Columbia hosts Stonehill on 9 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Columbia the favourite, giving it a 91% chance of winning because of its 1-1 record, 95.5 points per game and 71.0 points allowed per game, while Stonehill posts a 1-1 record, 73.5 points per game and 69.5 points allowed per game; Columbia's home record is 1-1 with 95.5 points per game, and its last five games include a 120-58 win over Old Westbury and a 71-84 loss to Elon, whereas Stonehill's road record is 0-1 with 63.0 points per game and 83.0 points allowed, and its last five games feature a 63-83 loss to Fordham and an 84-56 win over Curry; the two teams have met once before, with the most recent meeting noted as a 71-81 loss for Columbia away on 6 March 2026; Pythia projects a 82-67 score, a 148.7 total, a home line of -10.5 with a 67% chance of covering, a 144.5 total with a 60% over probability, and a 2% chance of overtime.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Columbia winWon
91.2%fair 1.10
Best odds1.11
Implied88.0%
Edge+3.2pp
Stonehill winLost
8.8%fair 11.32
Best odds8.00
Implied12.0%
Edge-3.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Columbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Under 142.5
Over 142.5
64.6%
@ 1.72+9.7pp
Under 142.5
35.4%
@ 2.10-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Be
1.67
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.07
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
52.6%
@ 2.22+4.8pp
Under 147.5
47.4%
@ 1.83-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.12
Marathon Be
1.96
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.74
Betano
1.62
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
40.4%
@ 3.25+9.7pp
Under 152.5
59.6%
@ 1.37-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.30
📊 3. Team Totals
Columbia total 74Actual: Columbia over 74
Over 74
80.3%
Under 74
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Columbia total 78 · main lineActual: Columbia under 78
Over 78
66.8%
@ 1.85+16.7pp
Under 78
33.2%
@ 1.86-16.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Columbia total 82Actual: Columbia under 82
Over 82
50.6%
Under 82
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stonehill total 63Actual: Stonehill under 63
Over 63
63.9%
Under 63
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stonehill total 67 · main lineActual: Stonehill under 67
Over 67
47.6%
@ 1.85-2.5pp
Under 67
52.4%
@ 1.86+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Stonehill total 71Actual: Stonehill under 71
Over 71
31.8%
Under 71
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Columbia -13.5Actual: Columbia -13.5
COLU -13.5
57.2%
@ 2.35+8.2pp
STON +13.5
42.8%
@ 1.88-8.2pp
Best 5 market prices
COLU
Bet365
2.35
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Be
1.93
BetVictor
1.83
STON
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.80
Marathon Be
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.54
Spread Columbia -10.5 · main lineActual: Columbia -10.5
COLU -10.5
67.4%
@ 1.90+17.4pp
STON +10.5
32.6%
@ 2.18-17.4pp
Best 5 market prices
COLU
Bet365
1.90
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.72
Betano
1.60
STON
Betano
2.18
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Columbia -7.5Actual: Columbia -7.5
COLU -7.5
76.5%
@ 1.54+12.5pp
STON +7.5
23.5%
@ 2.85-12.5pp
Best 5 market prices
COLU
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.36
STON
Betano
2.85
Bet365
2.35
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
ColumbiaStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Columbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Columbia win
COLU win
no forecast
@ 1.32
STON win
no forecast
@ 3.40
2nd half Spread Columbia -5.5 · main lineActual: Columbia -5.5
COLU -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
STON +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Columbia 2nd half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Columbia over 40.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.80
Stonehill 2nd half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Stonehill under 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
2nd half Spread Columbia -6.5Actual: Columbia -6.5
COLU -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
STON +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Spread Columbia -4.5Actual: Columbia -4.5
COLU -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
STON +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Columbia (regulation)
COLU
no forecast
@ 1.36
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.50
STON
no forecast
@ 3.40
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Columbia -9
72.8%
1.66
Bet365
1.66
-
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
Columbia -8
75.8%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Won
Columbia -9.5
70.6%
1.68
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.50
-
+16.7pp
Won
Columbia -8.5
73.7%
1.57
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.42
-
-
+16.6pp
Won
Columbia -7
78.7%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+16.2pp
Won
Columbia -6
81.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+15.3pp
Won
Columbia -5
83.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Won
Columbia over 72.5
83.5%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Won
Columbia -4
86.0%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Columbia over 74.5
78.0%
1.43
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Won
Columbia -3.5
86.3%
1.27
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Won
Columbia -4.5
84.1%
1.30
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
+12.9pp
Won
Columbia -7.5
76.5%
1.45
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Columbia -3
87.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Columbia over 76.5
71.6%
1.53
Betano
1.53
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Lost
Columbia -2.5
88.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Columbia -5.5
81.8%
1.32
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Columbia -6.5
79.2%
1.38
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Won
Columbia over 75.5
74.9%
1.46
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Lost
Columbia over 73.5
80.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Won
Columbia (regulation)
89.9%
1.14
1xBet
1.20
Betano
1.12
Marathon Bet
1.11
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Over 140
70.6%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Lost
Over 139.5
71.2%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Lost
Over 138.5
73.3%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Lost
Over 138
74.8%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Lost
Over 139
72.8%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Lost
Over 137.5
75.3%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Lost
Columbia +4.5
95.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Stonehill under 73.5
75.8%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Columbia +9.5
97.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Over 137
76.8%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Lost
Over 136.5
77.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Lost
Overtime: no
98.0%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+5.7pp
-
Over 134.5
80.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Lost
Over 124.5
93.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Columbia win
91.2%
1.09
Marathon Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Pinnacle
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+3.2pp
Won
Over 129.5
88.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Stonehill over 52.5
91.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Stonehill over 60.5
72.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Lost
Stonehill over 51.5
93.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Under 172.5
92.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Columbia under 97.5
93.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Stonehill over 54.5
88.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Stonehill over 58.5
78.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Lost
Over 127.5
90.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Stonehill over 53.5
90.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Stonehill under 80.5
91.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Won
Stonehill over 56.5
84.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Lost
Stonehill under 77.5
86.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Won
Columbia under 95.5
91.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Stonehill under 72.5
72.6%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Stonehill under 78.5
88.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Over 132.5
84.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Lost
Columbia under 96.5
92.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Stonehill over 55.5
86.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Lost
Under 167.5
87.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
Columbia under 94.5
89.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
Columbia under 93.5
87.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Stonehill over 59.5
75.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Lost
Under 169.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Stonehill over 57.5
81.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Lost
Stonehill under 74.5
78.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Stonehill under 76.5
83.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Under 162.5
80.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Under 157.5
70.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Columbia under 92.5
85.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-4.9pp
Won
Columbia under 91.5
82.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Under 164.5
83.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Columbia under 89.5
77.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Won
Columbia under 90.5
80.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-8.1pp
Won
Under 159.5
75.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-9.4pp
Won
Columbia under 88.5
74.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.4pp
Won
Columbia under 87.5
70.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-12.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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