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Buducnost vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-65
20-11 19-23 17-17 7-14
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Aris 🏆
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6· Moraca Sports Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Buducnost v Aris
08 Nov 2023
BUD63
ARI65
25 Nov 2015
BUD75
ARI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
76-65
76
65
+11
63avg 74
H04/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 74
A07/10
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 74
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
82-69
82
69
+13
71avg 74
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
93-85
93
85
+8
78avg 74
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 74
A25/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 74
H28/10
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 74
A01/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 74
A05/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
14-21
22-12
23-15
20-15
24-21
17-16
26-9
20-25
18-25
20-19
19-10
24-20
21-14
19-23
18-12
21-20
29-24
24-22
29-23
19-16
24-25
24-15
26-29
25-25
18-23
15-20
16-21
18-13
23-18
17-22
15-18
21-17
22-21
13-21
17-19
18-21
24-32
21-16
23-26
160.5Avg total
82.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.680.0160.6+0.640%
Season at home (2)89.577.0166.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)74.782.0156.7-7.30%
Last 10 (10)82.478.1160.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)79.883.6163.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.789.9160.6-19.10%
vs Similar ◀ (4)77.078.2155.2-1.225%
vs Weaker (19)89.376.1165.4+13.289%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
66-82
66
82
-16
57avg 68
H04/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 68
H08/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
74-84
74
84
-10
57avg 68
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 68
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 68
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 68
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
75-64
75
64
+11
69avg 68
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
49avg 68
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
83avg 68
A04/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
7-18
20-19
11-25
18-23
23-17
13-24
18-17
20-23
16-20
23-18
15-23
23-13
20-22
20-15
14-20
23-20
11-18
21-16
13-12
15-15
14-24
21-11
19-11
22-16
21-26
18-10
19-11
22-15
9-9
21-20
23-20
22-19
11-13
13-17
13-12
24-18
26-17
14-23
24-20
143.8Avg total
72.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.471.2140.6-1.840%
Season at home (3)64.369.7134.0-5.333%
Season away (2)77.073.5150.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)72.871.0143.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)74.265.4139.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.284.8157.0-12.60%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.372.7149.0+3.564%
vs Weaker (9)84.272.1156.3+12.178%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
BuducnostAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H04/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/10
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/10
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/11
ABA League
83.3Avg total
42.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.283.1+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.039.683.6+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.882.7-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.383.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.284.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.146.782.9-10.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)38.042.280.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (19)44.938.983.8+5.974%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H29/10
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/11
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/11
Basket League
74.1Avg total
37.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.475.2-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.336.074.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)35.240.976.1-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.674.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.471.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.043.077.0-9.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.736.773.5+0.045%-
vs Weaker (9)41.035.976.9+5.156%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.0
57.6%
54.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
35.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
74.5%11.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.9
51.3%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.3
28.7%
35.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
74.5%14.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLWLWWWLWW
Aris
WLWWWWWLLL
#13
League position
#11
+6.0
Net rating
+2.8
113.0
Offensive rating
102.5
107.0
Defensive rating
99.7
55.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
28.7%
52.8%
Assist %
51.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 102.5Defence107.0 · 99.7Shooting55.9% · 47.8%3-point %35.4% · 28.7%Ball care15.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.0% · 29.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buducnost wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
25/11/15Buducnost v Aris75-56
21/10/15Aris v Buducnost75-57
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ACrvena zvezda86-95
01/11/23AJL Bourg73-78
28/10/23HMega Basket73-71
25/10/23ACluj-Napoca74-89
20/10/23HCibona93-85
17/10/23HSlask Wroclaw103-89
14/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto82-69
11/10/23ATurk Telekom77-79
07/10/23AMornar Bar87-61
04/10/23HLietkabelis76-65
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AKolossos Rhodes88-78
01/11/23HCluj-Napoca59-61
29/10/23HAEK Athens75-64
25/10/23ASlask Wroclaw80-63
22/10/23HAS Karditsas69-61
18/10/23HTurk Telekom68-66
14/10/23AApollon Patras77-70
10/10/23ALietkabelis74-84
08/10/23HOlympiacos72-81
04/10/23HGran Canaria66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game80.689.574.7
Allowed / game80.077.082.0
Point differential+0.6+12.5-7.3
Avg total160.6166.5156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game69.464.377.0
Allowed / game71.269.773.5
Point differential-1.8-5.3+3.5
Avg total140.6134.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv440100%101.579.0+22.5
2 Paris550100%98.680.6+18.0
3 Gran Canaria660100%89.073.8+15.2
4 Besiktas65183%80.072.3+7.7
5 Cluj-Napoca65183%79.073.0+6.0
6 JL Bourg64267%85.281.8+3.3
7 Ulm64267%89.287.0+2.2
8 Joventut Badalona53260%85.880.6+5.2
9 London Lions53260%93.490.8+2.6
10 BC Wolves53260%87.489.8-2.4
11 Buducnost52340%80.680.0+0.6
12 Aris52340%69.471.2-1.8
13 Trento52340%81.886.8-5.0
14 Venezia62433%77.879.8-2.0
15 Lietkabelis62433%82.087.7-5.7
16 Prometey62433%82.388.7-6.3
17 Turk Telekom61517%76.583.2-6.7
18 Cedevita Olimpija6060%79.088.7-9.7
19 Slask Wroclaw5050%79.290.2-11.0
20 Hamburg6060%77.7101.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost201917763
Aris1123171465
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