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Buducnost vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-70
18-17 14-21 20-21 19-11
Position#10
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEurocupRound 2
European cup2021
Meetings · Buducnost v Valencia
27 Oct 2021
BUD71
VAL70
20 Mar 2012
BUD75
VAL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#3
W
99-72
99
72
+27
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H10/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A12/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H14/06
Prva A Liga
FMP Beograd
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H26/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A04/10
ABA League
Split
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H10/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H16/10
ABA League
Ulm
#15
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A20/10
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A24/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-19
28-25
27-8
22-18
31-18
29-16
15-25
20-16
20-23
15-17
25-17
21-20
20-12
30-19
23-19
26-20
20-17
18-22
18-13
14-19
15-18
18-8
16-26
23-18
21-20
16-20
15-8
12-24
27-10
20-13
22-21
26-21
22-20
21-17
17-21
22-20
24-22
11-13
27-24
156.8Avg total
84.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.172.7156.8+11.490%
Last 5 (5)77.872.6150.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.076.4152.4-0.444%
vs Similar (8)85.580.1165.6+5.475%
vs Weaker (13)88.969.4158.3+19.5100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A10/06
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H18/09
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H26/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A02/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H10/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A16/10
ACB
Promitheas
#18
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H19/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A23/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-20
16-17
22-21
16-27
12-18
16-22
24-20
19-19
11-17
24-12
13-24
22-17
16-11
28-21
23-20
20-15
22-16
23-29
21-31
15-13
20-18
17-19
24-20
23-20
16-22
21-22
19-29
23-19
23-19
11-16
12-11
28-24
19-19
22-20
23-19
24-17
15-19
16-19
21-20
156.3Avg total
77.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.082.0174.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)92.082.0174.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.978.4156.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.778.3154.0-2.733%
vs Similar (10)80.680.2160.8+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.380.8168.2+6.585%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
BuducnostValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H10/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/06
Prva A Liga
FMP Beograd
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/10
ABA League
Split
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/10
ABA League
Ulm
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A20/10
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A24/10
ABA League
80.5Avg total
43.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.041.085.0+3.066%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.685.1+6.081%-
Last 30 away (13)42.242.884.9-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.580.5+5.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.479.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.640.177.7-2.622%-
vs Similar (8)45.545.090.5+0.562%-
vs Weaker (12)47.939.086.9+8.9100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/06
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H18/09
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H26/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A02/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A16/10
ACB
Promitheas
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H19/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A23/10
ACB
75.5Avg total
38.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.580.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.640.882.3+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.738.177.9+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.275.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.079.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.737.576.2+1.233%-
vs Similar (10)37.637.475.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.041.786.7+3.369%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.4
49.5%
52.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.9
32.2%
35.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
50%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.3
54.1%
52.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.8
35.8%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.313.6
83.4%
74.8%13.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
WWWWLWWWWW
Valencia
WWWLWLWLLL
#10
League position
#4
+4.4
Net rating
+4.2
107.3
Offensive rating
109.7
103.0
Defensive rating
105.6
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
35.8%
54.2%
Assist %
59.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 109.7Defence103.0 · 105.6Shooting49.1% · 53.9%3-point %32.2% · 35.8%Ball care15.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.46 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Buducnost wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
27/03/12Valencia v Buducnost85-63
20/03/12Buducnost v Valencia75-71
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21ACedevita Olimpija84-79
20/10/21AUlm86-79
16/10/21HIgokea81-68
10/10/21HSplit75-66
04/10/21ACrvena zvezda63-71
26/09/21HFMP Beograd82-72
14/06/21HMornar Bar94-70
12/06/21AMornar Bar80-73
10/06/21HMornar Bar97-77
08/06/21ALovcen Cetinje99-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/21AMoraBanc Andorra76-75
19/10/21HPromitheas92-82
16/10/21ASan Pablo Burgos69-65
10/10/21HReal Madrid79-93
02/10/21ABasket Zaragoza76-70
26/09/21HMurcia86-91
24/09/21AManresa89-69
18/09/21HBaskonia67-72
11/09/21ABarcelona68-87
10/06/21AReal Madrid77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Valencia
Eurocup 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Joventut Badalona220100%79.556.0+23.5
2 Virtus Bologna110100%101.083.0+18.0
3 Valencia110100%92.082.0+10.0
4 Partizan110100%106.097.0+9.0
5 Turk Telekom110100%73.065.0+8.0
6 Buducnost110100%86.079.0+7.0
7 Lokomotiv Kuban220100%89.083.0+6.0
8 Cedevita Olimpija110100%79.077.0+2.0
9 Lietkabelis21150%77.072.0+5.0
10 Venezia21150%67.566.0+1.5
11 Gran Canaria21150%81.080.0+1.0
12 Bursaspor21150%76.581.5-5.0
13 Promitheas2020%81.588.5-7.0
14 Ulm1010%79.086.0-7.0
15 Boulogne-Levallois1010%65.073.0-8.0
16 JL Bourg1010%62.073.0-11.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra1010%82.093.0-11.0
18 Slask Wroclaw1010%59.070.0-11.0
19 Hamburg2020%76.589.5-13.0
20 Trento1010%56.086.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1814201971
Valencia1721211170
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