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Buducnost vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-71
18-13 23-18 17-22 15-18
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2023
Meetings · Buducnost v Mega Basket
26 Dec 2025
BUD100
MEG82
11 May 2025
BUD96
MEG80
03 Nov 2024
BUD77
MEG69
28 Oct 2023
BUD73
MEG71
28 Apr 2023
BUD94
MEG77
25 Dec 2022
BUD79
MEG66
13 Feb 2022
BUD86
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
no box
A30/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
H02/06
Prva A Liga
Zadar
#6
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 75
H30/09
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#17
W
76-65
76
65
+11
63avg 75
H04/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 75
A07/10
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 75
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
82-69
82
69
+13
71avg 75
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 75
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
93-85
93
85
+8
78avg 75
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 75
A25/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-18
26-22
22-14
32-22
36-22
15-21
20-22
23-17
23-17
33-22
24-17
17-17
14-21
22-12
23-15
20-15
24-21
17-16
26-9
20-25
18-25
20-19
19-10
24-20
21-14
19-23
18-12
21-20
29-24
24-22
29-23
19-16
24-25
24-15
26-29
25-25
18-23
15-20
16-21
165.4Avg total
88.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.272.0163.2+19.2100%
Season at home (3)92.775.7168.3+17.0100%
Season away (1)87.061.0148.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.776.7165.4+12.080%
Last 5 (5)85.882.2168.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.889.2160.0-18.317%
vs Similar (4)77.078.2155.2-1.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.875.5164.3+13.390%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
92-78
92
78
+14
88avg 79
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 79
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
96-64
96
64
+32
88avg 79
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 79
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
62avg 79
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
62avg 79
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-89
87
89
-2
80avg 79
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 79
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 79
H23/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
21-18
28-20
18-14
21-23
26-17
16-24
19-23
19-8
31-20
22-23
24-13
25-28
29-14
24-9
12-27
21-19
19-14
14-17
18-25
16-25
18-18
17-29
19-24
21-31
21-31
25-20
20-7
25-24
32-28
20-23
12-15
19-21
17-13
19-20
28-19
21-11
19-18
29-32
19-25
166.5Avg total
84.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.884.5171.2+2.250%
Season at home (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
Season away (2)85.081.0166.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.981.6166.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)83.486.8170.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.187.8165.9-9.722%
vs Similar (10)87.785.9173.6+1.860%
vs Weaker (10)90.375.9166.2+14.490%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
BuducnostMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A30/05
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#4
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H02/06
Prva A Liga
Zadar
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H30/09
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#17
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H04/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/10
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/10
Eurocup
85.2Avg total
44.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.983.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.039.883.8+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)39.542.481.8-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.385.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.487.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.745.081.7-8.317%-
vs Similar (4)38.042.280.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.539.583.9+5.065%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H17/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/05
Super League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H25/05
Super League
KK Metalac
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A27/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/06
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A30/09
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H06/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/10
ABA League
Partizan
#3
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/10
ABA League
85.3Avg total
44.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.484.9+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.040.983.9+2.175%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.186.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.785.3+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.845.384.1-6.622%-
vs Similar (10)42.044.386.3-2.360%-
vs Weaker (10)46.238.384.5+7.990%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
54.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
73.8%12.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.3
57.5%
54.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.1
31.4%
34.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.818.0
72.6%
73.8%18.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWWWLWWWWW
Mega Basket
WWLLLLWWLW
#2
League position
#4
+1.7
Net rating
+3.6
110.2
Offensive rating
109.0
108.6
Defensive rating
105.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.2%
3-point %
31.4%
50.0%
Assist %
65.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 109.0Defence108.6 · 105.4Shooting54.4% · 53.7%3-point %33.2% · 31.4%Ball care16.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.0% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Buducnost wins
1
Mega Basket wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ACluj-Napoca74-89
20/10/23HCibona93-85
17/10/23HSlask Wroclaw103-89
14/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto82-69
11/10/23ATurk Telekom77-79
07/10/23AMornar Bar87-61
04/10/23HLietkabelis76-65
30/09/23HZadar103-73
02/06/23HStudentski Centar103-87
30/05/23AStudentski Centar89-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HPartizan88-86
16/10/23AFMP Beograd83-73
06/10/23HBorac Mozzart89-90
30/09/23ACedevita Olimpija87-89
07/06/23AFMP Beograd70-96
04/06/23HFMP Beograd72-75
27/05/23AKK Metalac90-78
25/05/23HVojvodina Novi Sad96-64
21/05/23ABorac Mozzart82-87
17/05/23HBorac Mozzart92-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.292.787.0
Allowed / game72.075.761.0
Point differential+19.2+17.0+26.0
Avg total163.2168.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.888.585.0
Allowed / game84.588.081.0
Point differential+2.2+0.5+4.0
Avg total171.2176.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda440100%87.868.2+19.5
2 Buducnost440100%91.272.0+19.2
3 Partizan43175%97.072.2+24.8
4 Studentski Centar43175%85.079.2+5.8
5 Igokea43175%83.081.2+1.8
6 Zadar53260%83.877.4+6.4
7 Mega Basket42250%86.884.5+2.2
8 Borac Mozzart42250%81.084.0-3.0
9 Cedevita Olimpija42250%77.283.0-5.8
10 FMP Beograd52340%83.884.0-0.2
11 KK Krka Novo mesto41325%74.890.8-16.0
12 Split51420%74.282.6-8.4
13 Cibona5050%76.891.8-15.0
14 Mornar Bar4040%68.895.8-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1823171573
Mega Basket1318221871
← all games of the day
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