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Broncos vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 96-90 (OT)
21-25 24-10 19-14 16-31 16-10
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.0
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
vs
Position#18
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.9
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio José Joaquín Papá Carrillo
Other2024
Meetings · Broncos v Toros de Aragua
04 Jul 2024
BRON93
TORO77
25 May 2024
BRON96
TORO90
12 May 2023
BRON102
TORO82
19 Apr 2023
BRON98
TORO78
02 Sep 2022
BRON73
TORO62
21 Jul 2022
BRON71
TORO56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 69
H09/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
54avg 69
A12/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 69
A03/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 69
A07/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
no box
A09/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
65-89
65
89
-24
41avg 69
A12/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
68avg 69
H15/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 69
H18/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
W
74-72
74
72
+2
66avg 69
A21/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 69
A23/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
24-18
16-17
18-21
13-20
28-25
18-16
10-19
13-24
20-22
27-28
24-19
27-8
12-19
7-21
30-23
17-19
23-17
11-23
21-14
10-17
15-33
17-19
23-20
20-17
24-19
15-23
22-28
18-26
24-17
22-19
15-20
27-23
12-18
16-17
19-14
26-25
16-17
18-17
28-14
156.6Avg total
77.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.480.0157.4-2.638%
Season at home (2)80.084.5164.5-4.50%
Season away (6)76.578.5155.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)77.379.3156.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)77.480.6158.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.281.6156.8-6.420%
vs Similar (3)81.077.3158.3+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.280.4167.6+6.964%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#16
L
72-76
72
76
-4
60avg 63
H02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 63
H04/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 63
A06/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
58-97
58
97
-39
39avg 63
A09/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
74avg 63
H11/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
55avg 63
A13/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
59-72
59
72
-13
49avg 63
A15/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
75-87
75
87
-12
62avg 63
H18/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 63
A20/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 63
H22/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
24-20
16-9
16-23
29-17
12-25
20-16
30-28
30-19
16-24
17-20
11-15
11-19
10-21
20-31
17-26
13-23
24-20
18-15
14-11
17-26
21-23
18-25
19-18
19-17
7-29
13-11
20-15
20-20
10-23
21-21
24-23
18-31
14-22
27-16
22-22
22-21
14-22
20-26
21-20
159.5Avg total
74.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.684.9159.5-10.320%
Season at home (5)79.883.8163.6-4.040%
Season away (5)69.486.0155.4-16.60%
Last 10 (10)74.684.9159.5-10.320%
Last 5 (5)73.486.2159.6-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.287.1162.3-11.912%
vs Similar (2)75.079.0154.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -7.7-7.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
BroncosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H09/06
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A12/06
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A03/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A07/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A09/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A12/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H15/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A23/05
Superliga
79.7Avg total
39.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.386.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.842.089.8+5.867%-
Last 30 away (18)41.342.583.8-1.239%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.179.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.480.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.476.2-4.640%-
vs Similar (3)41.739.781.3+2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.043.189.1+3.055%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A06/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A09/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A13/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A15/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A20/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/05
Superliga
79.3Avg total
34.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.344.381.6-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.944.983.8-5.921%-
Last 30 away (16)35.843.879.6-8.025%-
Last 10 (10)34.744.679.3-9.910%-
Last 5 (5)32.446.879.2-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.644.380.9-7.823%-
vs Similar (2)33.544.077.5-10.50%-
vs Weaker (2)50.044.094.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.918.7
43.6%
50.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
32.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.616.3
69.1%
68.8%16.3
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.820.5
47.9%
50.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.9
27.1%
32.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
68.8%12.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broncos
WWLLLLWLLW
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLWLLWL
#10
League position
#18
-4.3
Net rating
-12.4
96.9
Offensive rating
94.5
101.3
Defensive rating
106.9
43.9%
Effective FG%
45.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.6%
3-point %
27.1%
56.9%
Assist %
48.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 94.5Defence101.3 · 106.9Shooting43.9% · 45.2%3-point %29.6% · 27.1%Ball care16.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Broncos   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Broncos wins
0
Toros de Aragua wins
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/24APioneros88-73
21/05/24ALlaneros74-72
18/05/24HGladiadores79-82
15/05/24HPioneros81-87
12/05/24ASpartans65-89
09/05/24ATrotamundos72-73
07/05/24ABrillantes76-71
03/05/24AGladiadores84-93
12/06/23ATrotamundos69-80
09/06/23HTrotamundos85-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/24HPioneros77-89
20/05/24ASpartans81-91
18/05/24HBrillantes75-87
15/05/24AFrontinos59-72
13/05/24ATrotamundos75-92
11/05/24HTrotamundos84-81 OT
09/05/24ABrillantes58-97
06/05/24APioneros74-78
04/05/24HFrontinos91-86
02/05/24HLlaneros72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broncos
Superliga 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %38%0%50%
Points / game77.480.076.5
Allowed / game80.084.578.5
Point differential-2.6-4.5-2.0
Avg total157.4164.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game74.679.869.4
Allowed / game84.983.886.0
Point differential-10.3-4.0-16.6
Avg total159.5163.6155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores109190%87.276.4+10.8
2 Trotamundos119282%84.177.4+6.7
3 Cocodrilos97278%74.867.9+6.9
4 Marinos107370%78.770.8+7.9
5 Piratas de La Guaira117464%70.864.3+6.5
6 Heroes de Falcon85362%64.563.5+1.0
7 Guaiqueries74357%69.972.0-2.1
8 Brillantes95456%81.874.4+7.3
9 Pioneros116555%76.878.6-1.8
10 Spartans84450%83.179.9+3.2
11 Gaiteros del Zulia94544%71.078.6-7.6
12 Broncos83538%77.480.0-2.6
13 Centauros93633%76.376.0+0.3
14 Frontinos82625%70.683.6-13.0
15 Llaneros92722%75.178.0-2.9
16 Panteras92722%71.175.4-4.3
17 Diablos102820%70.881.0-10.2
18 Toros de Aragua102820%74.684.9-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Broncos212419161696
Toros de Aragua251014311090
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