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Brno vs Plzen Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.3
Brno
Czech Republic
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Plzen
Czech Republic
Position#11
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game93.4
Czech RepublicNBLRound 17· Starez Aréna Vodova
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brno v Plzen
18 Dec 2026
BRNO v PLZE
upcoming
05 Mar 2011
BRNO68
PLZE83
06 Nov 2010
BRNO83
PLZE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Plzen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrnoCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrno
Date
Competition
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
96-108
96
108
-12
98avg 77
H26/09
NBL
Decin
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
64avg 77
A30/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
57avg 77
A04/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
83-69
83
69
+14
77avg 77
A11/10
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
90avg 77
H18/10
NBL
Opava
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
73avg 77
A24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
68avg 77
H28/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
W
82-64
82
64
+18
no box
H07/11
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
108-109 OT
108
109
-1
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-28
34-29
17-26
17-32
16-17
23-21
22-16
17-17
12-25
20-18
19-23
25-20
23-8
17-20
18-21
28-16
13-15
27-25
23-24
20-25
30-8
11-21
14-18
28-31
17-21
20-18
17-25
24-14
19-19
13-24
25-19
18-15
22-17
23-12
19-20
12-18
23-12
25-21
16-25
168.6Avg total
84.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.284.3167.6-1.142%
Season at home (6)90.088.7178.7+1.350%
Season away (6)76.580.0156.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)84.484.2168.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)85.683.2168.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)83.191.3174.5-8.213%
vs Similar (11)80.280.1160.3+0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.270.2150.5+10.0100%
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlzenCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlzen
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
71avg 71
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 71
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 71
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 71
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
73avg 71
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
73avg 71
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
69avg 71
A28/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 71
A31/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A06/11
NBL
Decin
#5
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-31
24-24
28-17
22-16
21-20
24-17
14-20
22-27
13-24
30-17
22-26
17-25
20-25
8-23
20-17
21-18
23-19
22-18
16-16
20-19
22-26
20-22
17-13
18-23
21-21
18-24
12-34
23-19
11-17
15-25
16-20
22-20
14-36
26-27
16-32
26-19
21-26
23-28
13-26
22-20
166.7Avg total
77.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.993.4170.3-16.58%
Season at home (5)77.489.6167.0-12.20%
Season away (7)76.696.1172.7-19.614%
Last 10 (10)77.089.7166.7-12.710%
Last 5 (5)75.295.6170.8-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.595.4171.9-18.80%
vs Similar (5)81.479.2160.6+2.240%
vs Weaker (14)83.474.9158.4+8.571%
This opponent (Brno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
BrnoPlzen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrnoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H26/09
NBL
Decin
#5
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/10
NBL
Plzen
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A11/10
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H18/10
NBL
Opava
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A24/10
NBL
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H28/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/11
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H07/11
NBL
Pardubice
#2
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H14/11
NBL
79.2Avg total
40.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.542.583.0-2.038%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.783.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (13)37.544.782.2-7.215%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.379.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.078.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.943.981.8-5.913%-
vs Similar (10)42.544.887.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.231.576.8+13.8100%-
This opponent (Plzen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PlzenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Srsni Pisek
#3
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H27/09
NBL
USK Prague
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/09
NBL
Opava
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/10
NBL
Brno
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H11/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/10
NBL
Hradec Kralove
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/10
NBL
Pardubice
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/10
NBL
NH Ostrava
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A31/10
NBL
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#1
L
40-63
40
63
-23
A06/11
NBL
Decin
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A14/11
NBL
85.3Avg total
38.3Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.081.2-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.640.080.6+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.841.881.6-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.347.085.3-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.250.488.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.448.485.7-11.018%-
vs Similar (5)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
vs Weaker (14)41.736.978.6+4.964%-
This opponent (Brno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brnotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brno: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.4
49.1%
52.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.9
29.6%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.418.6
67.9%
68.8%18.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Plzentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plzen: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
46%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.514.5
42.0%
52.9%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.9
32.5%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
68.8%14.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brno
LWWLWWWLLL
Plzen
LLLLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#11
-5.4
Net rating
-15.7
85.5
Offensive rating
82.4
90.8
Defensive rating
98.1
47.2%
Effective FG%
45.4%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.6%
3-point %
32.5%
70.7%
Assist %
66.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 82.4Defence90.8 · 98.1Shooting47.2% · 45.4%3-point %29.6% · 32.5%Ball care17.5% · 17.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Brno   ■ Plzen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brno wins
2
Plzen wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Plzen v Brno69-83
30/03/11Plzen v Brno70-93
05/03/11Brno v Plzen68-83
05/02/11Plzen v Brno76-56
06/11/10Brno v Plzen83-68
Brnolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPardubice108-109 OT
07/11/26HHradec Kralove82-64
04/11/26HOlomoucko81-76
28/10/26HSrsni Pisek82-95
24/10/26AOpava75-72
18/10/26HUSK Prague91-80
11/10/26APlzen83-69
04/10/26AUsti n. Labem68-83
30/09/26ADecin78-86
26/09/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK96-108
Plzenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADecin79-100
06/11/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK82-114
31/10/26ANH Ostrava64-82
28/10/26APardubice74-98
25/10/26HHradec Kralove77-84
16/10/26AOlomoucko81-72
11/10/26HBrno69-83
03/10/26AOpava82-92
30/09/26HUSK Prague81-84
27/09/26HSrsni Pisek81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brno
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game83.290.076.5
Allowed / game84.388.780.0
Point differential-1.1+1.3-3.5
Avg total167.6178.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Plzen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%0%14%
Points / game76.977.476.6
Allowed / game93.489.696.1
Point differential-16.5-12.2-19.6
Avg total170.3167.0172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slavia Prague ERA NBK1211192%98.980.9+18.0
2 Pardubice1412286%91.080.4+10.6
3 Srsni Pisek107370%90.584.0+6.5
4 NH Ostrava117464%84.379.1+5.2
5 Decin138562%85.578.2+7.4
6 Usti n. Labem116555%85.880.6+5.2
7 USK Prague115645%83.885.4-1.5
8 Brno125742%83.284.3-1.1
9 Hradec Kralove124833%85.290.9-5.7
10 Opava124833%82.289.2-7.0
11 Plzen121118%76.993.4-16.5
12 Olomoucko121118%67.389.0-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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