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Bucaros vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 84-78
28-27 26-14 15-15 15-22
Position#4
Record17-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.5
Bucaros 🏆
Colombia
vs
Position#5
Record13-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game87.8
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Bicentenario
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bucaros v Toros del Valle
08 Jul 2024
BUCA79
TORO83
07 Jul 2024
BUCA84
TORO78
31 May 2024
BUCA93
TORO92
30 May 2024
BUCA86
TORO61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bucaros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
104-83
104
83
+21
96avg 73
A10/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
89-105
89
105
-16
83avg 73
A15/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
113-106
113
106
+7
113avg 73
A15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
64-90
64
90
-26
57avg 73
A23/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 73
A24/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
65-62
65
62
+3
61avg 73
A28/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
68avg 73
A28/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
60avg 73
A02/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
58-80
58
80
-22
40avg 73
A04/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
62avg 73
A06/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-18
30-22
28-21
23-22
14-20
27-21
25-42
25-28
34-29
24-25
30-24
18-23
17-22
13-33
16-12
19-25
20-25
20-16
12-21
20-17
21-13
7-18
17-14
22-26
27-17
16-19
17-20
21-22
19-19
19-21
16-19
18-25
13-15
11-24
16-16
17-25
23-17
18-28
14-17
166.8Avg total
79.5Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.982.5165.3+0.459%
Season at home (14)87.180.1167.1+7.086%
Season away (15)78.984.7163.7-5.833%
Last 10 (10)79.587.3166.8-7.830%
Last 5 (5)70.880.4151.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.685.8166.4-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.480.0164.4+4.469%
vs Weaker (4)82.277.5159.8+4.875%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
100-86
100
86
+14
97avg 75
H12/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
67-103
67
103
-36
44avg 75
H18/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 75
H19/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
100-79
100
79
+21
95avg 75
H21/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
121-110 OT
121
110
+11
109avg 75
H21/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
107-92
107
92
+15
98avg 75
A24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
82-104
82
104
-22
67avg 75
A25/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
99-94
99
94
+5
88avg 75
A29/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 75
A30/06
LBP
Bucaros
#4
W
87-72
87
72
+15
78avg 75
H06/07
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
11-24
28-14
32-24
9-30
16-22
25-23
17-28
20-19
23-17
14-26
27-20
26-18
29-26
25-14
20-21
23-30
27-30
28-20
23-21
32-30
19-22
24-26
32-14
20-32
23-29
15-27
24-16
22-22
26-26
22-18
29-28
23-29
28-27
26-24
12-25
25-17
17-23
28-18
17-14
186.3Avg total
93.6Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.587.8173.2-2.345%
Season at home (15)88.185.7173.9+2.467%
Season away (14)82.689.9172.6-7.321%
Last 10 (10)93.692.7186.3+0.970%
Last 5 (5)92.893.4186.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.286.5170.8-2.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.189.4171.5-7.331%
vs Weaker (12)89.686.4176.0+3.267%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
BucarosToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A23/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A24/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A28/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/07
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A04/07
LBP
Toros del Valle
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A06/07
LBP
84.7Avg total
41.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.182.6+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.540.083.5+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)39.842.181.9-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.084.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.543.084.5-1.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.540.782.2+0.854%-
vs Weaker (4)41.836.578.2+5.275%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H12/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
L
25-52
25
52
-27
H18/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H19/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H21/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H21/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A25/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A29/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A30/06
LBP
Bucaros
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/07
LBP
94.5Avg total
44.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.645.088.6-1.545%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.242.986.1+0.353%-
Last 30 away (14)43.947.491.3-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.849.794.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)47.051.498.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.044.090.0+2.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.245.287.4-3.154%-
vs Weaker (12)44.245.289.4-0.942%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.3
48.3%
50.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
32.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.410.7
65.2%
68.5%10.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.0
51.1%
50.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.0
34.9%
32.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
68.5%13.8
They take 76.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bucaros
LLLLWLLWLW
Toros del Valle
WLWLWWWWLW
#4
League position
#5
-12.1
Net rating
+1.6
97.6
Offensive rating
112.3
109.6
Defensive rating
110.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.4%
3-point %
34.9%
47.4%
Assist %
51.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 112.3Defence109.6 · 110.7Shooting49.6% · 51.6%3-point %34.4% · 34.9%Ball care19.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Bucaros   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bucaros wins
2
Toros del Valle wins
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24AToros del Valle72-87
04/07/24ATitanes de Barranquilla58-80
02/07/24ATitanes de Barranquilla75-81
28/06/24ACorsarios Cartagena84-92 OT
28/06/24ACorsarios Cartagena65-62
24/06/24AMotilones del Norte71-87
23/06/24AMotilones del Norte64-90
15/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands113-106
15/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands89-105
10/06/24APiratas de Bogota104-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/24HBucaros87-72
30/06/24APiratas de Bogota89-105
29/06/24APiratas de Bogota99-94
25/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands82-104
24/06/24ACaribbean Storm Islands107-92
21/06/24HCorsarios Cartagena121-110 OT
21/06/24HCorsarios Cartagena100-79
19/06/24HTitanes de Barranquilla84-82
18/06/24HTitanes de Barranquilla67-103
12/06/24HCimarrones del Choco100-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bucaros
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL59%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%86%33%
Points / game82.987.178.9
Allowed / game82.580.184.7
Point differential+0.4+7.0-5.8
Avg total165.3167.1163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Toros del Valle
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%67%21%
Points / game85.588.182.6
Allowed / game87.885.789.9
Point differential-2.3+2.4-7.3
Avg total173.2173.9172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caribbean Storm Islands2821775%85.276.8+8.4
2 Motilones del Norte2921872%84.177.7+6.3
3 Titanes de Barranquilla2820871%79.973.5+6.4
4 Bucaros29171259%82.982.5+0.4
5 Toros del Valle29131645%85.587.8-2.3
6 Piratas de Bogota2982128%80.487.7-7.2
7 Cimarrones del Choco2872125%77.282.5-5.3
8 Corsarios Cartagena2872125%75.882.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bucaros2826151584
Toros del Valle2714152278
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