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Bucknell vs Columbia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 74-75
Projected total 149.4
Final 59-77
29-36 30-41
Position#398
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game91.0
Bucknell
USA
Vs
47%
53%
■ BUCK 47%■ COLU 53%
Pythia win probability
Columbia 🏆
USA
Position#95
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Bucknell and Columbia face off on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, a matchup that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear edge. Bucknell enters with a 0-3 record, averaging 63.3 points and conceding 91.0, while Columbia sits at 2-1, scoring 88.7 and allowing 65.7, a stark contrast that hints at Columbia's offensive potency. At home, Bucknell has gone 0-1, giving up 82.0 points, whereas Columbia's road form shows 2-3 in their last five, with a recent 75-55 win over Stonehill and a 120-58 thrashing of Old Westbury, though they also fell 71-84 to Elon. The Pythia model favours Columbia with a 53% chance of victory versus Bucknell's 47%, projecting a close 74-75 finish and a total of 149.4 points. The home team's line is 4.5, with a 61% probability of covering, and the over line of 145.5 carries a 59% chance of exceeding. An estimated 5% chance of overtime rounds out the outlook, leaving the game poised for a tight contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bucknell winLost
46.7%fair 2.14
Best odds2.62
Implied36.4%
Edge+10.3pp
Columbia winWon
53.3%fair 1.88
Best odds1.52
Implied63.6%
Edge-10.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BucknellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A14/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#275
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A03/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#59
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
61-95
61
95
-34
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-42
42-40
30-36
27-39
30-31
33-41
36-26
39-47
40-47
39-42
26-25
39-30
39-36
30-38
30-44
37-52
25-26
37-56
31-53
30-42
146.0Avg total
66.7Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)63.391.0154.3-27.70%
Season at home (1)62.082.0144.0-20.00%
Season away (2)64.095.5159.5-31.50%
Last 10 (10)66.779.3146.0-12.620%
Last 5 (5)64.880.4145.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)66.981.0147.9-14.118%
vs Similar (8)68.967.5136.4+1.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Columbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ColumbiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
L
67-88
67
88
-21
H07/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Elon
#231
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H03/11
NCAA
Old Westbury
#504
W
120-58
120
58
+62
H06/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#327
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
35-46
37-34
30-42
30-31
45-34
28-29
35-35
31-32
49-30
25-34
29-26
33-38
38-43
28-40
43-44
56-26
64-32
34-36
41-19
143.6Avg total
74.3Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.765.7154.3+23.067%
Season at home (3)88.765.7154.3+23.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.369.3143.6+5.040%
Last 5 (5)78.267.6145.8+10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.380.0143.3-16.70%
vs Similar (11)74.475.5149.8-1.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.769.1151.9+13.667%
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Under 140.5
Over 140.5
69.9%
@ 1.47+7.4pp
Under 140.5
30.1%
@ 2.45-7.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
58.5%
@ 1.88+8.3pp
Under 145.5
41.5%
@ 1.95-8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
46.5%
@ 2.40+8.0pp
Under 150.5
53.5%
@ 1.50-8.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Bucknell total 66.5Actual: Bucknell under 66.5
Over 66.5
no forecast
@ 1.40
Under 66.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Bucknell total 70.5 · main lineActual: Bucknell under 70.5
Over 70.5
63.8%
@ 1.85+13.8pp
Under 70.5
36.2%
@ 1.87-13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bucknell total 74.5Actual: Bucknell under 74.5
Over 74.5
48.6%
@ 2.52+12.5pp
Under 74.5
51.4%
@ 1.42-12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.42
Columbia total 71Actual: Columbia over 71
Over 71
66.1%
Under 71
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Columbia total 75 · main lineActual: Columbia over 75
Over 75
50.4%
@ 1.85-0.2pp
Under 75
49.6%
@ 1.87+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Columbia total 79Actual: Columbia under 79
Over 79
34.7%
Under 79
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bucknell +1.5Actual: Columbia -1.5
BUCK +1.5
49.6%
@ 2.35+9.9pp
COLU -1.5
50.4%
@ 1.75-9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.32
COLU
Marathon Be
1.75
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.52
Spread Bucknell +4.5 · main lineActual: Columbia -4.5
BUCK +4.5
61.0%
@ 1.93+11.4pp
COLU -4.5
39.0%
@ 1.90-11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
COLU
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Bucknell +7.5Actual: Columbia -7.5
BUCK +7.5
71.3%
@ 1.57+11.9pp
COLU -7.5
28.7%
@ 2.35-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
COLU
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.22

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -7.4-7.42nd half: +5.8+5.8
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: -7.4-7.42nd half: +5.8+5.8
BucknellColumbia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BucknellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A14/02
NCAA
American University
#204
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#275
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#59
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A11/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69.5
Last 30 (30)29.935.865.7-6.027%33%
Last 30 at home (14)29.233.963.1-4.629%21%
Last 30 away (16)30.437.668.0-7.125%44%
Last 10 (10)31.436.668.0-5.230%40%
Last 5 (5)30.236.867.0-6.640%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.037.666.6-8.714%36%
vs Similar (8)32.430.963.2+1.562%25%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Columbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ColumbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H21/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Elon
#231
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H03/11
NCAA
Old Westbury
#504
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#327
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 69.5
Last 30 (30)36.234.470.6+1.840%57%
Last 30 at home (17)37.332.569.8+4.847%47%
Last 30 away (13)34.836.871.7-2.031%69%
Last 10 (10)33.434.267.6-0.820%50%
Last 5 (5)35.234.870.0+0.420%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.042.771.7-13.70%67%
vs Similar (11)37.535.172.6+2.555%64%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)35.733.369.0+2.333%47%
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Columbia win
BUCK win
no forecast
@ 2.40
COLU win
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Bucknell +1 · main lineActual: Columbia -1
BUCK +1
no forecast
@ 1.85
COLU -1
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 69.5 · main lineActual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Bucknell 1st half total 33.5 · main lineActual: Bucknell under 33.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Columbia 1st half total 35 · main lineActual: Columbia over 35
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Bucknell +2Actual: Columbia -2
BUCK +2
no forecast
@ 1.87
COLU -2
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.62
Under
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Bucknell -1.5Actual: Columbia +1.5
BUCK -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
COLU +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Bucknell +3.5Actual: Columbia -3.5
BUCK +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
COLU -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Spread Bucknell -2.5Actual: Columbia +2.5
BUCK -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.92
COLU +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
1st half Spread Bucknell +4.5Actual: Columbia -4.5
BUCK +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
COLU -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Spread Bucknell +5.5Actual: Columbia -5.5
BUCK +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
COLU -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Columbia (regulation)
BUCK
no forecast
@ 2.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
COLU
no forecast
@ 1.62

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
BUCK win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
COLU win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BUCK leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Bucknell +10.579.7%1.37
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36		---+12.1ppLost
Bucknell +9.577.2%1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41		---+12.1ppLost
Bucknell +7.571.3%1.56
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55		---+11.9ppLost
Bucknell +873.6%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+11.8ppLost
Bucknell +11.582.1%1.32
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.31		---+11.8ppLost
Bucknell +8.574.4%1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47		---+11.8ppLost
Bucknell +770.4%1.58
Bet365
1.58		----+11.4ppLost
Bucknell +12.584.2%1.27
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.27		---+11.4ppLost
Bucknell +1079.2%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+11.3ppLost
Bucknell +976.5%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+11.1ppLost
Bucknell +1181.7%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.9ppLost
Bucknell +1283.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+10.8ppLost
Over 139.572.0%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+7.3ppLost
Over 138.574.0%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+7.2ppLost
Overtime: no94.6%1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.03		---+4.2ppWon
Columbia over 58.594.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.5ppWon
Columbia over 60.592.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+1.8ppWon
Columbia under 80.570.0%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+1.8ppWon
Columbia over 69.570.7%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+1.5ppWon
Columbia over 62.589.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+0.3ppWon
Columbia over 64.584.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.6ppWon
Columbia over 66.579.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----0.6ppWon
Columbia over 68.574.0%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----1.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bucknell wins
0
Columbia wins
No previous meetings.
Bucknelllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AVirginia61-95
07/11/26HOld Dominion62-82
03/11/26AMaryland67-96
06/03/26ANavy69-74
04/03/26HArmy65-55
28/02/26ALehigh79-89
25/02/26AArmy75-73
22/02/26HHoly Cross63-72
19/02/26HAmerican University57-75
14/02/26ABoston University69-82
Columbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HStonehill75-55
06/11/26HOld Westbury120-58
03/11/26HElon71-84
07/03/26AHarvard71-81
28/02/26HYale54-60
28/02/26HBrown80-62
21/02/26HDartmouth63-64
14/02/26APrinceton75-65
14/02/26APenn67-76
07/02/26HCornell67-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bucknell
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game63.362.064.0
Allowed / game91.082.095.5
Point differential-27.7-20.0-31.5
Avg total154.3144.0159.5
Over 145.567%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Columbia
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game88.788.7-
Allowed / game65.765.7-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total154.3154.3-
Over 145.567%67%-
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
2 Navy43175%72.068.2+3.8
3 Lafayette53260%79.864.4+15.4
4 Army31233%74.362.7+11.7
5 Lehigh31233%64.373.7-9.3
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland41325%70.275.5-5.2
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell3030%63.391.0-27.7
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
2 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
3 Columbia32167%88.765.7+23.0
4 Harvard32167%68.755.3+13.3
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Yale31233%69.379.7-10.3
7 Penn31233%74.786.0-11.3
8 Brown41325%67.068.0-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bucknell293059
Columbia364177
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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