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Brown vs Canisius Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 78-61
Projected total 139.2
Final 81-86
30-44 51-42
Position#314
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game62.3
Allowed / game62.0
Brown
USA
Vs
93%
■ BROW 93%■ CANI 7%
Pythia win probability
Canisius 🏆
USA
Position#230
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Brown hosts Canisius on 12 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Brown the clear favourite, rating them 93% to win largely because of their 1-2 season record, 62.3 points per game and 62.0 allowed per game, while Canisius also sits 1-2 but averages 74.3 points and concedes 81.7, a higher margin that the model views as a disadvantage; Brown's home record is 0-2 with 61.0 points scored and 65.5 allowed, yet their last five games include a 65-55 win over Lehigh and three losses, whereas Canisius' road record is 0-1 with 57.0 points scored and 97.0 allowed, and their last five games feature a 117-60 win over Hiram but two home defeats; the only head-to-head meeting ended 83-76 in Brown's favour; Pythia projects a 78-61 score, a total of 139.2, a 12.5-point spread with a 66% chance of Brown covering, and a 54% probability of the over on a 137.5 line, with a 2% chance of overtime, and the game will be decided by the home team's 12-point advantage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brown winLost
93.0%fair 1.07
Best odds1.11
Implied87.0%
Edge+6.0pp
Canisius winWon
7.0%fair 14.37
Best odds8.50
Implied13.0%
Edge-6.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:02 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#102
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#123
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#233
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
33-50
22-31
31-25
30-38
49-38
42-37
38-34
32-31
30-49
45-46
35-40
34-44
27-38
27-20
28-39
37-31
30-41
27-25
38-30
138.9Avg total
67.1Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)62.362.0124.3+0.333%
Season at home (2)61.065.5126.5-4.50%
Season away (1)65.055.0120.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.171.8138.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)65.670.8136.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.976.8143.7-9.910%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.274.5141.7-7.415%
vs Weaker (7)77.948.7126.6+29.1100%
This opponent (Canisius) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A22/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#188
L
57-97
57
97
-40
A03/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#148
L
49-88
49
88
-39
H08/11
NCAA
Hiram
#505
W
117-60
117
60
+57
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-41
29-34
24-34
39-35
27-37
38-32
40-30
32-36
24-20
23-48
29-32
38-30
30-29
33-38
26-47
31-50
14-43
35-45
57-19
60-41
138.1Avg total
66.0Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.381.7156.0-7.333%
Season at home (2)83.074.0157.0+9.050%
Season away (1)57.097.0154.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)66.072.1138.1-6.130%
Last 5 (5)70.674.8145.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)60.776.4137.1-15.714%
vs Similar ◀ (7)64.360.4124.7+3.957%
vs Weaker (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Brown) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 137.5Actual: Over 137.5
Over 137.5
54.1%
@ 1.88+3.5pp
Under 137.5
45.9%
@ 1.95-3.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.81
Under
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
Over/Under 142.5 · main lineActual: Over 142.5
Over 142.5
41.8%
@ 2.50+3.3pp
Under 142.5
58.2%
@ 1.83-3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
30.3%
Under 147.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Brown total 72Actual: Brown over 72
Over 72
74.3%
Under 72
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brown total 76 · main lineActual: Brown over 76
Over 76
59.2%
@ 1.86+9.3pp
Under 76
40.8%
@ 1.85-9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Brown total 80Actual: Brown over 80
Over 80
42.5%
Under 80
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Canisius total 59Actual: Canisius over 59
Over 59
58.0%
Under 59
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Canisius total 63 · main lineActual: Canisius over 63
Over 63
41.5%
@ 1.85-8.5pp
Under 63
58.5%
@ 1.85+8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Canisius total 67Actual: Canisius over 67
Over 67
26.5%
Under 67
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Brown -12.5Actual: Canisius +12.5
BROW -12.5
66.1%
@ 1.87+13.7pp
CANI +12.5
33.9%
@ 2.01-13.7pp
Best 5 market prices
BROW
Bet365
1.87
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.80
CANI
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.94
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.93
Spread Brown -9.5 · main lineActual: Canisius +9.5
BROW -9.5
75.2%
@ 1.83+14.0pp
CANI +9.5
24.8%
@ 2.40-14.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BROW
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
CANI
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.37
1xBet
1.83
Spread Brown -6.5Actual: Canisius +6.5
BROW -6.5
82.9%
@ 1.31+12.0pp
CANI +6.5
17.1%
@ 3.20-12.0pp
Best 5 market prices
BROW
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.30
CANI
Bet365
3.20
Betano
3.15

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -3.1-3.1
BrownCanisius
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BrownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H07/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#102
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Boston University
#123
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#233
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A08/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64
Last 30 (30)33.832.966.7+0.947%50%
Last 30 at home (16)34.830.965.7+3.956%50%
Last 30 away (14)32.635.267.8-2.636%50%
Last 10 (10)33.233.466.6-0.260%60%
Last 5 (5)34.033.267.2+0.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.232.865.0-0.660%50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.337.769.0-6.48%54%
vs Weaker (7)40.624.164.7+16.4100%43%
This opponent (Canisius) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A22/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Penn State
#188
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A03/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#148
L
14-43
14
43
-29
H08/11
NCAA
Hiram
#505
W
57-19
57
19
+38
H09/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
30.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 64
Last 30 (30)29.533.362.8-3.830%37%
Last 30 at home (15)30.633.163.7-2.533%40%
Last 30 away (15)28.533.562.0-5.127%33%
Last 10 (10)30.233.263.4-3.040%40%
Last 5 (5)31.234.065.2-2.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)27.835.563.3-7.724%38%
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.329.158.4+0.129%14%
vs Weaker (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%100%
This opponent (Brown) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Canisius win
BROW win
no forecast
@ 1.23
CANI win
no forecast
@ 5.00
1st half Spread Brown -7.5 · main lineActual: Canisius +7.5
BROW -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
CANI +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 64 · main lineActual: Over 64
Over
no forecast
@ 1.94
Under
no forecast
@ 1.96
Brown 1st half total 36 · main lineActual: Brown under 36
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Canisius 1st half total 28.5 · main lineActual: Canisius over 28.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: BROW + total 64.5
BROW & over
no forecast
@ 2.25
BROW & under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half: Draw + total 64.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: CANI + total 64.5
CANI & over
no forecast
@ 9.50
CANI & under
no forecast
@ 9.50
1st half Over/Under 62.5Actual: Over 62.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.74
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Over 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.25
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Brown -8.5Actual: Canisius +8.5
BROW -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.13
CANI +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Brown -6.5Actual: Canisius +6.5
BROW -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.76
CANI +6.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Spread Brown -9.5Actual: Canisius +9.5
BROW -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
CANI +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Brown -5.5Actual: Canisius +5.5
BROW -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
CANI +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Over/Under 60.5Actual: Over 60.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.55
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Canisius (regulation)
BROW
no forecast
@ 1.22
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
CANI
no forecast
@ 5.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BROW win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
CANI win + total 138.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BROW leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CANI leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Brown -1074.5%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+14.7ppLost
Brown -10.572.3%1.64
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60		--+14.6ppLost
Brown -9.575.2%1.62
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50		--+14.0ppLost
Brown -977.3%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+13.9ppLost
Brown -8.578.0%1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44		---+13.6ppLost
Brown -1171.4%1.64
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.64		---+13.1ppLost
Brown -880.0%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+13.0ppLost
Brown -7.580.5%1.37
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.36		---+12.9ppLost
Brown -6.582.9%1.31
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.30		---+12.0ppLost
Brown -782.5%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+12.0ppLost
Brown -684.8%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+11.4ppLost
Brown -5.585.1%1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25		---+11.0ppLost
Brown (regulation)91.9%1.11
Marathon Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11		---+11.0ppLost
Brown -586.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+10.7ppLost
Brown over 71.575.2%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+10.0ppWon
Brown over 72.571.9%1.48
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47		---+9.9ppWon
Brown -4.587.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+9.4ppLost
Brown -2.590.4%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+8.1ppLost
Brown win93.0%1.09
Marathon Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.08		+6.0ppLost
Brown +2.594.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.8ppLost
Canisius under 66.571.0%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+5.5ppLost
Brown +7.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.5ppWon
Overtime: no98.4%1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02		---+5.5ppWon
Canisius under 67.574.3%1.32
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31		---+4.8ppLost
Canisius under 69.580.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.0ppLost
Canisius under 77.594.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+3.4ppLost
Canisius under 75.592.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.9ppLost
Canisius under 71.585.1%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+2.9ppLost
Canisius under 79.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.6ppLost
Canisius under 73.589.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+2.5ppLost
Canisius under 72.587.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.2ppLost
Brown under 94.595.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.3ppWon
Brown under 92.592.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.0ppWon
Over 130.570.4%1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30		---+0.8ppWon
Under 163.593.2%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.5ppLost
Brown under 90.589.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----1.1ppWon
Under 158.588.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.3ppLost
Over 128.574.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.6ppWon
Over 123.583.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----2.1ppWon
Brown under 88.585.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----3.6ppWon
Under 153.581.2%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----4.3ppLost
Under 148.571.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.3ppLost
Canisius over 54.574.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----4.8ppWon
Canisius over 51.582.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----5.5ppWon
Brown under 86.580.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----5.5ppWon
Brown under 85.577.0%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----6.0ppWon
Canisius over 52.580.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----6.5ppWon
Brown under 84.573.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----6.6ppWon
Canisius over 53.577.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----7.2ppWon
Canisius over 55.570.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----8.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brown wins
0
Canisius wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24Canisius v Brown76-83
Brownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ALehigh65-55
07/11/26HBoston University67-72
03/11/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats55-59
07/03/26HPenn61-82
28/02/26ACornell80-86
28/02/26AColumbia62-80
21/02/26HPrinceton80-71
14/02/26ADartmouth79-76
14/02/26AHarvard53-56
07/02/26AYale69-81
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HHiram117-60
08/11/26HSt. Bonaventure49-88
03/11/26APenn State57-97
01/03/26HQuinnipiac63-67
28/02/26HMerrimack Warriors67-62
22/02/26AMount St. Mary's47-68
21/02/26ARider72-66
15/02/26HManhattan65-69
14/02/26HIona63-69
06/02/26AQuinnipiac60-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brown
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game62.361.065.0
Allowed / game62.065.555.0
Point differential+0.3-4.5+10.0
Avg total124.3126.5120.0
Over 142.50%0%0%
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canisius
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.383.057.0
Allowed / game81.774.097.0
Point differential-7.3+9.0-40.0
Avg total156.0157.0154.0
Over 142.567%50%100%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
2 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
3 Columbia32167%88.765.7+23.0
4 Harvard32167%68.755.3+13.3
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Brown31233%62.362.0+0.3
7 Yale31233%69.379.7-10.3
8 Penn31233%74.786.0-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sacred Heart32167%88.064.7+23.3
2 Siena32167%85.379.0+6.3
3 Merrimack Warriors32167%65.760.0+5.7
4 Quinnipiac32167%68.076.0-8.0
5 Iona42250%66.271.5-5.2
6 Mount St. Mary's21150%60.077.0-17.0
7 Marist31233%70.370.7-0.3
8 Canisius31233%74.381.7-7.3
9 Manhattan31233%64.373.0-8.7
10 Fairfield31233%59.075.7-16.7
11 Rider41325%64.572.2-7.8
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara2020%56.582.0-25.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Brown305181
Canisius444286
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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