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Broni W vs Derthona Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-84
13-15 13-30 14-19 23-20
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game73.6
Broni W
Italy
vs
Derthona Basket W 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record4-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.2
ItalySerie A1 WRound 11· PalaVerde
Women2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Broni W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Derthona Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Broni WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Libertas Moncalieri W
#12
L
54-57
54
57
-3
no box
A30/04
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
78-63
78
63
+15
66avg 55
A12/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
44-87
44
87
-43
27avg 55
H19/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
76-71 OT
76
71
+5
65avg 55
A26/10
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
71avg 55
H02/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
58-76
58
76
-18
56avg 55
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
L
63-87
63
87
-24
56avg 55
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
52avg 55
H30/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
45-66
45
66
-21
30avg 55
H03/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
70avg 55
A07/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
13-12
9-10
16-14
22-17
16-11
22-16
18-19
9-17
11-23
16-27
8-20
16-6
17-19
17-23
17-19
27-23
18-14
11-19
26-15
16-18
17-16
14-23
11-19
17-29
11-17
16-21
19-20
13-15
9-14
17-13
21-18
10-25
15-17
5-13
15-11
21-10
14-18
19-23
19-18
136.0Avg total
64.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)65.273.6138.8-8.344%
Season at home (4)59.874.0133.8-14.225%
Season away (5)69.673.2142.8-3.660%
Last 10 (10)64.171.9136.0-7.840%
Last 5 (5)61.474.0135.4-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)60.374.1134.4-13.822%
vs Similar (11)64.768.0132.7-3.327%
vs Weaker (1)63.087.0150.0-24.00%
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#6
L
59-71
59
71
-12
no box
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
42avg 66
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
57avg 66
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
57-61
57
61
-4
46avg 66
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
44avg 66
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 66
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 66
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 66
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 66
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
87-38
87
38
+49
94avg 66
H06/12
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
13-24
17-15
7-15
22-18
11-13
14-18
9-16
16-14
7-26
17-16
29-17
14-25
19-15
9-9
15-12
14-16
10-23
12-23
21-10
25-21
22-19
20-21
18-22
13-26
23-18
24-27
31-13
20-19
21-21
20-16
25-21
16-22
18-21
17-22
15-14
21-15
28-15
20-3
18-5
141.6Avg total
71.3Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.770.2142.9+2.444%
Season at home (4)74.865.0139.8+9.850%
Season away (5)71.074.4145.4-3.440%
Last 10 (10)71.370.3141.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)83.072.2155.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.575.5137.0-14.00%
vs Similar (3)65.768.7134.3-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.571.0150.5+8.567%
This opponent (Broni W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
Broni WDerthona Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Broni WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Moncalieri W
#12
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A30/04
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A12/10
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H19/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A26/10
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H02/11
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H30/11
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H03/12
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A07/12
Serie A1 W
65.0Avg total
30.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.035.967.9-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.335.565.9-5.233%-
Last 30 away (15)33.736.269.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)30.834.265.0-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)28.635.864.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.336.767.9-5.428%-
vs Similar (11)33.633.667.3+0.055%-
vs Weaker (1)28.046.074.0-18.00%-
This opponent (Derthona Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Derthona Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A14/02
Coppa Italia Women
San Giovanni W
#5
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/10
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H11/10
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/10
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#2
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H26/10
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/11
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/11
Serie A1 W
Roseto W
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/11
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A03/12
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H06/12
Serie A1 W
74.3Avg total
35.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)36.837.374.1-0.642%-
Last 30 at home (6)37.234.872.0+2.350%-
Last 30 away (6)36.339.876.2-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.874.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.480.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (3)34.737.772.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)38.539.277.7-0.750%-
This opponent (Broni W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Broni Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broni W: 64.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.117.0
42.4%
46.7%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.06.1
40.7%
30.9%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.311.8
72.1%
72.6%11.8
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Derthona Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Derthona Basket W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.418.0
43.4%
46.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.1%
30.9%25.7
🏀 Free throws13.99.9
71.2%
72.6%9.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Broni W
WLLLLWWLWL
Derthona Basket W
WLWWWLLLLL
#9
League position
#4
-12.1
Net rating
+1.8
90.9
Offensive rating
98.0
103.0
Defensive rating
96.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
46.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
24.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
40.7%
3-point %
34.1%
35.1%
Assist %
69.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 98.0Defence103.0 · 96.1Shooting47.5% · 46.3%3-point %40.7% · 34.1%Ball care24.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 33.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Broni W   ■ Derthona Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Broni W wins
0
Derthona Basket W wins
No previous meetings.
Broni Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ASan Martino W73-69
03/12/25HVenezia W45-66
30/11/25HCampobasso W68-72 OT
23/11/25ABrixia W63-87
08/11/25ASan Giovanni W58-76
02/11/25HRoseto W82-71
26/10/25ASassari W76-71 OT
19/10/25HSchio W44-87
12/10/25ABattipaglia W78-63
30/04/22ALibertas Moncalieri W54-57
Derthona Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HBrixia W87-38
03/12/25ASchio W66-79
29/11/25HRoseto W86-77
23/11/25ASan Martino W91-84
02/11/25ABattipaglia W85-83
26/10/25HVenezia W57-72
19/10/25ACampobasso W57-61
11/10/25HSassari W69-73
05/10/25ASan Giovanni W56-65
14/02/25AVenezia W59-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Broni W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game65.259.869.6
Allowed / game73.674.073.2
Point differential-8.3-14.2-3.6
Avg total138.8133.8142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Derthona Basket W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW44%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game72.774.871.0
Allowed / game70.265.074.4
Point differential+2.4+9.8-3.4
Avg total142.9139.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W990100%79.153.1+26.0
2 Venezia W98189%74.658.8+15.8
3 Campobasso W97278%72.660.8+11.8
4 San Giovanni W95456%66.662.9+3.7
5 Sassari W105550%68.575.5-7.0
6 Derthona Basket W94544%72.770.2+2.4
7 Broni W94544%65.273.6-8.3
8 Roseto W104640%71.074.1-3.1
9 San Martino W92722%66.275.3-9.1
10 Brixia W102820%58.076.3-18.3
11 Battipaglia W91811%64.274.9-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Broni W1313142363
Derthona Basket W1530192084
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