PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Aris vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 75-64
22-15 9-9 21-20 23-20
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.7
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Aris v AEK Athens
10 Oct 2026
ARI88
AAT58
17 May 2026
ARI90
AAT81
04 Apr 2026
ARI82
AAT78
05 Oct 2024
ARI59
AAT70
29 Oct 2023
ARI75
AAT64
04 Feb 2023
ARI74
AAT64
13 Mar 2022
ARI91
AAT73
27 Mar 2021
ARI68
AAT73
04 Apr 2020
ARI v AAT
upcoming
08 Dec 2018
ARI77
AAT81
14 Oct 2017
ARI64
AAT62
31 May 2017
ARI85
AAT91
13 Apr 2017
ARI81
AAT77
14 Jan 2017
ARI77
AAT76
07 Oct 2015
ARI64
AAT61
19 May 2015
ARI79
AAT68
13 May 2015
ARI71
AAT69
06 Dec 2014
ARI86
AAT75
13 Apr 2011
ARI78
AAT74
20 Mar 2010
ARI79
AAT76
29 Nov 2008
ARI77
AAT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
95-79
95
79
+16
no box
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 68
A20/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
58-82
58
82
-24
no box
H22/04
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
66-82
66
82
-16
57avg 68
H04/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 68
H08/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
74-84
74
84
-10
57avg 68
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 68
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
W
69-61
69
61
+8
58avg 68
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 68
A25/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
23-23
25-17
19-22
12-28
24-25
18-20
19-24
9-18
18-24
14-18
17-22
28-20
7-18
20-19
11-25
18-23
23-17
13-24
18-17
20-23
16-20
23-18
15-23
23-13
20-22
20-15
14-20
23-20
11-18
21-16
13-12
15-15
14-24
21-11
19-11
22-16
21-26
18-10
19-11
149.7Avg total
73.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.770.7143.3+2.067%
Season at home (2)70.571.0141.5-0.550%
Season away (1)77.070.0147.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.276.5149.7-3.350%
Last 5 (5)73.668.8142.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.087.2160.2-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.272.1147.3+3.160%
vs Weaker (10)82.870.6153.4+12.280%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 73
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
94-78
94
78
+16
91avg 73
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 73
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 73
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 73
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 73
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 73
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 73
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 73
A25/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-16
18-29
25-18
20-21
27-16
23-21
24-20
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
20-33
12-13
26-15
25-18
168.5Avg total
82.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.082.3170.3+5.733%
Season at home (2)96.584.0180.5+12.550%
Season away (1)71.079.0150.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)82.685.9168.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)86.281.0167.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.282.1156.2-7.933%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.377.1155.4+1.264%
vs Weaker (7)84.978.0162.9+6.971%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.9+1.9
ArisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H09/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A20/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H22/04
Basket League
Gran Canaria
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/10
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A14/10
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H18/10
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A25/10
Eurocup
78.5Avg total
37.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.075.4-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.737.174.9+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)35.040.975.9-5.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.078.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.476.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.144.077.1-10.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.038.175.1-1.140%-
vs Weaker (10)39.935.575.4+4.450%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H09/04
Basket League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H12/04
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/10
Champions League
82.3Avg total
38.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.140.678.7-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.581.9-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.139.875.9-3.719%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.182.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.040.976.9-4.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.540.780.2-1.327%-
vs Weaker (7)39.739.979.6-0.157%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.2
53.7%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.1
30.9%
33.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.011.7
73.1%
71.5%11.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.5
53.3%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.9
34.1%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
71.5%15.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWWWLLLLLW
AEK Athens
WWWLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#9
-4.3
Net rating
-3.4
101.4
Offensive rating
106.4
105.8
Defensive rating
109.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.9%
3-point %
34.1%
56.7%
Assist %
70.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 106.4Defence105.8 · 109.8Shooting50.5% · 52.4%3-point %30.9% · 34.1%Ball care20.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 30.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aris wins
7
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Aris v AEK Athens74-64
29/10/22AEK Athens v Aris63-76
13/03/22Aris v AEK Athens91-73
23/10/21AEK Athens v Aris64-63
27/03/21Aris v AEK Athens68-73
20/12/20AEK Athens v Aris84-67
13/12/19AEK Athens v Aris92-79
30/03/19AEK Athens v Aris81-73
08/12/18Aris v AEK Athens77-81
03/02/18AEK Athens v Aris73-64
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ASlask Wroclaw80-63
22/10/23HAS Karditsas69-61
18/10/23HTurk Telekom68-66
14/10/23AApollon Patras77-70
10/10/23ALietkabelis74-84
08/10/23HOlympiacos72-81
04/10/23HGran Canaria66-82
22/04/23HOlympiacos58-82
20/04/23AOlympiacos73-97
09/04/23HPromitheas95-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ASassari83-79
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91
12/04/23HHapoel Jerusalem94-78
09/04/23HOlympiacos78-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game72.770.577.0
Allowed / game70.771.070.0
Point differential+2.0-0.5+7.0
Avg total143.3141.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game88.096.571.0
Allowed / game82.384.079.0
Point differential+5.7+12.5-8.0
Avg total170.3180.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W550100%86.866.4+20.4
2 Olympiacos330100%87.367.3+20.0
3 Panathinaikos330100%86.370.0+16.3
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W43175%96.574.0+22.5
5 Promitheas43175%91.080.8+10.2
6 Aris32167%72.770.7+2.0
7 PAOK32167%76.378.0-1.7
8 Lavrio32167%84.093.3-9.3
9 Klaipedos Neptunas W42250%77.265.8+11.5
10 Kolossos Rhodes42250%81.585.8-4.2
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W42250%59.071.2-12.2
12 AEK Athens31233%88.082.3+5.7
13 Peristeri41325%74.277.5-3.2
14 Maroussi41325%83.090.2-7.2
15 Apollon Patras41325%70.283.8-13.5
16 AS Karditsas4040%73.880.5-6.8
17 Siauliai W3030%67.084.3-17.3
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris229212375
AEK Athens159202064
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.