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Mega Basket

Serbia ABA 2-4 · 6/10 Group 2
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WLWWLWLWLL
Points / game
86.0
allowed 90.7
Over 168.5
62%
game total, 32 games
Game total
176.7
both teams per game
Win rate
44%
14-18
Margin / game
-4.7
points
1st half
42.2
points scored / game
Overtime
6%
games to overtime
Sections
Mega Basket

Mega Basket's 2026-27 campaign has begun 2-3, matching their ABA League record of 2-3 and placing them 5th in a 10-team table. The side has gone 1-1 at home, averaging 96.0 points for and 95.5 against, and 1-2 on the road, scoring 71.7 and conceding 89.0. Their net rating of -6.4 ranks them 16th of 20 teams, a drop from 14th a few games ago. A. Lucic leads the club with 14.8 points and 2.5 assists per game, while P. Backo averages 5.0 rebounds. In the last five matches Mega has gone 2-3, with a recent loss to Spartak Subotica 104-109 at home, a win over Vienna Basket 94-88 away, and a defeat to Perspektiva Ilirija 62-96 away. Their next outing is an away game against KK Bosna on 15 November 2026, where the Pythia win probability sits at 25%.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Mega Basket stats, form & predictions – 2026

In the ABA League (2025 + 2026) Mega Basket score 86.0 points a game and allow 90.7 across 32 games – 62% of their games go over 168.5 and they clear 84.5 team points in 56%. They win 44% (62% at home, 25% away), by -4.7 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

Mega BasketLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
no box
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
79avg 75
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
78avg 75
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
78avg 75
H08/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
87-102
87
102
-15
74avg 75
A15/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 75
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
96avg 75
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
70avg 75
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#18
L
74-96
74
96
-22
64avg 75
A22/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 75
H28/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
103avg 75
H06/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 75
A13/04
ABA League
Split
#18
W
95-72
95
72
+23
87avg 75
H20/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
87avg 75
A26/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
23avg 75
A05/10
ABA League
Zadar
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 75
H11/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
L
62-96
62
96
-34
46avg 75
A18/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 75
A24/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
no box
H02/11
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
18-33
25-15
23-19
20-27
23-24
17-16
26-10
29-29
28-33
23-26
27-14
23-25
16-21
25-23
25-25
17-32
18-19
28-25
24-26
26-19
21-14
23-23
20-20
26-28
20-16
22-21
27-12
21-22
20-24
29-14
12-18
17-25
15-24
19-21
23-26
19-26
25-18
16-11
19-29
15-17
26-31
27-16
14-18
22-21
19-30
24-16
20-22
22-17
24-27
26-13
23-15
26-17
29-26
16-23
27-23
18-22
15-20
12-21
14-20
19-20
23-16
18-24
28-22
16-24
21-19
12-30
13-23
23-26
20-27
27-16
24-19
14-30
30-20
25-25
25-19
16-26
17-27
28-28
26-17
176.6Avg total
87.3Scored
89.2Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
20.5
23.8
-3.3
won 25%
Q2
21.8
23.9
-2.1
won 34%
Q3
21.4
21.1
+0.3
won 47%
Q4
21.4
20.9
+0.5
won 47%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 31% of 32 games, the 2nd half in 50%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=16AWAY n=16
92.4
Points / game
79.6
89.9
Allowed / game
91.5
182.3
Game total
171.1
69%
Over 168.5
56%
62%
Win %
25%
+2.6
Margin
-11.9
45.0
1st half scored
39.5
50%
Won the 1st half
12%
31%
Won by 10+
0%
Points scored per game
5%9%14%19%6%60-643%65-6916%70-743%75-7916%80-8419%85-899%90-949%95-999%100-1049%105-109
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
6%12%19%25%3%70-7412%75-7912%80-8425%85-8912%90-9419%95-999%100-1043%105-1093%110-114
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 84.4 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)85.589.991.590.079.589.843%
vs Stronger (13)81.293.887.496.173.891.023%
vs Similar (15)89.487.395.186.484.488.160%
vs Weaker (2)84.584.095.072.074.096.050%
Over 168.5 (game total)60% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
12thof 2244%
Attack: points scored per game
=7thof 22 · 2 level86.0
Defence: points allowed per game
20thof 2290.7
Game total: both teams' points per game
2ndof 22176.7
Ranked against the 22 teams of the league over 2025 + 2026. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
16thof 2245.2%
2-point accuracy
10thof 2255.5%
3-point accuracy
18thof 2231.5%
Free-throw accuracy
13thof 2274.1%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
45.2%-1.6pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#16 of 22 in ABA
✋ 2-pointers
55.5%+0.4pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#10 of 22 in ABA
🌟 3-pointers
31.5%-3.2pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#18 of 22 in ABA
🏹 Free throws
74.1%-0.8pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#13 of 22 in ABA

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega BasketLeague average
98.8
Offensive rating
99.3
102.8
Defensive rating
99.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.7%
3-point %
33.1%
42.5%
3-point attempt rate
39.0%
56.3%
Assist %
60.1%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 99.3Defence102.8 · 99.3Shooting51.5% · 54.4%3-point %31.7% · 33.1%Ball care17.4% · 14.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.35
■ Mega Basket   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

Group 1

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 168.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+5883%3-02-150%WWWWW
2 Buducnost65183%87.778.2+5757%2-03-167%LWWWW
3 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+3350%2-12-10%LWLWW
4 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+657%1-23-1100%WLLLW
5 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-1467%1-02-3100%WLWWL
6 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-3367%1-22-1100%WWWLL
7 Cibona73443%86.088.1-1557%2-31-150%LWLWW
8 Igokea62433%82.883.2-257%1-31-150%LLLWL
9 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-2343%1-21-333%LLLLL
10 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-6743%1-40-20%LLLWL

Group 2

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 168.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Partizan660100%90.376.3+8457%4-02-0100%WWWWW
2 Dubai660100%94.281.7+7567%2-04-0-WWWWW
3 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+19100%0-24-050%WLLWW
4 Spartak Subotica64267%84.380.5+2333%2-22-050%WWLWW
5 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-1667%1-31-1-LWLLW
6 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-6267%1-21-20%WLWLL
7 Cluj-Napoca62433%87.288.8-1071%1-21-20%LLWLL
8 Zadar62433%74.276.2-1214%2-00-4-LLWLL
9 Perspektiva Ilirija62433%76.080.0-240%1-31-1100%LWLWL
10 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-7767%0-20-40%LLLLL
Winners stage
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 168.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H08/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A15/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#18
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A22/03
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H28/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
H06/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A13/04
ABA League
Split
#18
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H20/04
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A26/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A05/10
ABA League
Zadar
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H11/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
L
62-96
62
96
-34
A18/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#15
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A24/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
H02/11
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
H09/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
18-33
25-15
23-19
20-27
23-24
17-16
26-10
29-29
28-33
23-26
27-14
23-25
16-21
25-23
25-25
17-32
18-19
28-25
24-26
26-19
21-14
23-23
20-20
26-28
20-16
22-21
27-12
21-22
20-24
29-14
12-18
17-25
15-24
19-21
23-26
19-26
25-18
16-11
19-29
15-17
26-31
27-16
14-18
22-21
19-30
24-16
20-22
22-17
24-27
26-13
23-15
26-17
29-26
16-23
27-23
18-22
15-20
12-21
14-20
19-20
23-16
18-24
28-22
16-24
21-19
12-30
13-23
23-26
20-27
27-16
24-19
14-30
30-20
25-25
25-19
16-26
17-27
28-28
26-17
176.6Avg total
87.3Scored
89.2Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 168.5
Last 30 (30)85.589.9175.4-4.443%60%
Last 30 at home (15)91.590.0181.5+1.560%67%
Last 30 away (15)79.589.8169.3-10.327%53%
Last 10 (10)87.590.4177.9-2.950%70%
Last 5 (5)87.094.6181.6-7.640%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)81.293.8174.9-12.623%54%
vs Similar (15)89.487.3176.7+2.160%67%
vs Weaker (2)84.584.0168.5+0.550%50%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 168.5 = the league line
Over 168.560%
n=30
Under 168.540%
n=30
Won the game43%
n=30
Lost the game57%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025 + 2026, ABA games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 168.5)Team points (line 84.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (32)176.7182.3171.186.092.479.6-4.7+2.6-11.9
vs Stronger (11)178.4185.8169.481.187.373.6-16.2-11.2-22.2
vs Similar (19)176.6181.7172.089.095.683.1+1.4+9.4-5.8
vs Weaker (2)168.5167.0170.084.595.074.0+0.5+23.0-22.0
% over line / win62%69%56%56%81%31%44%62%25%
% under line / loss38%31%44%44%19%69%56%38%75%
Scoring dials
Points / game86.0
League avg 84.4 · above by 1.6
Allowed / game90.7
League avg 84.4 · above by 6.3
1st half scored42.2
League avg 42.5 · below by 0.3
3-pointers made8.7
League avg 7.9 · above by 0.8
Free throws made18.3
League avg 15.9 · above by 2.4
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025 + 2026)
Over 79.5 pts72%
🔥 70%+n=32
Under 79.5 pts28%
n=32
Over 84.5 pts56%
n=32
Under 84.5 pts44%
n=32
Over 89.5 pts38%
n=32
Under 89.5 pts62%
n=32
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 158.591%
🔥 70%+n=32
Under 158.59%
n=32
Over 168.562%
n=32
Under 168.538%
n=32
Over 178.544%
n=32
Under 178.556%
n=32
Result markets
Win44%
n=32
Win by 6+ (-5.5)28%
n=32
Cover +5.556%
n=32
Win by 10+16%
n=32
Win the 1st half31%
n=32
Overtime6%
n=32
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.1
54.1%
57.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.9
29.0%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.318.5
73.1%
73.2%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Mega Basket: 83.1 points a game allowed
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
57.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
33.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
73.2%18.2
Their opponents take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of those shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
L. ManiemaABA4427.06.21.52.225.0%12.5%
A. LucicABA4424.814.82.22.545.0%20.0%
P. BackoABA4321.411.85.00.251.5%30.0%
Mihailo BoskovicABA3322.66.33.31.731.8%33.3%
L. PaunovABA4016.76.84.00.847.6%33.3%
O. SrzenticABA3321.89.33.01.352.6%30.0%
A. VojinovicABA4112.54.22.20.527.8%20.0%
A. MusickiABA4011.91.81.01.511.1%0.0%
O. NikolicABA2122.29.05.02.050.0%33.3%
U. SuputABA4010.13.51.50.533.3%33.3%
P. BjelicaABA315.83.31.00.380.0%-
T. HreljaABA207.72.51.50.066.7%0.0%
M. SuputABA102.00.00.00.0--
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
3.1
6 rated players
Vuk Radojicic6.5 pts7.5
O. Srzentic2.7 pts6.3
M. Vukcevic4.5 pts5.2
A. Musicki1.5 pts4.5
A. Lucic14.8 pts3.9
U. Kroflic10.0 pts3.8
K. Luc11.3 pts3.1
Nikola Djurisic17.2 pts3.1
P. Backo11.8 pts2.2
U. Suput3.5 pts1.8
A. Vojinovic4.2 pts0.0
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
2025 + 2026, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
65%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
17-9favourite won / lost
Across 26 games of Mega Basket, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 65% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
KK Bosna
v
Mega Basket
Sun 15 Nov, 16:00 UTC
Pythia: KK Bosna 75%
home 75%away 25%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: KK Bosna v Mega Basket Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Mega Basket +1471.5%1.54
Bet365
1.54
----+11.1pp
Mega Basket +14.572.4%1.46
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
--+9.5pp
KK Bosna under 100.585.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+9.0pp
Mega Basket over 74.577.9%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+6.0pp
1st half: Under 92.573.7%1.36
Bet365
1.36
----+5.7pp
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🔒 111 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022
n=28
2023
n=30
2024
n=32
2025
n=26
2026
n=6
Trend
Points scored / game84.386.482.786.882.3
Points allowed / game86.183.582.690.292.7
Game total170.4169.9165.2177.1175.0
Over 158.579%73%66%96%67%
Over 168.546%53%47%62%67%
Over 178.525%23%19%42%50%
Team points over 84.543%60%38%54%67%
Win %43%60%50%46%33%
Home win %50%67%56%69%33%
Away win %36%53%44%23%33%
Margin / game-1.8+2.9+0.1-3.4-10.3
Won by 10+21%47%19%19%0%
Close games won (5 or fewer)60%29%69%62%0%
Overtime %7%0%3%4%17%
1st half total85.485.786.191.184.8
Won the 1st half39%60%38%35%17%
3-point attempt rate38%34%42%43%45%
Effective FG%53%55%54%52%49%
Pace76.177.375.579.1-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
09 NovMega Basket v Dubai ABA League87-98L
02 NovMega Basket v Spartak Subotica ABA League104-109 OTL
24 OctVienna Basket v Mega Basket ABA League88-94W
18 OctPerspektiva Ilirija v Mega Basket ABA League96-62L
11 OctMega Basket v Zadar ABA League88-82W
05 OctPartizan v Mega Basket ABA League83-59L
26 AprBorac Mozzart v Mega Basket ABA League89-98W
20 AprMega Basket v Split ABA League95-72W
13 AprStudentski Centar v Mega Basket ABA League89-85L
06 AprMega Basket v KK Krka Novo mesto ABA League103-98 OTW
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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