30
25-34
7-31
24-24
28-17
22-16
21-20
24-17
14-20
22-27
13-24
30-17
22-26
17-25
20-25
8-23
20-17
21-18
23-19
22-18
16-16
20-19
22-26
20-22
17-13
18-23
21-21
18-24
12-34
23-19
172.4Avg total
79.2Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.691.7169.2-14.111%
Season at home (5)77.489.6167.0-12.20%
Season away (4)77.894.2172.0-16.525%
Last 10 (10)79.293.2172.4-14.010%
Last 5 (5)76.685.8162.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.194.1171.2-17.00%
vs Similar (6)82.278.3160.5+3.850%
vs Weaker (16)81.973.6155.4+8.369%
This opponent (Brno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -3.4-3.4
BrnoPlzen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H06/06
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A19/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A23/09
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/09
NBL
Decin
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A11/10
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H18/10
NBL
Opava
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H28/10
NBL
81.1Avg total
40.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.444.084.4-3.731%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.987.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (15)36.745.181.7-8.413%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.581.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.144.983.0-6.77%-
vs Similar (14)42.144.486.4-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)48.028.076.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/03
1. Liga
Decin
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H17/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#4
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A23/09
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#6
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
NBL
86.1Avg total
38.8Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.379.4+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.079.5+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.839.679.4+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.847.386.1-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.883.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.646.684.2-9.025%-
vs Similar (6)42.036.878.8+5.283%-
vs Weaker (16)40.736.677.2+4.162%-
This opponent (Brno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.4
49.1%
52.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.9
29.6%
32.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.418.6
67.9%
68.8%18.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.214.0
40.9%
52.4%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.7
34.0%
32.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.616.1
68.2%
68.8%16.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brno
LWWWLLLLLL
Plzen
LLWLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#11
-5.4
Net rating
-14.9
85.5
Offensive rating
84.2
90.8
Defensive rating
99.1
47.2%
Effective FG%
46.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.6%
3-point %
34.0%
70.7%
Assist %
68.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 84.2Defence90.8 · 99.1Shooting47.2% · 46.0%3-point %29.6% · 34.0%Ball care17.5% · 17.1%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Brno   ■ Plzen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brno wins
2
Plzen wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Plzen v Brno69-83
30/03/11Plzen v Brno70-93
05/03/11Brno v Plzen68-83
05/02/11Plzen v Brno76-56
06/11/10Brno v Plzen83-68
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HSrsni Pisek82-95
24/10/26AOpava75-72
18/10/26HUSK Prague91-80
11/10/26APlzen83-69
04/10/26AUsti n. Labem68-83
30/09/26ADecin78-86
26/09/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK96-108
23/09/26ANH Ostrava76-85
19/09/26APardubice79-85
06/06/26HOpava101-102 OT
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26APardubice74-98
25/10/26HHradec Kralove77-84
16/10/26AOlomoucko81-72
11/10/26HBrno69-83
03/10/26AOpava82-92
30/09/26HUSK Prague81-84
27/09/26HSrsni Pisek81-88
23/09/26AUsti n. Labem74-115
17/09/26HDecin79-109
29/03/26ASvitavy94-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.989.776.5
Allowed / game84.894.380.0
Point differential-3.9-4.7-3.5
Avg total165.7184.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game77.677.477.8
Allowed / game91.789.694.2
Point differential-14.1-12.2-16.5
Avg total169.2167.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK98189%99.280.2+19.0
2 Pardubice108280%88.377.7+10.6
3 Decin86275%85.475.2+10.1
4 Usti n. Labem96367%87.778.2+9.4
5 NH Ostrava85362%85.881.1+4.6
6 Srsni Pisek85362%89.286.4+2.9
7 USK Prague94544%83.683.9-0.3
8 Brno93633%80.984.8-3.9
9 Hradec Kralove93633%86.493.8-7.3
10 Opava93633%83.491.0-7.6
11 Plzen91811%77.691.7-14.1
12 Olomoucko91811%65.087.7-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.