PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 79-93
23-20 16-22 21-22 19-29
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game66.5
SpainACBRound 5
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 79
A02/06
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
78avg 79
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
56avg 79
A06/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 79
H08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
67avg 79
A10/06
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
67-72
67
72
-5
58avg 79
H18/09
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
84avg 79
H26/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
A02/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
12-15
18-21
19-14
23-19
20-15
16-19
19-20
14-25
24-19
8-14
24-23
24-18
20-11
20-19
21-19
18-22
21-20
16-17
22-21
16-27
12-18
16-22
24-20
19-19
11-17
24-12
13-24
22-17
16-11
28-21
23-20
20-15
22-16
23-29
21-31
15-13
20-18
17-19
24-20
152.7Avg total
76.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.575.5155.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)76.581.5158.0-5.00%
Season away (2)82.569.5152.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.176.6152.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)77.277.8155.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.075.4150.4-0.440%
vs Similar (11)79.377.6156.9+1.655%
vs Weaker (13)88.281.3169.5+6.977%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
59avg 76
H13/06
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
66avg 76
A15/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
70-63
70
63
+7
59avg 76
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
79avg 76
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
64avg 76
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
82avg 76
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 76
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 76
A08/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
16-18
16-29
23-27
15-26
15-22
25-29
18-15
14-21
17-16
17-16
24-17
22-23
18-23
22-25
26-12
21-18
15-16
19-18
15-11
21-14
17-16
26-14
22-14
20-13
16-17
15-21
27-17
32-15
18-20
18-13
14-21
25-18
15-17
18-19
28-23
10-13
26-22
16-19
16-20
152.1Avg total
77.8Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.066.5146.5+13.5100%
Season at home (3)78.069.3147.3+8.7100%
Season away (1)86.058.0144.0+28.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.874.3152.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)80.069.2149.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.485.9162.2-9.538%
vs Similar (5)83.073.8156.8+9.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.675.5160.1+9.188%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/06
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/06
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H18/09
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H26/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A02/10
ACB
72.6Avg total
36.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.479.9+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.940.582.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.177.1+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.172.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.268.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.636.675.2+2.040%-
vs Similar (11)37.536.574.1+1.055%-
vs Weaker (13)44.742.587.2+2.262%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/06
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/10
Euroleague
73.6Avg total
37.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.977.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.176.2+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.779.1-0.460%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.373.6+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.640.476.0-4.838%-
vs Similar (5)42.638.080.6+4.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.436.778.1+4.881%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.1
57.5%
52.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.4
33.5%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.013.6
85.0%
75.5%13.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.4
50.4%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.6
29.6%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
75.5%14.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWLLLWLWL
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#1
+1.8
Net rating
+2.1
106.9
Offensive rating
106.2
105.1
Defensive rating
104.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
20.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
29.6%
61.5%
Assist %
56.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 106.2Defence105.1 · 104.1Shooting54.4% · 48.0%3-point %33.5% · 29.6%Ball care20.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/21ABasket Zaragoza76-70
26/09/21HMurcia86-91
24/09/21AManresa89-69
18/09/21HBaskonia67-72
11/09/21ABarcelona68-87
10/06/21AReal Madrid77-80
08/06/21HReal Madrid85-67
06/06/21AReal Madrid70-81
04/06/21HBaskonia78-73
02/06/21ABaskonia65-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/21AOlympiacos68-74
03/10/21HTenerife86-77
30/09/21HAnadolu Efes82-69
26/09/21HObradoiro CAB78-68
24/09/21AMoraBanc Andorra86-58
19/09/21HSan Pablo Burgos70-63
12/09/21ABarcelona88-83
11/09/21ATenerife72-70
15/06/21ABarcelona73-92
13/06/21HBarcelona75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game79.576.582.5
Allowed / game75.581.569.5
Point differential+4.0-5.0+13.0
Avg total155.0158.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.078.086.0
Allowed / game66.569.358.0
Point differential+13.5+8.7+28.0
Avg total146.5147.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%80.066.5+13.5
2 Barcelona660100%80.567.2+13.3
3 Breogan53260%81.870.0+11.8
4 Joventut Badalona53260%84.875.6+9.2
5 Murcia53260%85.681.6+4.0
6 Unicaja53260%81.677.8+3.8
7 Tenerife53260%83.280.8+2.4
8 San Pablo Burgos53260%75.474.4+1.0
9 Gran Canaria53260%78.281.2-3.0
10 Valencia42250%79.575.5+4.0
11 Baskonia42250%73.874.8-1.0
12 Obradoiro CAB42250%83.285.2-2.0
13 Manresa52340%80.284.6-4.4
14 Basket Zaragoza62433%75.080.7-5.7
15 Fuenlabrada51420%87.290.8-3.6
16 MoraBanc Andorra51420%78.286.2-8.0
17 Real Betis51420%71.693.4-21.8
18 Bilbao5050%77.890.0-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2316211979
Real Madrid2022222993
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.