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Buducnost vs Borac Mozzart Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 96-82
Projected total 178.1
Final 105-72
30-18 26-25 17-13 32-16
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game81.0
Buducnost 🏆
Vs
89%
■ BUD 89%■ BOR 11%
Pythia win probability
Borac Mozzart
Position#10
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game87.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2026
Meetings · Buducnost v Borac Mozzart
31 Oct 2026
BUD105
BOR72
16 Mar 2025
BUD86
BOR69
16 Mar 2024
BUD100
BOR79
15 Apr 2023
BUD85
BOR87
11 Apr 2022
BUD97
BOR73
17 Oct 2020
BUD86
BOR83
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Buducnost host Borac Mozzart in the ABA League. Pythia makes Buducnost the favourite at 89% and projects 96-82, about 178 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Buducnost are 3-1 this season (86.2 scored, 81.0 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Borac Mozzart are 3-1 this season (91.2 scored, 87.8 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
89.1%fair 1.12
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Borac Mozzart winLost
10.9%fair 9.14
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 30 Oct 07:28 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
94avg 85
A04/06
Prva A Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
99-75
99
75
+24
100avg 85
A30/09
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
77-72
77
72
+5
69avg 85
A02/10
ABA League
Basket Napoli
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 85
H06/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
91-101
91
101
-10
81avg 85
A10/10
ABA League
Tofas
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 85
A14/10
Eurocup
Slovan Bratislava
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
83avg 85
H18/10
ABA League
Neptunas
#29
W
104-89
104
89
+15
102avg 85
H20/10
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
104avg 85
A24/10
ABA League
Trento
#25
L
92-94
92
94
-2
91avg 85
A27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
21-25
23-20
24-22
22-19
29-14
23-25
25-17
23-13
15-17
19-22
20-20
19-25
14-28
18-22
24-18
21-26
20-28
28-26
22-21
25-22
19-30
20-19
21-19
17-7
32-18
13-20
20-25
31-22
25-20
24-26
24-21
21-13
28-21
26-26
20-21
16-23
34-24
17-20
25-27
174.3Avg total
89.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.281.0167.2+5.275%
Season at home (1)82.070.0152.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)87.784.7172.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)89.484.9174.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)91.684.8176.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.094.9176.9-12.914%
vs Similar (7)88.792.3181.0-3.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)96.980.1177.0+16.988%
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMozzart
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
L
65-67
65
67
-2
53avg 73
H03/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
94-89
94
89
+5
86avg 73
A13/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
66-92
66
92
-26
48avg 73
A18/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
L
89-98
89
98
-9
79avg 73
H26/04
ABA League
TFT Skopje
#19
W
97-61
97
61
+36
96avg 73
H07/05
ABA League
TFT Skopje
#19
W
97-65
97
65
+32
101avg 73
A10/05
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#9
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 73
H02/10
ABA League
Igokea
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 73
A10/10
ABA League
Cibona
#15
W
95-94
95
94
+1
no box
A16/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
98avg 73
H23/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
26-14
14-21
16-14
22-24
28-19
20-22
24-24
21-17
13-28
19-26
13-21
17-26
26-29
23-16
23-27
26-16
28-16
19-13
24-16
24-14
28-21
21-21
24-9
13-17
18-31
28-18
22-21
22-22
22-18
30-19
20-24
24-30
30-28
22-21
19-15
32-19
21-28
18-16
24-24
169.6Avg total
87.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.287.8179.0+3.575%
Season at home (2)88.087.0175.0+1.050%
Season away (2)94.588.5183.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.382.3169.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)92.483.2175.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.591.0175.5-6.525%
vs Similar (20)81.285.9167.1-4.735%
vs Weaker (6)89.375.8165.2+13.567%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1402%1453%1505%1557%16010%16511%17012%17512%18010%1858%1906%1954%2003%2051%2101%2151%220
1%1403%1507%16011%17012%1808%1904%2001%2101%220
Pythia expects about 178 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 180-184 (12%).
Over/Under 164Actual: Over 164
Over 164
81.8%
Under 164
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169Actual: Over 169
Over 169
71.9%
Under 169
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174Actual: Over 174
Over 174
60.0%
Under 174
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Buducnost total 82Actual: Buducnost over 82
Over 82
92.9%
Under 82
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost total 86Actual: Buducnost over 86
Over 86
85.6%
Under 86
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost total 90Actual: Buducnost over 90
Over 90
74.2%
Under 90
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Mozzart total 79Actual: Borac Mozzart under 79
Over 79
61.7%
Under 79
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Mozzart total 83Actual: Borac Mozzart under 83
Over 83
44.8%
Under 83
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Mozzart total 87Actual: Borac Mozzart under 87
Over 87
29.0%
Under 87
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-210%-181%-151%-122%-93%-64%-34%+07%+39%+69%+99%+129%+159%+188%+217%+245%+274%+303%+332%+361%+391%+421%+45
0%-211%-152%-94%-37%+39%+99%+158%+215%+273%+331%+391%+45
Margin from Buducnost's side (positive = Buducnost win). Pythia's expected margin is +14.2; Buducnost win by 1+ in 83% of simulations.
Spread Buducnost -3Actual: Buducnost -3
BUD -3
85.1%
BOR +3
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
BUD
No market prices yet.
BOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Buducnost 0Actual: Buducnost 0
BUD 0
89.1%
BOR 0
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
BUD
No market prices yet.
BOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Buducnost +3Actual: Buducnost +3
BUD +3
92.7%
BOR -3
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
BUD
No market prices yet.
BOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
BuducnostBorac Mozzart
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/06
Prva A Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A30/09
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A02/10
ABA League
Basket Napoli
#2
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H06/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
ABA League
Tofas
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A14/10
Eurocup
Slovan Bratislava
#8
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H18/10
ABA League
Neptunas
#29
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H20/10
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A24/10
ABA League
Trento
#25
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Eurocup
87.0Avg total
45.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.042.789.6+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.441.188.5+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)46.544.390.8+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)45.841.287.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)49.640.089.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.650.190.7-9.629%-
vs Similar (7)44.344.188.4+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)50.938.889.7+12.294%-
This opponent (Borac Mozzart) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Borac MozzartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A13/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A18/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H26/04
ABA League
TFT Skopje
#19
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H07/05
ABA League
TFT Skopje
#19
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A10/05
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H02/10
ABA League
Igokea
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A10/10
ABA League
Cibona
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A16/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#16
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H23/10
ABA League
88.5Avg total
45.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.486.5-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.844.187.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.444.785.1-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.588.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.692.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.046.287.2-5.225%-
vs Similar (20)40.844.785.5-4.030%-
vs Weaker (6)47.342.089.3+5.350%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.6
51.2%
57.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.6
40.9%
33.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.616.2
78.6%
73.0%16.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borac Mozzarttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Borac Mozzart: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.3
56.8%
57.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
33.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.617.6
66.2%
73.0%17.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWWWLLLWWW
Borac Mozzart
WWWLWWLLWL
#4
League position
#10
+5.2
Net rating
+5.1
103.5
Offensive rating
99.6
98.3
Defensive rating
94.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.44
40.9%
3-point %
34.6%
66.3%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 99.6Defence98.3 · 94.5Shooting55.2% · 54.9%3-point %40.9% · 34.6%Ball care13.5% · 14.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Borac Mozzart
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Buducnost wins
1
Borac Mozzart wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Buducnost v Borac Mozzart86-69
10/11/24Borac Mozzart v Buducnost82-88
16/03/24Buducnost v Borac Mozzart100-79
02/12/23Borac Mozzart v Buducnost67-86
15/04/23Buducnost v Borac Mozzart85-87
30/12/22Borac Mozzart v Buducnost79-108
11/04/22Buducnost v Borac Mozzart97-73
27/12/21Borac Mozzart v Buducnost76-82
23/01/21Borac Mozzart v Buducnost72-76
17/10/20Buducnost v Borac Mozzart86-83
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ATrento92-94
24/10/26ACedevita Olimpija95-81
20/10/26HNeptunas104-89
18/10/26HSlovan Bratislava82-70
14/10/26ATofas85-90
10/10/26ACrvena zvezda91-101
06/10/26HBasket Napoli75-93
02/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto77-72
30/09/26ASlask Wroclaw99-75
04/06/26AStudentski Centar94-84
Borac Mozzartlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HFMP Beograd95-87
16/10/26ACibona95-94
10/10/26AIgokea94-83
02/10/26HSiroki Brijeg81-87
10/05/26ATFT Skopje97-65
07/05/26HTFT Skopje97-61
26/04/26HMega Basket89-98
18/04/26ASpartak Subotica66-92
13/04/26APerspektiva Ilirija94-89
03/04/26HZadar65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game86.282.087.7
Allowed / game81.070.084.7
Point differential+5.2+12.0+3.0
Avg total167.2152.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Borac Mozzart
ABA League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game91.288.094.5
Allowed / game87.887.088.5
Point differential+3.5+1.0+6.0
Avg total179.0175.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan440100%88.275.2+13.0
2 Dubai440100%94.582.0+12.5
3 Crvena zvezda43175%92.084.8+7.2
4 Buducnost43175%86.281.0+5.2
5 Borac Mozzart43175%91.287.8+3.5
6 Siroki Brijeg43175%81.578.5+3.0
7 Cedevita Olimpija53260%85.681.8+3.8
8 KK Bosna53260%90.086.6+3.4
9 Zadar42250%79.875.2+4.5
10 Cluj-Napoca42250%88.885.8+3.0
11 Spartak Subotica42250%82.582.0+0.5
12 Slovan Bratislava42250%86.888.0-1.2
13 Mega Basket42250%75.887.2-11.5
14 Igokea52340%86.085.2+0.8
15 FMP Beograd52340%81.885.2-3.4
16 Perspektiva Ilirija41325%78.081.0-3.0
17 Cibona51420%84.089.4-5.4
18 Vienna Basket51420%81.887.8-6.0
19 KK Krka Novo mesto4040%75.588.0-12.5
20 Studentski Centar4040%81.096.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost30261732105
Borac Mozzart1825131672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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