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Lietkabelis vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-74
23-20 20-16 18-23 23-15
Position#17
Record0-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game76.0
Lietkabelis 🏆
vs
Aris
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2· Kalnapilio arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Aris
08 Oct 2024
LIE74
ARI92
10 Oct 2023
LIE84
ARI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
81avg 77
H31/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 77
A02/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 77
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
75-55
75
55
+20
74avg 77
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 77
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
74avg 77
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
95-92
95
92
+3
94avg 77
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-79
100
79
+21
103avg 77
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 77
A04/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#12
W
84-66
84
66
+18
86avg 77
H07/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-23
23-25
18-16
23-27
22-25
13-15
30-20
24-24
13-19
8-16
18-23
23-18
20-11
16-15
16-11
17-22
29-13
16-19
22-18
14-16
24-29
26-18
17-28
24-25
25-20
20-19
26-28
28-25
23-18
30-21
19-15
17-17
21-14
12-22
15-23
25-16
20-18
15-20
24-12
160.4Avg total
81.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)81.578.9160.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)85.080.8165.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.180.5152.6-8.425%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.082.6165.6+0.457%
vs Weaker (8)89.577.5167.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 68
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 68
A18/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
103-64
103
64
+39
99avg 68
H25/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 68
A01/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 68
A20/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
H22/04
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
66-82
66
82
-16
57avg 68
H04/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 68
H08/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-20
12-23
31-21
16-16
18-20
22-14
13-19
19-22
18-18
14-22
19-19
26-17
31-17
27-14
19-16
18-15
14-26
26-17
32-38
28-17
23-23
25-17
19-22
12-28
24-25
18-20
19-24
9-18
18-24
14-18
17-22
28-20
7-18
20-19
11-25
18-23
23-17
13-24
18-17
160.5Avg total
78.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)66.082.0148.0-16.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.282.3160.5-4.120%
Last 5 (5)72.884.2157.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.587.0159.5-14.58%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.974.8150.6+1.150%
vs Weaker (8)83.971.6155.5+12.275%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
LietkabelisAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H31/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A02/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/06
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/06
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H30/09
LKL
Buducnost
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H07/10
LKL
83.6Avg total
43.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.182.6+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.243.285.5-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)40.738.679.4+2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.583.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.540.175.6-4.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.241.983.1-0.643%-
vs Weaker (8)48.140.888.9+7.462%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A12/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H25/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A20/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H22/04
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/10
Basket League
78.8Avg total
38.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.575.0-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.837.074.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)33.042.475.4-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.378.8-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.680.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.643.074.6-11.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.238.576.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)39.134.873.9+4.438%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.4
56.4%
54.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
35.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
74.5%14.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.5
54.0%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.0
37.2%
35.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.611.9
71.7%
74.5%11.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLWWLWWLWL
Aris
LLLLWLWLLL
#17
League position
#11
+4.5
Net rating
-3.8
113.9
Offensive rating
105.8
109.4
Defensive rating
109.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
20.6%
Turnover %
21.8%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
37.2%
65.1%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 105.8Defence109.4 · 109.6Shooting55.1% · 54.7%3-point %35.4% · 37.2%Ball care20.6% · 21.8%Off. rebounds37.1% · 30.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
0
Aris wins
No previous meetings.
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HGargzdai84-66
04/10/23ABuducnost65-76
30/09/23HNevezis100-79
25/09/23HPieno Zvaigzdes95-92
16/09/23ANeptunas81-91
09/06/23HJonava84-72
07/06/23AJonava75-55
05/06/23HJonava63-82
02/06/23AJonava88-87
31/05/23HJonava80-89
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HOlympiacos72-81
04/10/23HGran Canaria66-82
22/04/23HOlympiacos58-82
20/04/23AOlympiacos73-97
09/04/23HPromitheas95-79
01/04/23AKolossos Rhodes90-96
25/03/23HIonikos103-64
18/03/23ALavrio70-81
12/03/23AAS Karditsas77-78 OT
05/03/23HPeristeri78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game65.0-65.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total141.0-141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential-16.0-16.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%100.073.0+27.0
2 Paris110100%105.078.0+27.0
3 Prometey110100%97.077.0+20.0
4 Gran Canaria110100%82.066.0+16.0
5 JL Bourg110100%90.074.0+16.0
6 Buducnost110100%76.065.0+11.0
7 Ulm110100%80.070.0+10.0
8 Cluj-Napoca110100%80.071.0+9.0
9 London Lions110100%76.069.0+7.0
10 Besiktas110100%63.062.0+1.0
11 Joventut Badalona1010%62.063.0-1.0
12 Venezia1010%69.076.0-7.0
13 Turk Telekom1010%71.080.0-9.0
14 Trento1010%70.080.0-10.0
15 Lietkabelis1010%65.076.0-11.0
16 Aris1010%66.082.0-16.0
17 Slask Wroclaw1010%74.090.0-16.0
18 Hamburg1010%77.097.0-20.0
19 BC Wolves1010%78.0105.0-27.0
20 Cedevita Olimpija1010%73.0100.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2320182384
Aris2016231574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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